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18585 Midland Trl
B Composite 71.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.4/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$85,000

18585 Midland Trl · Ansted, WV 25812
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,254 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 169 Days on market
Built 1948 0.48 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Prime location near WV's Top Outdoor Attractions! Unlock the protentional of this 3-bedroom, 1-bath property. Ideally situated in a prime location near West Virginia's most sough-after outdoor destinations. Boasting a spacious living room and a large dining or family room, this home offers ample space for relaxion and entertainment. Located within walking distance of Hawks Nest State Park and just 15 minutes from the New River Park and Preserve, adventure awaits at every turn. Enjoy easy access to rock climbing, bike and walking trails, rafting and breathtaking sightseeing opportunities in the beautiful mountains of WV. Nestled on nearly half an acre of flat land, this property presents end

Key facts

  • 0.48 acre lot
  • Built 1948
  • Listed 168 days

Tags

15 MINUTES FROM NEW RIVER PARKEASY ACCESS TO ROCK CLIMBINGBIKE AND WALKING TRAILS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking; No garage; Open parking available
  • Security: No specific security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance list provided
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Unfinished basement; Has view
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#270 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Fayette County Schools (suburban): math 17% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #51 of 55 in WV (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Ansted Elementary (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #148 of 377 statewide, top 49%, 190 students, 0% FRL); Midland Trail High (math 15% / reading 38%, grade F, #87 of 110 statewide, top 79%, 623 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
  • Fayette County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 169 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $46k; list at $85k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $74,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 169 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.55%
Cash-on-cash
15.20%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
2.45×
Total profit
$34,549
Equity at exit
$43,666
10-year hold
IRR
24.1%
Equity multiple
4.78×
Total profit
$90,038
Equity at exit
$71,877

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25812

Home prices YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,058 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$53 /mo · $642/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$302

Break-even live

Break-even rent $677
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $85,000 Active 169 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 168 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 167 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 166 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 165 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,000 Active 163 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $85,000 Active 162 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 159 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 158 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 157 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $85,000 Active 154 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 153 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 152 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 151 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 150 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $85,000 Active 149 DOM
  17. 2026-01-01
    listed $85,000 Active
  18. 2024-08-08
    listed $77,000 Active
  19. 2023-12-14
    listed $79,900 Active
  20. 1996-12-18
    soldstatus $45,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$642 · $53/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$642 · $53/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,702
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$642
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,016
− Management
−$1,016
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$2,369
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$569
After-tax cash flow
$3,050/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fayette County Schools
NCES district ID
5400300
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$35,293
Composite
19.77/100
National rank
#8706
State rank
#51 of 55 in WV

Livability — Ansted

Score
56/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#22730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ansted, WV
Population (ZIP)
1,317

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
41,745 people
By 2030
39,758 · -4.8%
By 2040
35,751 · -14.4%
By 2050
32,223 · -22.8%
By 2075
24,307 · -41.8%
By 2100
16,671 · -60.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Hispanic / Latino 1% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 5% Iranian 4% Lithuanian 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.8) · D 28.1% · R 69.8% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-39.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.7pp · 2024: -41.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.8 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+39.6 2012: R+21.0 2008: R+2.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.11%
Current HPI
164.3241
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+86.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-01 Listed $85,000 BBOR
  • 2024-08-08 Listed $77,000 KVBOR
  • 2023-12-14 Listed $79,900 KVBOR
  • 1996-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $45,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $642 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…