27 Tate Manor Dr · Charles Town, WV
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.3/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MOVE-IN DECEMBER 2021! New Townhomes in Jefferson County with Views of the Blue Ridge Mountains! The York II Townhome is thoughtfully designed to make the best use of every inch. This home welcomes you with an open foyer and floorplan. Enter your home from the fully finished lower level with an attached one car garage and direct access to your backyard. Up one level is the heart of your home including gracious dining and living areas with an open country kitchen and 8ft morning room at the rear. Entertain your guests in the kitchen complete with upgraded stainless-steel appliances and countertops making this the perfect space for entertaining guests. The light and bright morning room off the kitchen gives you additional living space on all 3 levels. Your family room is full of natural light and has a convenient half bath. Enjoy majestic mountain views when you retreat to your spacious ownerâ s bedroom complete with a large walk-in closet and a wonderful upgraded ownerâ s bath with dual vanity, and separate shower and tub. Two additional bedrooms, linen closet and hall bath complete the second floor. All images and virtual tours are for illustrative purposes only and individual homes, amenities, features, and views may differ.
Key facts
- $50 HOA
- Garage
- Built 2021
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Not in a federal flood zone; Year built (estimated); Above grade finished area estimated
- HOA & community: HOA fee $150 quarterly
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with inside access (1 garage space); Asphalt driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public septic; Electric power
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Building not winterized; Excellent property condition; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Daylight, full basement
- Exterior features: Sidewalks; Balcony
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven/range; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (upper level); Two half bathrooms total (one on main level, one on lower level)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump(s); Central air; Electric heating fuel; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Soaking tub; Combination dining/living area; Combination kitchen/dining area; Combination kitchen/living area; Family room off kitchen; Open floor plan; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Pantry; Master bath(s); Recessed lighting; 9'+ ceilings; Drywall
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-185 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $282k (10.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (26.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $232k (26.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.5% in Charles Town — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#22 in WV, #3,460 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F.
- Jefferson County Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #6 of 55 in WV (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Page Jackson Elementary (365 students, 0% FRL); Charles Town Middle School (math 22% / reading 45%, grade F, #40 of 109 statewide, top 37%, 637 students, 0% FRL); Washington High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #11 of 110 statewide, top 11%, 1,328 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 33% district-wide (33 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 392 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,162 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (360 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.52%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $313,308
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76 Tate Manor Dr | 0.06mi | 3/3.5 | 2,104 (+9%) | 7mo | $335,000 | $159 | 75 |
| 132 Monroe Ave | 0.39mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,000 (+3%) | 5mo | $324,880 | $162 | 67 |
| 140 Eldon Dr | 0.30mi | 3/3.5 | 2,016 (+4%) | 12mo | $310,000 | $154 | 67 |
| 77 Eldon Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.5 | 1,792 (-7%) | 8mo | $315,000 | $176 | 65 |
| 25 Holmes Dr | 0.43mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,936 (+0%) | 12mo | $280,000 | $145 | 65 |
| 26 Sagewood St | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 | 1,900 (-2%) | 12mo | $255,000 | $134 | 64 |
| 27 Holmes Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 | 1,960 (+1%) | 16mo | $286,000 | $146 | 62 |
| 124 Monroe Ave | 0.59mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,000 (+3%) | 3mo | $329,990 | $165 | 59 |
| 33 Bruce Dr | 0.39mi | 3/3.0 | 1,772 (-8%) | 14mo | $300,000 | $169 | 56 |
| 33 Sagewood St | 0.45mi | 3/4.0 | 1,852 (-4%) | 19mo | $285,000 | $154 | 52 |
| 11 Sherman Ave | 0.74mi | 3/3.5 | 1,979 (+2%) | 15mo | $349,990 | $177 | 47 |
| 166 Dunlap Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 1,668 (-14%) | 20mo | $275,000 | $165 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.67% appreciation · 4.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $23,918
- Equity at exit
- $135,906
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $113,298
- Equity at exit
- $205,095
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25414
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 392
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,324 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$188 /mo · $2,254/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$50
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$488
- Net cashflow
- $-185
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-7 | -5% $-96 | +0% $-185 | +5% $-274 | +10% $-363 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-369 | -5% $-277 | +0% $-185 | +5% $-93 | +10% $-1 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-26 | -0.5pp $-105 | base $-185 | +0.5pp $-267 | +1.0pp $-350 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 Bell Tower Ln Charles Town, WV | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2223 | $2,600 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 95 Dunlap Dr Charles Town, WV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2400 | $2,200 | $0.92 | 26d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 48 Holmes Dr Charles Town, WV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2550 | $1,995 | $0.78 | 22d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 214 Gumspring Dr Charles Town, WV | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2148 | $2,500 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 109 Extrovert Dr Charles Town, WV | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2290 | $2,450 | $1.07 | 26d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 509 Seeback Dr Charles Town, WV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1946 | $2,150 | $1.10 | 26d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 114 Telluride Way Charles Town, WV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,090 | $1.23 | 26d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 19 Winterplace Dr Charles Town, WV | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2095 | $2,100 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 458 Seeback Dr Charles Town, WV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1946 | $2,100 | $1.08 | 26d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 450 Seeback Dr Charles Town, WV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1793 | $2,050 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 470 Seeback Dr Charles Town, WV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1946 | $2,100 | $1.08 | 26d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 454 Seeback Dr Charles Town, WV | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1952 | $2,100 | $1.08 | 26d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 478 Seeback Dr Charles Town, WV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1946 | $2,200 | $1.13 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 439 Seeback Dr Unit 255 Charles Town, WV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1920 | $2,100 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 135 Telluride Way Charles Town, WV | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2097 | $2,400 | $1.14 | 26d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 10 Telluride Way Charles Town, WV | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2097 | $2,300 | $1.10 | 26d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $50 · $600/yr
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $315,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $315,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $315,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $315,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $315,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $315,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $315,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $315,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $315,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-07$315,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,254 · $188/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,254 · $188/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,889
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$2,254
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,231
- − Management
- −$2,231
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable loss
- −$7,811
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,875
- After-tax cash flow
- $-345/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400570
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,038
- Composite
- 33.98/100
- National rank
- #5322
- State rank
- #6 of 55 in WV
Livability — Charles Town
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #3460
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Charles Town, WV
- County
- Jefferson County · 28,403 people
- City population
- 21,073
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,073
- Household income
- $105,500
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 290.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 61,715 people
- By 2030
- 64,052 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 67,713 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 69,843 · +13.2%
- By 2075
- 72,679 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 71,872 · +16.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 10% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.8) · D 41.0% · R 56.8% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 4.8pp · 2024: -15.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.8 2020: R+10.5 2016: R+15.3 2012: R+4.0 2008: D+4.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.67%
- Current HPI
- 296.8007
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.35%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+16.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $315,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-04 Coming Soon $315,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-08-24 Sold (MLS) $276,360 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-05-05 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-04-23 Price Changed $286,360 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-04-21 Price Changed $281,360 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-02-24 Listed $271,360 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+10.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,254 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…