3325 Mccrarey Dr · Houston, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
NEVER FLOODED - Fresh interior paint (2025) - Roof replaced (2021) - Updated PEX plumbing - Updated recessed lighting throughout the home - Open concept floorplan - VERY well maintained - Oversized backyard - SUPER private lot location - Private single-wide driveway - Fully remodeled interior ( Floors, kitchen, bathroom) - Granite countertops (Kitchen) - Abundant amount of natural light
Key facts
- Private lot location
- Granite countertops
- Oversized backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Driveway; Has carport (1 space)
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Faces south; Full ownership; Slab foundation
- Construction: Cement siding; Composition roof; Built in 1953
- Exterior features: Deck; Fence (back yard); Paved driveway; Porch; Patio; Private yard; Subdivision
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Gas cooktop; Garbage disposal; Gas range; Microwave; Oven
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air (electric); Has heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Granite counters; Kitchen/family room combo; Pantry; Tub with shower; Window treatments; Ceiling fans; Living/dining room; Programmable thermostat
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-238/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (2.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (9.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (9.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Klein ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #213 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Nitsch El (math 46% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,545 of 4,322 statewide, top 38%, 663 students, 86% FRL); Klein Int (math 22% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,222 of 1,662 statewide, top 74%, 1,062 students, 86% FRL); Klein H S (math 58% / reading 67%, grade B-, #234 of 1,632 statewide, top 14%, 3,352 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 37% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 471 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.51%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $171,110
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -0.65%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3214 Stallings Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,096 (+4%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $178 | 81 |
| 3305 Stallings Dr | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (+8%) | 3mo | $169,000 | $148 | 76 |
| 10010 Gloyna St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,050 (-1%) | 9mo | $182,000 | $173 | 76 |
| 3201 Proswimmer St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 937 (-11%) | 2mo | $171,000 | $182 | 72 |
| 3225 Stallings Dr | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,096 (+4%) | 22mo | $190,000 | $173 | 68 |
| 3310 Cliffmarshall St | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 960 (-9%) | 9mo | $172,999 | $180 | 66 |
| 10009 Lonallen St | 0.31mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,184 (+12%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $139 | 56 |
| 2906 Mccrarey Dr | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+9%) | 20mo | $192,000 | $167 | 54 |
| 9906 Gloyna St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,156 (+10%) | 21mo | $169,997 | $147 | 48 |
| 8718 Roaring Point Dr | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,160 (+10%) | 13mo | $150,000 | $129 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-32,327
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- -23.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.01×
- Total profit
- $-46,487
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77088
- Home prices YoY
- -23.2%
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 471
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,498 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$269 /mo · $3,226/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$314
- Net cashflow
- $-20
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $74 | -5% $27 | +0% $-20 | +5% $-67 | +10% $-113 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-138 | -5% $-79 | +0% $-20 | +5% $39 | +10% $98 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $63 | -0.5pp $22 | base $-20 | +0.5pp $-63 | +1.0pp $-106 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5300 W Gulf Bank Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 762 | $1,250 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 5300 W Gulf Bank Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 762 | $1,250 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2850 W Gulf Bank Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1055 | $1,413 | $1.34 | 1d | 109 | 0.38mi |
| 5306 W Gulf Bank Rd Unit 1204 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $965 | $1.02 | 26d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2722 Stallings Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,599 | $1.23 | 0d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 11111 W Montgomery Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 964 | $981 | $1.02 | 5d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 11111 W Montgomery Rd Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 964 | $992 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 11111 W Montgomery Rd Unit 2162 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 964 | $957 | $0.99 | 9d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 11111 W Montgomery Rd Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 964 | $941 | $0.98 | 0d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 11111 W Montgomery Rd Unit 2292 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 964 | $931 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2320 Wavell St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,683 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2320 Wavell St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,900 | $1.65 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2407 Ferguson Way Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1195 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 8101 Venus St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $1,699 | $1.24 | 26d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 8101 Venus St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $1,595 | $1.16 | 26d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 13 Regency Ln Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1354 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 7903 Moon Beam St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1217 | $1,700 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 7800 Bayou Forest Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1105 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 45d | 4 | 1.39mi |
| 7200 T C Jester Blvd Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 970 | $1,550 | $1.60 | 24d | 9 | 1.44mi |
| 7200 T C Jester Blvd Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 978 | $1,550 | $1.58 | 0d | 9 | 1.44mi |
| 7200 T C Jester Blvd Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1102 | $1,550 | $1.41 | 4d | 8 | 1.44mi |
| 12011 Madison Oak St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $1,800 | $1.25 | 9d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Pending 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$165,000 Active 393-char remark
-
2026-05-18historical
-
2026-03-11$170,000 Active
-
2025-03-21historical $1,450
-
2025-03-15$1,450
-
2025-02-19status Pending
-
2025-02-13status Option Pending
-
2025-02-12historical
-
2025-01-31$170,000 Active
-
2025-01-24historical
-
2025-01-01price $170,000
-
2025-01-01status Active
-
2024-12-31historical
-
2024-11-03historical $1,450
-
2024-10-20$1,450
-
2024-10-20$175,000 Active
-
2019-10-04soldstatus
-
2019-09-30soldstatus Sold
-
2019-09-10status Pending
-
2019-09-04status Option Pending
-
2019-08-26price $119,999
-
2019-07-31$125,900 Active
-
1988-06-08soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,226 · $269/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,226 · $269/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,970
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$3,226
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,438
- − Management
- −$1,438
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$2,998
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$720
- After-tax cash flow
- $482/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Klein ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825740
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,288
- Composite
- 40.91/100
- National rank
- #3615
- State rank
- #213 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,047
- Household income
- $54,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2294.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% Black 37% Two or more races 18% White 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 49% English-only · Spanish 47% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.37%
- Current HPI
- 325.0499
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.01%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+31.1% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-23 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-18 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-05-18 Listed $165,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-11 Listed $170,000 HARMLS
- 2025-03-21 Rental Removed $1,450 HARMLS
- 2025-03-15 Listed for Rent $1,450 HARMLS
- 2025-02-19 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-02-13 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-02-12 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-01-31 Listed $170,000 HARMLS
- 2025-01-24 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-01-01 Price Changed $170,000 HARMLS
- 2025-01-01 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2024-12-31 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2024-11-03 Rental Removed $1,450 HARMLS
- 2024-10-20 Listed for Rent $1,450 HARMLS
- 2024-10-20 Listed $175,000 HARMLS
- 2019-10-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-09-30 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2019-09-10 Pending — HARMLS
- 2019-09-04 Pending — HARMLS
- 2019-08-26 Price Changed $119,999 HARMLS
- 2019-07-31 Listed $125,900 HARMLS
- 1988-06-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,226 · +10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…