4175 Cherokee St · Clement, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$107,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for an Up North Getaway in a Great Recreational Area? This 3-bedroom, 1-bath singlewide home is 1 house off of All Sports Secord Lake. Handyman ready with 1512 sq ft floor plan with a large addition that needs some finishing. Spacious room sizes with an eat-in kitchen open to the living room. Newer family room off the living room with a roughed-in space for a full bath. Some plumbing has been completed, and a new full size tub is waiting to be installed. A patio door takes you out to the deck, with a large yard and a view of the lake. The pole barn holds the toys. An aluminum screen room on the roadside for mosquito free relaxing. The public boat launch and grass beach area are just
Key facts
- Patio door
- Newer family room
- Large yard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Additional parking for 3 or more vehicles
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Private drilled well; Septic system; Internet (Spectrum) available; Cable not to property
- Home design: Single-story manufactured home (single wide, manufactured before 1976); Built in 1970; Platted subdivision (Hiawatha Shores Resort), rural setting
- Construction: Piers foundation
- Exterior features: Aluminum exterior; Deck; Fenced yard; Pole barn/outbuilding; Road frontage; Rural view
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen (approx. 12 x 12); Range/Oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms located on the main level (approx. 22 x 11; 12 x 11; 11 wide)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level (approx. 8 x 8)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wall heat; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling; Natural gas fuel
- Interior features: Furnished; Family Room; Living Room; Eat-in Kitchen; First floor bedroom; Main floor full bathroom; Total of 6 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $108k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $948 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $108k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- West Branch-Rose City Area Schools (rural): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #306 of 540 in MI (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 287 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Gladwin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $743 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gladwin County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.79%
- DSCR
- 2.68
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $331,128
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4166 Scott Ct | 0.27mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,464 (-3%) | 12mo | $320,000 | $219 | 65 |
| 1543 Loebrich Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,544 (+2%) | 10mo | $344,500 | $223 | 63 |
| 4271 Rose Ln | 0.16mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,420 (-6%) | 12mo | $655,000 | $461 | 59 |
| 4158 Scott Ct | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,710 (+13%) | 9mo | $307,000 | $180 | 52 |
| 4100 N Three Rivers Rd | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-14%) | 15mo | $169,000 | $130 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $42,978
- Equity at exit
- $16,029
- IRR
- 40.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.83×
- Total profit
- $115,285
- Equity at exit
- $9,295
Cash invested: $30,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48624
- Home prices YoY
- -23.4%
- Active inventory
- 287
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,140 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$564
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$134 /mo · $1,612/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $948
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,875
- Closing costs
- $3,225
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $107,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $107,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $107,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $107,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $107,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $107,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $112,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $112,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $112,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $112,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $112,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $112,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $112,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $112,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $112,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$112,500 Active
-
2025-12-22historical
-
2025-12-22historical
-
2025-07-21price $109,900
-
2025-07-21price $109,900
-
2025-06-27$120,000 Active
-
2025-06-27$120,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,681
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,022
- − Property taxes
- −$1,612
- − Insurance
- −$538
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,055
- − Management
- −$2,055
- − Depreciation
- −$3,127
- Taxable income
- $10,273
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,466
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,908/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Branch-Rose City Area Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2635850
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,145
- Composite
- 29.15/100
- National rank
- #6580
- State rank
- #306 of 540 in MI
Livability — Clement
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,269
Population outlook (Gladwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,440 people
- By 2030
- 22,281 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 19,867 · -15.2%
- By 2050
- 17,667 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 12,909 · -44.9%
- By 2100
- 8,629 · -63.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gladwin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -42.2pp toward R · 2008: 1.5pp · 2024: -40.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.7 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+34.7 2012: R+7.2 2008: D+1.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.67%
- Current HPI
- 238.0744
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-6.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $112,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-22 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-12-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-21 Price Changed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-21 Price Changed $109,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-27 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-27 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-15.7%/yrLatest (2024): $149 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…