881 N Iris Ave · Sequim, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 83°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.9/30.0
- ARV discount +10.4/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -3.6
$289,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Experience quality living in Lavender Meadows, a private, pet friendly, 55+ community located in beautiful downtown Sequim. Residents enjoy miles of level interior sidewalks, pickle ball courts, horseshoe pits, bocce ball, pocket parks, dog parks, and a clubhouse. Beautifully landscaped with irrigation and an oversized 1-car detached garage. Garage can be finished & electricity can be added. Floor plan: The Cottage-cozy new 2 bdrm + den home, tons of natural light, covered entry, nicely landscaped, kitchen island, wood cabinets, large primary bdrm w/ walk-in closet. Up to 30% seller financing available with an interest rate of 3%.
Key facts
- Pickle ball courts
- Pocket parks
- Bocce ball
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $289k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-449 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (22.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (32.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $196k (32.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 2.5% in Sequim — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#245 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime B, cost of living B; Watch: employment D, amenities D-, commute F.
- Sequim School District (town): math 55% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #64 of 291 in WA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Helen Haller Elementary School (541 students, 70% FRL); Sequim Middle School (568 students, 52% FRL); Sequim Senior High (794 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 38% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 773 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 166 units permitted in Clallam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clallam County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 307 days — a 12% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 307 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.66%
- DSCR
- 0.70
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $309,000
- List price
- $289,000
- Delta
- -6.47%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 931 N Iris Ave | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,350 (0%) | 12mo | $312,000 | $231 | 84 |
| 911 N Iris Ave | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,354 (+0%) | 20mo | $299,000 | $221 | 77 |
| 876 N Rock Rose Ave | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,296 (-4%) | 5mo | $309,000 | $238 | 72 |
| 1050 N Malia Ln | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 0mo | $420,000 | $292 | 71 |
| 895 N Violet Ave | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,354 (+0%) | 20mo | $329,000 | $243 | 71 |
| 936 N Rock Rose Ave | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,354 (+0%) | 17mo | $372,500 | $275 | 71 |
| 905 N Violet Ave | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,296 (-4%) | 15mo | $359,500 | $277 | 70 |
| 896 N Rock Rose Ave | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,458 (+8%) | 0mo | $344,000 | $236 | 70 |
| 923 N Rock Rose Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,333 (-1%) | 22mo | $357,250 | $268 | 70 |
| 946 N Rock Rose Ave | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,296 (-4%) | 19mo | $343,287 | $265 | 63 |
| 270 E Camelia St | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,404 (+4%) | 15mo | $429,000 | $306 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.07×
- Total profit
- $-75,410
- Equity at exit
- $43,091
- IRR
- -26.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.27×
- Total profit
- $-102,385
- Equity at exit
- $24,987
Cash invested: $80,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 13 active · 12 under contract
- Months of supply
- 7.1 mo (14%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $218,950 ($159/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 33 d
- This list price
- 62% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +43.8% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 98382
- Active inventory
- 773
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,960 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,516
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$361 /mo · $4,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$120
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$411
- Net cashflow
- $-449
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-249 | -5% $-349 | +0% $-449 | +5% $-549 | +10% $-649 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-604 | -5% $-527 | +0% $-449 | +5% $-372 | +10% $-294 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-304 | -0.5pp $-376 | base $-449 | +0.5pp $-524 | +1.0pp $-600 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,250
- Closing costs
- $8,670
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 522 W Evergreen Farm Way Sequim, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $2,450 | $1.83 | 93d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 246 W Maple St Sequim, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 93d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 850 Tommy Ct Sequim, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,300 | $1.70 | 93d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $289,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $289,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $289,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $289,000 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $289,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $289,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $289,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $289,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $289,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $289,000 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $289,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $289,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $289,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $289,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $289,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $289,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-07-17days on market $289,000 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $289,000 Active 283 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $289,000 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $289,000 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $289,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $289,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $289,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $289,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $289,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $289,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $289,000 Active 274 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $289,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $289,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $289,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $289,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $289,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $289,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $289,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $289,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $289,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $289,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-22remarks 695-char remark
-
2026-06-22days on market $289,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $289,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $289,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $289,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-17status $289,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $289,000 Active Under Contract 254 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $289,000 Active Under Contract 253 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $289,000 Active Under Contract 251 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $289,000 Active Under Contract 250 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,000 Active Under Contract 247 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $289,000 Active Under Contract 246 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,000 Active Under Contract 245 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥83°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,514
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,188
- − Property taxes
- −$4,335
- − Insurance
- −$1,445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,881
- − Management
- −$1,881
- − Depreciation
- −$8,407
- Taxable loss
- −$10,624
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,550
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,841/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good balance of updates and maintenance to increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Resale Replace countertops with quartz or granite — Quartz or granite countertops are more durable and aesthetically pleasing ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices improve convenience and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sequim School District
- NCES district ID
- 5307830
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,969
- Composite
- 52.77/100
- National rank
- #3312
- State rank
- #64 of 291 in WA
Livability — Sequim
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #245
- US rank
- #7845
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sequim, WA
- County
- Clallam County · 76,817 people
- Metro
- Port Angeles, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,052
- Household income
- $74,189
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Clallam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 76,817 people
- By 2030
- 78,177 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 79,795 · +3.9%
- By 2050
- 80,890 · +5.3%
- By 2075
- 83,933 · +9.3%
- By 2100
- 82,141 · +6.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Slovak 5% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clallam
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 52.6% · R 44.7% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.3pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+3.4 2016: R+1.6 2012: D+0.4 2008: D+3.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -225.89%
- Current HPI
- 181.4372
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Port Angeles, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-9.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-14 Pending — OLS
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $289,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $289,000 OLS
- 2025-10-04 Listed $320,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-04 Listed $320,000 OLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…