🌊 Lakefront
9902 S Thomas Dr #1830 · Panama City Beach, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.1/30.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this lake view condo located in the popular Laketown Wharf in Panama City Beach. This spacious unit features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, plus a bunk area and can comfortably accommodate up to 9 guests, making it a great option for a vacation getaway, rental investment, or full-time coastal living. The primary suite includes private access to the balcony, a walk-in closet, and an ensuite bathroom complete with double vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower. The bunk area is designed with a twin-over-twin bunk and an additional trundle, offering extra sleeping space for family and guests. Step out onto the large balcony and take in peaceful views of the lake--perfect for enjoying morning coffee or unwinding in the evening. Laketown Wharf is known for its extensive amenities, including a fitness center, five resort-style pools, a massive freshwater lake surrounded by a 52,000 sq ft boardwalk, and private beach access for owners and guests. The resort also offers convenient on-site dining and entertainment, including the recently added 810 Bowling & Billiards. Just 5 miles west you'll find Pier Park, one of the area's premier destinations for shopping, restaurants, and entertainment. Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport is located approximately 19 miles away, and new nearby attractions such as Topgolf and Dolly Parton's Pirates Voyage Dinner & Show continue to add to the area's appeal. All measurements are approximate. If important, please verify. Schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Soaking tub
- Lake view
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-419 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Recommended offer: $235k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.6% in Panama City Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#172 in FL, #2,624 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 1022 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $180k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 32% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.04%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $374,639
- List price
- $250,000
- Delta
- -33.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.03×
- Total profit
- $-67,843
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -31.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.37×
- Total profit
- $-96,107
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32408
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 1022
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,904 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$303 /mo · $3,636/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA est. from 3 same-building comps
- −$928
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$610
- Net cashflow
- $-419
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9902 S Thomas Dr Unit 1354966P Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1259 | $1,970 | $1.56 | 13d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 9815 S Thomas Dr Unit 1523339P Panama City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1259 | $4,018 | $3.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 104 Gulfside Ct Unit 1523320P Panama City Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1496 | $5,020 | $3.36 | 13d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 998 Gulfside Ct Unit 1523366P Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1065 | $4,124 | $3.87 | 13d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 10625 Front Beach Rd Unit 1354975P Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $3,166 | $2.78 | 13d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 204 Potters Bluff Dr Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1035 | $1,947 | $1.88 | 13d | 12 | 0.56mi |
| 10811 Front Beach Rd Unit 1354928P Panama City Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $3,463 | $2.90 | 13d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 135 Grande Island Blvd Unit 1355007P Panama City Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1797 | $2,759 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 133 W Leslie Ln Unit 1 Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $2,200 | $2.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 136 Bonnie Ln Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 972 | $1,750 | $1.80 | 13d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 138 Bonnie Ln Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 972 | $1,599 | $1.65 | 13d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2858 Joan Ave Unit 1523343P Panama City, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1754 | $5,270 | $3.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 8715 Surf Dr Unit 1523323P Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $5,377 | $4.50 | 13d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2521 Allison Ave Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,450 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 98 Paddock Club Dr Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1093 | $2,063 | $1.89 | 13d | 19 | 1.09mi |
| 2917 Allison Ave Panama City Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1592 | $1,700 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2301 Anne Ave Unit 8901 Laird Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,625 | $1.81 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2216 Anne Ave Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 951 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 520 N Richard Jackson Blvd #1912 Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,375 | $1.98 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 11222 Hutchison Blvd Unit 1523347P Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $3,907 | $3.27 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2526 Laurie Ave Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,750 | $1.84 | 13d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 104 White Cap Way Panama City Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1146 | $2,700 | $2.36 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 10400 Panama City Beach Pkwy Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1151 | $2,372 | $2.06 | 13d | 20 | 1.33mi |
| 175 White Cap Way Unit 1 Panama City Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1432 | $1,750 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1609 Vecuna Cir Panama City Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $2,100 | $1.66 | 13d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 8700 Front Beach Rd Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1543 | $2,400 | $1.56 | 13d | 2 | 1.41mi |
| 8604 Whelch Dr Panama City, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1087 | $2,950 | $2.71 | 13d | 18 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpoolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-05-13price $250,000 1534-char remark
Show marketing remark (1534 chars)
Welcome to this lake view condo located in the popular Laketown Wharf in Panama City Beach. This spacious unit features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, plus a bunk area and can comfortably accommodate up to 9 guests, making it a great option for a vacation getaway, rental investment, or full-time coastal living. The primary suite includes private access to the balcony, a walk-in closet, and an ensuite bathroom complete with double vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower. The bunk area is designed with a twin-over-twin bunk and an additional trundle, offering extra sleeping space for family and guests. Step out onto the large balcony and take in peaceful views of the lake--perfect for enjoying morning coffee or unwinding in the evening. Laketown Wharf is known for its extensive amenities, including a fitness center, five resort-style pools, a massive freshwater lake surrounded by a 52,000 sq ft boardwalk, and private beach access for owners and guests. The resort also offers convenient on-site dining and entertainment, including the recently added 810 Bowling & Billiards. Just 5 miles west you'll find Pier Park, one of the area's premier destinations for shopping, restaurants, and entertainment. Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport is located approximately 19 miles away, and new nearby attractions such as Topgolf and Dolly Parton's Pirates Voyage Dinner & Show continue to add to the area's appeal. All measurements are approximate. If important, please verify. Schedule your showing today.
-
2026-05-08price $264,000 1534-char remark
Show marketing remark (1534 chars)
Welcome to this lake view condo located in the popular Laketown Wharf in Panama City Beach. This spacious unit features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, plus a bunk area and can comfortably accommodate up to 9 guests, making it a great option for a vacation getaway, rental investment, or full-time coastal living. The primary suite includes private access to the balcony, a walk-in closet, and an ensuite bathroom complete with double vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower. The bunk area is designed with a twin-over-twin bunk and an additional trundle, offering extra sleeping space for family and guests. Step out onto the large balcony and take in peaceful views of the lake--perfect for enjoying morning coffee or unwinding in the evening. Laketown Wharf is known for its extensive amenities, including a fitness center, five resort-style pools, a massive freshwater lake surrounded by a 52,000 sq ft boardwalk, and private beach access for owners and guests. The resort also offers convenient on-site dining and entertainment, including the recently added 810 Bowling & Billiards. Just 5 miles west you'll find Pier Park, one of the area's premier destinations for shopping, restaurants, and entertainment. Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport is located approximately 19 miles away, and new nearby attractions such as Topgolf and Dolly Parton's Pirates Voyage Dinner & Show continue to add to the area's appeal. All measurements are approximate. If important, please verify. Schedule your showing today.
-
2026-05-01price $266,500 1534-char remark
Show marketing remark (1534 chars)
Welcome to this lake view condo located in the popular Laketown Wharf in Panama City Beach. This spacious unit features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, plus a bunk area and can comfortably accommodate up to 9 guests, making it a great option for a vacation getaway, rental investment, or full-time coastal living. The primary suite includes private access to the balcony, a walk-in closet, and an ensuite bathroom complete with double vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower. The bunk area is designed with a twin-over-twin bunk and an additional trundle, offering extra sleeping space for family and guests. Step out onto the large balcony and take in peaceful views of the lake--perfect for enjoying morning coffee or unwinding in the evening. Laketown Wharf is known for its extensive amenities, including a fitness center, five resort-style pools, a massive freshwater lake surrounded by a 52,000 sq ft boardwalk, and private beach access for owners and guests. The resort also offers convenient on-site dining and entertainment, including the recently added 810 Bowling & Billiards. Just 5 miles west you'll find Pier Park, one of the area's premier destinations for shopping, restaurants, and entertainment. Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport is located approximately 19 miles away, and new nearby attractions such as Topgolf and Dolly Parton's Pirates Voyage Dinner & Show continue to add to the area's appeal. All measurements are approximate. If important, please verify. Schedule your showing today.
-
2026-04-24price $269,000 1534-char remark
Show marketing remark (1534 chars)
Welcome to this lake view condo located in the popular Laketown Wharf in Panama City Beach. This spacious unit features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, plus a bunk area and can comfortably accommodate up to 9 guests, making it a great option for a vacation getaway, rental investment, or full-time coastal living. The primary suite includes private access to the balcony, a walk-in closet, and an ensuite bathroom complete with double vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower. The bunk area is designed with a twin-over-twin bunk and an additional trundle, offering extra sleeping space for family and guests. Step out onto the large balcony and take in peaceful views of the lake--perfect for enjoying morning coffee or unwinding in the evening. Laketown Wharf is known for its extensive amenities, including a fitness center, five resort-style pools, a massive freshwater lake surrounded by a 52,000 sq ft boardwalk, and private beach access for owners and guests. The resort also offers convenient on-site dining and entertainment, including the recently added 810 Bowling & Billiards. Just 5 miles west you'll find Pier Park, one of the area's premier destinations for shopping, restaurants, and entertainment. Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport is located approximately 19 miles away, and new nearby attractions such as Topgolf and Dolly Parton's Pirates Voyage Dinner & Show continue to add to the area's appeal. All measurements are approximate. If important, please verify. Schedule your showing today.
-
2026-04-15price $272,500 1534-char remark
Show marketing remark (1534 chars)
Welcome to this lake view condo located in the popular Laketown Wharf in Panama City Beach. This spacious unit features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, plus a bunk area and can comfortably accommodate up to 9 guests, making it a great option for a vacation getaway, rental investment, or full-time coastal living. The primary suite includes private access to the balcony, a walk-in closet, and an ensuite bathroom complete with double vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower. The bunk area is designed with a twin-over-twin bunk and an additional trundle, offering extra sleeping space for family and guests. Step out onto the large balcony and take in peaceful views of the lake--perfect for enjoying morning coffee or unwinding in the evening. Laketown Wharf is known for its extensive amenities, including a fitness center, five resort-style pools, a massive freshwater lake surrounded by a 52,000 sq ft boardwalk, and private beach access for owners and guests. The resort also offers convenient on-site dining and entertainment, including the recently added 810 Bowling & Billiards. Just 5 miles west you'll find Pier Park, one of the area's premier destinations for shopping, restaurants, and entertainment. Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport is located approximately 19 miles away, and new nearby attractions such as Topgolf and Dolly Parton's Pirates Voyage Dinner & Show continue to add to the area's appeal. All measurements are approximate. If important, please verify. Schedule your showing today.
-
2026-04-06price $275,000 1534-char remark
Show marketing remark (1534 chars)
Welcome to this lake view condo located in the popular Laketown Wharf in Panama City Beach. This spacious unit features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, plus a bunk area and can comfortably accommodate up to 9 guests, making it a great option for a vacation getaway, rental investment, or full-time coastal living. The primary suite includes private access to the balcony, a walk-in closet, and an ensuite bathroom complete with double vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower. The bunk area is designed with a twin-over-twin bunk and an additional trundle, offering extra sleeping space for family and guests. Step out onto the large balcony and take in peaceful views of the lake--perfect for enjoying morning coffee or unwinding in the evening. Laketown Wharf is known for its extensive amenities, including a fitness center, five resort-style pools, a massive freshwater lake surrounded by a 52,000 sq ft boardwalk, and private beach access for owners and guests. The resort also offers convenient on-site dining and entertainment, including the recently added 810 Bowling & Billiards. Just 5 miles west you'll find Pier Park, one of the area's premier destinations for shopping, restaurants, and entertainment. Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport is located approximately 19 miles away, and new nearby attractions such as Topgolf and Dolly Parton's Pirates Voyage Dinner & Show continue to add to the area's appeal. All measurements are approximate. If important, please verify. Schedule your showing today.
-
2026-03-12$285,000 Active 1534-char remark
Show marketing remark (1534 chars)
Welcome to this lake view condo located in the popular Laketown Wharf in Panama City Beach. This spacious unit features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, plus a bunk area and can comfortably accommodate up to 9 guests, making it a great option for a vacation getaway, rental investment, or full-time coastal living. The primary suite includes private access to the balcony, a walk-in closet, and an ensuite bathroom complete with double vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower. The bunk area is designed with a twin-over-twin bunk and an additional trundle, offering extra sleeping space for family and guests. Step out onto the large balcony and take in peaceful views of the lake--perfect for enjoying morning coffee or unwinding in the evening. Laketown Wharf is known for its extensive amenities, including a fitness center, five resort-style pools, a massive freshwater lake surrounded by a 52,000 sq ft boardwalk, and private beach access for owners and guests. The resort also offers convenient on-site dining and entertainment, including the recently added 810 Bowling & Billiards. Just 5 miles west you'll find Pier Park, one of the area's premier destinations for shopping, restaurants, and entertainment. Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport is located approximately 19 miles away, and new nearby attractions such as Topgolf and Dolly Parton's Pirates Voyage Dinner & Show continue to add to the area's appeal. All measurements are approximate. If important, please verify. Schedule your showing today.
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2025-03-11historical $1,850
-
2025-02-23$1,850
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2024-08-20historical
-
2024-07-17price $329,900
-
2024-06-27price $349,000
-
2024-02-20$369,000 Active
-
2021-12-14historical
-
2021-12-09historical
-
2018-02-17$225,000
-
2017-04-28$225,000
-
2016-01-28soldstatus $180,000
-
2016-01-27soldstatus $180,000
-
2015-09-21$199,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,636 · $303/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,636 · $303/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,844
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$3,636
- − Insurance
- −$2,048
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,788
- − Management
- −$2,788
- − HOA
- −$11,136
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$8,828
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,119
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,907/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bay
- NCES district ID
- 1200090
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,740
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3014
- State rank
- #29 of 73 in FL
Livability — Panama City Beach
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #2624
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Panama City Beach, FL
- County
- Bay County · 163,593 people
- City population
- 50,689
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,832
- Household income
- $80,822
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 817.0
Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 206,264 people
- By 2030
- 217,740 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 238,738 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 255,545 · +23.9%
- By 2075
- 288,295 · +39.8%
- By 2100
- 288,638 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -202.52%
- Current HPI
- 246.9126
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.55%
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+25.6% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $250,000 CPARMLS
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $264,000 CPARMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $266,500 CPARMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $269,000 CPARMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $272,500 CPARMLS
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $275,000 CPARMLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $285,000 CPARMLS
- 2025-03-11 Rental Removed $1,850 RENT.
- 2025-02-23 Listed for Rent $1,850 RENT.
- 2024-08-20 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2024-07-17 Price Changed $329,900 CPARMLS
- 2024-06-27 Price Changed $349,000 CPARMLS
- 2024-02-20 Listed $369,000 CPARMLS
- 2021-12-14 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2021-12-09 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2018-02-17 Listed $225,000 CPARMLS
- 2017-04-28 Listed $225,000 CPARMLS
- 2016-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 2016-01-27 Sold (MLS) $180,000 CPARMLS
- 2015-09-21 Listed $199,000 CPARMLS
Property tax history
+9.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,636 · -3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…