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7054 E 4300 Rd
B Composite 74.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0

$69,000

7054 E 4300 Rd · East Lynn, IL 60960
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,032 sqft · SingleFamily · 26 Days on market
Built 1924 5.50 ac lot $34/sqft · 7% below area Est $74k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Tract #: BTLR0091 Legal: Ex N350 W250 N793 W412.7 Avg E1045.7 NW4 3 23 13 02-03-100-003 Legal: Ex N 350 W 250 N 793 W Butler Township BT008 5.5 acres Parcel 02-03-199-003 Most information is estimated due to condition of the home. Sold as is; where is. Not liable for accuracy due to unsafe conditions

Key facts

  • 5.5 acre lot
  • 4 parking spots
  • Built 1924

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property located in unincorporated Butler Township; Directions noted from Paxton to the property
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: 4 owned parking spaces
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 2-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Estimated living area; total finished area about 2,032 sq ft; Home is over 100 years old; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Constructed with other/unspecified materials
  • Exterior features: Approximately 5.0–5.99 acre lot; Lot dimensions approximately 350 x 250 x 793 x 412.7

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approximately 10 x 12)
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (Master on main; three additional bedrooms on second level — 13 x 15 master; 8 x 15, 10 x 13, and 11 x 11 for the upstairs bedrooms)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating system
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; School bus service
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (approximately 11 x 12)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $329 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Hoopeston Area CUSD 11 (town): math 9% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #559 of 620 in IL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Vermilion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $568 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
  • Vermilion County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $67,965 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.65%
Cap rate
12.02%
Cash-on-cash
20.46%
DSCR
1.91
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$74,000
List price
$69,000
Delta
-6.76%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

0.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$21,750
Equity at exit
$22,924
10-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
4.03×
Total profit
$58,483
Equity at exit
$29,981

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60960

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
16
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,135 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$177 /mo · $2,121/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$329

Break-even live

Break-even rent $718
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    listed $69,000 Active 316-char remark
  2. 2015-11-16
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,121 · $177/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,121 · $177/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,621
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$2,121
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,090
− Management
−$1,090
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$3,104
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$745
After-tax cash flow
$3,208/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hoopeston Area CUSD 11
NCES district ID
1719660
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$40,897
Composite
10.39/100
National rank
#9786
State rank
#559 of 620 in IL

Livability — East Lynn

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

City population
394
Population (ZIP)
890

Population outlook (Vermilion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
72,775 people
By 2030
69,235 · -4.9%
By 2040
62,360 · -14.3%
By 2050
55,539 · -23.7%
By 2075
40,606 · -44.2%
By 2100
26,985 · -62.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Scottish 6% Romanian 4% German 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Vermilion

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.7) · D 31.4% · R 67.0% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-36.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.6pp · 2024: -35.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.7 2020: R+32.9 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+15.7 2008: D+0.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.82%
Current HPI
164.2254
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $69,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-11-16 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+9.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,121 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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