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1406 Saint Joe Blvd
B- Composite 69.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,000

1406 Saint Joe Blvd · Fort Wayne, IN 46805
6 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,238 sqft · Land · 34 Days on market
Built 1900 ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Riverfront view of downtown, 4 blocks walk to downtown, zoned R3, build a duplex, live in one half for free

Key facts

  • Riverfront view
  • Walk to downtown
  • Zoned r3

Tags

RIVERFRONT VIEWWALK TO DOWNTOWNZONED R3BUILD A DUPLEX

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Address: 1406 Saint Joe Blvd, Fort Wayne, IN 46805
  • Financial info: No financial or investor details provided
  • HOA & community: HOA information not specified

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking details not specified
  • Security: Not specified
  • Utilities: Utilities not specified
  • Home design: Single-family property (built in 1900); Living area approximately 2238
  • Construction: Built in 1900; Construction materials and roof not specified
  • Exterior features: Located in the Northside subdivision; Lot and yard details not specified

Interior

  • Kitchen: Not specified
  • Bedrooms: Not specified
  • Flooring: Not specified
  • Bathrooms: Not specified
  • Heating & cooling: Not specified
  • Interior features: Original charm from 1900 (historic details likely present)
  • Laundry & utility: Not specified

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/4.0-bath land listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $786 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.4% vs local median 4.8% in Fort Wayne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#6 in IN, #676 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, employment D+.
  • Fort Wayne Community Schools (urban): math 22% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #263 of 301 in IN (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 108 active listings in the ZIP; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $53,350 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.68%
Cap rate
23.44%
Cash-on-cash
61.25%
DSCR
3.73
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
57.5%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$37,904
Equity at exit
$8,201
10-year hold
IRR
61.6%
Equity multiple
6.50×
Total profit
$84,741
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46805

Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,476 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $825/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$786

Break-even live

Break-even rent $481
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    price $55,000 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $68,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $68,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $68,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $68,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $68,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $68,000 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $68,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $68,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $68,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $68,000 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $68,000 Active 15 DOM
  16. 2026-05-15
    listed $68,000 Active 107-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,713
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$825
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,417
− Management
−$1,417
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$9,098
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,184
After-tax cash flow
$7,249/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Wayne Community Schools
NCES district ID
1803630
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,951
Composite
21.68/100
National rank
#8275
State rank
#263 of 301 in IN

Livability — Fort Wayne

Score
84/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#676

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Wayne, IN
County
Allen County · 326,813 people
City population
326,813
Metro
Fort Wayne, IN
Population (ZIP)
21,437
Household income
$52,154
Rent vs Own
42.6% rent · 57.4% own
Severe rent burden
904.0

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
394,020 people
By 2030
405,128 · +2.8%
By 2040
423,476 · +7.5%
By 2050
435,137 · +10.4%
By 2075
450,293 · +14.3%
By 2100
424,101 · +7.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Philippines, Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

2024 margin
R (+12.5) · D 42.9% · R 55.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -12.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.5 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -356.64%
Current HPI
286.2643
Rent YoY
▲ 0.75%
Metro
Fort Wayne, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-19.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $55,000 FSBO.com
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $68,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

-4.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $89 · -19.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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