485 Sheehan Way #2995 · Lady Lake, FL 32159

$165,995

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured · 38 Days on market

Built 2026 Excellent condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +18.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +5.6/10.0
• Condition / age +5.0/5.0
• 1% rule +4.8/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Rent growth +3.5/5.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Brand New Beautiful 2-bedroom, 2-bath home by Champion Homes, located in a beautiful 55+ community. This home features a bright and inviting open floor plan that seamlessly connects the living, dining, and kitchen areas perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious primary suite offers comfort and convenience with a walk-in shower, while the second bedroom and bath provide ample space for guests. Both bedrooms are generously sized, creating a comfortable and functional layout. Enjoy added outdoor living with a relaxing lanai ideal for morning coffee or evening unwinding as well as a convenient storage shed for all your extras. This home combines comfort, space, and easy li

Key facts

• Open floor plan
• Relaxing lanai
• Storage shed

Tags

• OPEN FLOOR PLAN
• WALK-IN SHOWER
• RELAXING LANAI
• STORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Located at 485 Sheehan Way #2995, Lady Lake FL 32159; Listing status: Active
• Financial info: Listed for $165,995

Exterior

• Home design: Single-level unit (address includes unit number)
• Exterior features: Living area of 1,248

Interior

• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Spec-built residence

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $166k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $141 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (1.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $161k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.1% in Lady Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#457 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
• Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 576 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($161k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $161,015 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.98% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.32%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.65%
• DSCR: 1.16
• GRM: 8.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -9.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.65×
• Total profit: $-16,155
• Equity at exit: $24,750

10-year hold

• IRR: 1.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.10×
• Total profit: $4,791
• Equity at exit: $14,352

Cash invested: $46,479 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32159

• Home prices YoY: -16.0%
• Rents YoY: 4.0%
• Active inventory: 576
• Price-to-rent: 8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,631 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$870
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$207 /mo · $2,490/yr
• Insurance: −$69
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$343
• Net cashflow: $141

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,452

Max offer price $165,995

Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $256	-5% $199	+0% $141	+5% $84	+10% $27
Rent	-10% $13	-5% $77	+0% $141	+5% $206	+10% $270
Rate	-1.0pp $225	-0.5pp $184	base $141	+0.5pp $98	+1.0pp $55

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $41,499
• Closing costs: $4,980
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 9 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
216 Magnolia Dr Lady Lake, FL	2.0–3.0	2.0	1248	$1,499	$1.20	3d	1	0.41mi
102 Sue Ln Lady Lake, FL	2.0	1.5	873	$1,499	$1.72	24d	2	0.91mi
224 W McClendon St Lady Lake, FL	2.0	1.0	877	$1,500	$1.71	24d	1	0.94mi
423 Highway 466 Lady Lake, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1172	$1,584	$1.35	3d	22	0.95mi
508 Tarrson Blvd Unit 1525263P Lady Lake, FL	2.0	2.0	1011	$1,262	$1.25	13d	1	0.99mi
367 Sunny Oaks Way Lady Lake, FL	2.0–3.0	1.5–2.0	1265	$1,455	$1.15	4d	17	1.23mi
715 Hudson Ln Lady Lake, FL	3.0	2.0	1392	$2,700	$1.94	24d	1	1.27mi
409 Bay Oak Ln Lady Lake, FL	3.0	2.0	1380	$1,950	$1.41	4d	1	1.37mi
1222 Palmetto Dr Lady Lake, FL	2.0	2.0	1248	$1,700	$1.36	24d	1	1.38mi

Listing history 8 events

1. 2026-06-09
   days on market $165,995 Active 38 DOM
2. 2026-06-08
   days on market $165,995 Active 37 DOM
3. 2026-06-07
   days on market $165,995 Active 36 DOM
4. 2026-06-04
   days on market $165,995 Active 33 DOM
5. 2026-06-03
   days on market $165,995 Active 32 DOM
6. 2026-06-02
   days on market $165,995 Active 31 DOM
7. 2026-06-02
   days on market $165,995 Active 30 DOM
8. 2026-05-31
   days on market $165,995 Active 29 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,574
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,298
• − Property taxes: −$2,490
• − Insurance: −$830
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,566
• − Management: −$1,566
• − Depreciation: −$4,829
• Taxable loss: −$1,005
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$241
• After-tax cash flow: $1,939/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This brand new 2-bedroom, 2-bath home by Champion Homes is in excellent condition with a modern and inviting open floor plan. It's move-in ready and offers a great value for both resale and rental markets.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
• Both Add smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/tenants.
• Both Install energy-efficient windows — Energy-efficient windows can reduce energy costs and improve home value.
• Both Add a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort for potential buyers/tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
• Both Add smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/tenants. ↑
• Both Install energy-efficient windows — Energy-efficient windows can reduce energy costs and improve home value. ↑
• Both Add a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort for potential buyers/tenants. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lake
• NCES district ID: 1201050
• Math proficiency: 49% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $46,632
• Composite: 42.05/100
• National rank: #3327
• State rank: #37 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lady Lake

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #457
• US rank: #8302

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lady Lake, FL
• County: Lake County · 364,602 people
• City population: 32,107
• Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
• Population (ZIP): 32,107
• Household income: $58,518
• Rent vs Own: 17.6% rent · 82.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 1047.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 386,640 people
• By 2030: 417,107 · +7.9%
• By 2040: 476,676 · +23.3%
• By 2050: 531,296 · +37.4%
• By 2075: 648,303 · +67.7%
• By 2100: 698,530 · +80.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -45.24%
• Current HPI: 237.6208
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.03%
• Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B