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15544 Turlington Ave Multi-family
C- Composite 51.54
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$94,500

15544 Turlington Ave · Harvey, IL 60426
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,886 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1888 10,800 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Key facts

  • Prime corner lot
  • Convenient location
  • Maximizing privacy

Tags

PRIME CORNER LOTTWO INCOME GENERATING UNITSSEPARATE ENTRIESMAXIMIZING PRIVACYCONVENIENT LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Parcel number provided
  • Financial info: Two units in the building; One unit currently rented for $1,242 with lease through August 1, 2025; Other unit has tenant responsibilities for electric and heat; lease expiration date listed as December 1, 1999 (needs verification); Special service area: No

Exterior

  • Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan / public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-to-four unit property; Fee simple ownership; Over 100 years old; Built before 1978; Vinyl siding exterior
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Commuter bus and commuter train access nearby; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 180; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed for units
  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms total; Building includes a 3‑bed unit and a 2‑bed unit
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms total
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air
  • Interior features: 9 total rooms; Unfinished, daylight basement
  • Laundry & utility: Tenant pays electric and heat for units (where noted)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath multifamily listed at $94k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $94k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 38.9% vs local median 9.3% in Harvey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#539 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($653 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1888 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $91,665 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1888 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.32%
Cap rate
38.95%
Cash-on-cash
116.63%
DSCR
6.19
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.14×
Total profit
$215,322
Equity at exit
$85,133
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
20.10×
Total profit
$505,405
Equity at exit
$183,593

Cash invested: $26,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60426

Home prices YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,082 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$496
Tax est. 1.5%
$118 /mo · $1,418/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$857
Net cashflow
$2,572

Break-even live

Break-even rent $827
Max offer price $94,500
Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,637 -5% $2,604 +0% $2,572 +5% $2,539 +10% $2,506
Rent -10% $2,249 -5% $2,410 +0% $2,572 +5% $2,733 +10% $2,894
Rate -1.0pp $2,619 -0.5pp $2,596 base $2,572 +0.5pp $2,547 +1.0pp $2,522

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,082

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,625
Closing costs
$2,835
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,500 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,500 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,500 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,500 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,500 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,500 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,500 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,500 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,500 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $94,500 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,500 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,500 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,500 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,500 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    price $94,500
  16. 2026-05-08
    listed $94,999 Active
  17. 2026-05-07
    historical
  18. 2026-03-16
    status Active
  19. 2026-03-06
    status Pending
  20. 2025-12-19
    price
  21. 2025-10-06
    price
  22. 2025-09-05
    price
  23. 2025-06-27
    price
  24. 2025-05-07
    price
  25. 2025-04-24
    price
  26. 2025-04-17
    price
  27. 2025-04-11
    listed Active
  28. 2007-10-04
    historical
  29. 2007-04-06
    listed
  30. 2005-09-21
    soldstatus $105,000
  31. 2004-02-05
    soldstatus $75,000
  32. 2001-04-03
    soldstatus $84,000
  33. 1985-11-07
    soldstatus $32,500
  34. 1985-10-01
    soldstatus $32,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$48,984
− Mortgage interest
−$5,293
− Property taxes
−$1,418
− Insurance
−$472
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,919
− Management
−$3,919
− Depreciation
−$2,749
Taxable income
$31,214
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$7,491
After-tax cash flow
$23,369/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Harvey

Score
67/100
State rank
#539
US rank
#11162

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety D+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harvey, IL
City population
23,066
Population (ZIP)
23,066

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% White 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.36%
Current HPI
313.7895
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+190.8% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $94,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $94,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-07 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-16 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-06 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-19 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-06 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-05 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-27 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-07 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-24 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-17 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-11 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-10-04 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-04-06 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2004-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2001-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
  • 1985-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
  • 1985-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2023): $5,883 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…