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9902 S Thomas Dr #1830 🌊 Lakefront
D Composite 43.93
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

9902 S Thomas Dr #1830 · Panama City Beach, FL 32408
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,262 sqft · Condo public records · 70 Days on market
Built 2007 $198/sqft · 33% below area Est $375k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this lake view condo located in the popular Laketown Wharf in Panama City Beach. This spacious unit features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, plus a bunk area and can comfortably accommodate up to 9 guests, making it a great option for a vacation getaway, rental investment, or full-time coastal living. The primary suite includes private access to the balcony, a walk-in closet, and an ensuite bathroom complete with double vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower. The bunk area is designed with a twin-over-twin bunk and an additional trundle, offering extra sleeping space for family and guests. Step out onto the large balcony and take in peaceful views of the lake--perfect for enjoying morning coffee or unwinding in the evening. Laketown Wharf is known for its extensive amenities, including a fitness center, five resort-style pools, a massive freshwater lake surrounded by a 52,000 sq ft boardwalk, and private beach access for owners and guests. The resort also offers convenient on-site dining and entertainment, including the recently added 810 Bowling & Billiards. Just 5 miles west you'll find Pier Park, one of the area's premier destinations for shopping, restaurants, and entertainment. Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport is located approximately 19 miles away, and new nearby attractions such as Topgolf and Dolly Parton's Pirates Voyage Dinner & Show continue to add to the area's appeal. All measurements are approximate. If important, please verify. Schedule your showing today.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Soaking tub
  • Lake view

Tags

LAKE VIEWPRIVATE ACCESS TO BALCONYWALK-IN CLOSETENSUITE BATHROOMDOUBLE VANITIESSOAKING TUB

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-419 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.6% in Panama City Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#172 in FL, #2,624 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
  • Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 1022 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $180k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 32% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $235,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  11. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  12. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  13. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  14. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  15. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
4.60%
Cash-on-cash
-6.04%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$374,639
List price
$250,000
Delta
-33.27%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-29.2%
Equity multiple
0.03×
Total profit
$-67,843
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
-31.3%
Equity multiple
-0.37×
Total profit
$-96,107
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32408

Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
1022
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,904 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$303 /mo · $3,636/yr
Insurance
$104
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA est. from 3 same-building comps
$928
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$610
Net cashflow
$-419

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,434
Max offer price $176,020
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9902 S Thomas Dr Unit 1354966P Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1259 $1,970 $1.56 13d 1 0.02mi
9815 S Thomas Dr Unit 1523339P Panama City, FL 3.0 2.0 1259 $4,018 $3.19 21d 1 0.10mi
104 Gulfside Ct Unit 1523320P Panama City Beach, FL 3.0 3.0 1496 $5,020 $3.36 13d 1 0.15mi
998 Gulfside Ct Unit 1523366P Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1065 $4,124 $3.87 13d 1 0.15mi
10625 Front Beach Rd Unit 1354975P Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1140 $3,166 $2.78 13d 1 0.48mi
204 Potters Bluff Dr Panama City Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1035 $1,947 $1.88 13d 12 0.56mi
10811 Front Beach Rd Unit 1354928P Panama City Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1194 $3,463 $2.90 13d 1 0.64mi
135 Grande Island Blvd Unit 1355007P Panama City Beach, FL 3.0 3.5 1797 $2,759 $1.54 21d 1 0.67mi
133 W Leslie Ln Unit 1 Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 950 $2,200 $2.32 21d 1 0.77mi
136 Bonnie Ln Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 972 $1,750 $1.80 13d 1 0.91mi
138 Bonnie Ln Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 972 $1,599 $1.65 13d 1 0.91mi
2858 Joan Ave Unit 1523343P Panama City, FL 4.0 3.0 1754 $5,270 $3.00 13d 1 0.97mi
8715 Surf Dr Unit 1523323P Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1194 $5,377 $4.50 13d 1 1.01mi
2521 Allison Ave Panama City, FL 2.0 2.0 980 $1,450 $1.48 21d 1 1.03mi
98 Paddock Club Dr Panama City Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1093 $2,063 $1.89 13d 19 1.09mi
2917 Allison Ave Panama City Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1592 $1,700 $1.07 21d 1 1.10mi
2301 Anne Ave Unit 8901 Laird Panama City, FL 2.0 2.0 900 $1,625 $1.81 13d 1 1.13mi
2216 Anne Ave Panama City, FL 2.0 2.0 951 $1,300 $1.37 13d 1 1.16mi
520 N Richard Jackson Blvd #1912 Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $2,375 $1.98 13d 1 1.21mi
11222 Hutchison Blvd Unit 1523347P Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1194 $3,907 $3.27 21d 1 1.27mi
2526 Laurie Ave Panama City, FL 2.0 2.0 950 $1,750 $1.84 13d 1 1.28mi
104 White Cap Way Panama City Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1146 $2,700 $2.36 21d 1 1.30mi
10400 Panama City Beach Pkwy Panama City Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1151 $2,372 $2.06 13d 20 1.33mi
175 White Cap Way Unit 1 Panama City Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1432 $1,750 $1.22 13d 1 1.35mi
1609 Vecuna Cir Panama City Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1268 $2,100 $1.66 13d 1 1.38mi
8700 Front Beach Rd Panama City Beach, FL 2.0–3.0 2.5 1543 $2,400 $1.56 13d 2 1.41mi
8604 Whelch Dr Panama City, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1087 $2,950 $2.71 13d 18 1.42mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
waterpoolgym
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    price $250,000 1534-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1534 chars)

    Welcome to this lake view condo located in the popular Laketown Wharf in Panama City Beach. This spacious unit features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, plus a bunk area and can comfortably accommodate up to 9 guests, making it a great option for a vacation getaway, rental investment, or full-time coastal living. The primary suite includes private access to the balcony, a walk-in closet, and an ensuite bathroom complete with double vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower. The bunk area is designed with a twin-over-twin bunk and an additional trundle, offering extra sleeping space for family and guests. Step out onto the large balcony and take in peaceful views of the lake--perfect for enjoying morning coffee or unwinding in the evening. Laketown Wharf is known for its extensive amenities, including a fitness center, five resort-style pools, a massive freshwater lake surrounded by a 52,000 sq ft boardwalk, and private beach access for owners and guests. The resort also offers convenient on-site dining and entertainment, including the recently added 810 Bowling & Billiards. Just 5 miles west you'll find Pier Park, one of the area's premier destinations for shopping, restaurants, and entertainment. Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport is located approximately 19 miles away, and new nearby attractions such as Topgolf and Dolly Parton's Pirates Voyage Dinner & Show continue to add to the area's appeal. All measurements are approximate. If important, please verify. Schedule your showing today.

  2. 2026-05-08
    price $264,000 1534-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1534 chars)

    Welcome to this lake view condo located in the popular Laketown Wharf in Panama City Beach. This spacious unit features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, plus a bunk area and can comfortably accommodate up to 9 guests, making it a great option for a vacation getaway, rental investment, or full-time coastal living. The primary suite includes private access to the balcony, a walk-in closet, and an ensuite bathroom complete with double vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower. The bunk area is designed with a twin-over-twin bunk and an additional trundle, offering extra sleeping space for family and guests. Step out onto the large balcony and take in peaceful views of the lake--perfect for enjoying morning coffee or unwinding in the evening. Laketown Wharf is known for its extensive amenities, including a fitness center, five resort-style pools, a massive freshwater lake surrounded by a 52,000 sq ft boardwalk, and private beach access for owners and guests. The resort also offers convenient on-site dining and entertainment, including the recently added 810 Bowling & Billiards. Just 5 miles west you'll find Pier Park, one of the area's premier destinations for shopping, restaurants, and entertainment. Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport is located approximately 19 miles away, and new nearby attractions such as Topgolf and Dolly Parton's Pirates Voyage Dinner & Show continue to add to the area's appeal. All measurements are approximate. If important, please verify. Schedule your showing today.

  3. 2026-05-01
    price $266,500 1534-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1534 chars)

    Welcome to this lake view condo located in the popular Laketown Wharf in Panama City Beach. This spacious unit features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, plus a bunk area and can comfortably accommodate up to 9 guests, making it a great option for a vacation getaway, rental investment, or full-time coastal living. The primary suite includes private access to the balcony, a walk-in closet, and an ensuite bathroom complete with double vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower. The bunk area is designed with a twin-over-twin bunk and an additional trundle, offering extra sleeping space for family and guests. Step out onto the large balcony and take in peaceful views of the lake--perfect for enjoying morning coffee or unwinding in the evening. Laketown Wharf is known for its extensive amenities, including a fitness center, five resort-style pools, a massive freshwater lake surrounded by a 52,000 sq ft boardwalk, and private beach access for owners and guests. The resort also offers convenient on-site dining and entertainment, including the recently added 810 Bowling & Billiards. Just 5 miles west you'll find Pier Park, one of the area's premier destinations for shopping, restaurants, and entertainment. Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport is located approximately 19 miles away, and new nearby attractions such as Topgolf and Dolly Parton's Pirates Voyage Dinner & Show continue to add to the area's appeal. All measurements are approximate. If important, please verify. Schedule your showing today.

  4. 2026-04-24
    price $269,000 1534-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1534 chars)

    Welcome to this lake view condo located in the popular Laketown Wharf in Panama City Beach. This spacious unit features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, plus a bunk area and can comfortably accommodate up to 9 guests, making it a great option for a vacation getaway, rental investment, or full-time coastal living. The primary suite includes private access to the balcony, a walk-in closet, and an ensuite bathroom complete with double vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower. The bunk area is designed with a twin-over-twin bunk and an additional trundle, offering extra sleeping space for family and guests. Step out onto the large balcony and take in peaceful views of the lake--perfect for enjoying morning coffee or unwinding in the evening. Laketown Wharf is known for its extensive amenities, including a fitness center, five resort-style pools, a massive freshwater lake surrounded by a 52,000 sq ft boardwalk, and private beach access for owners and guests. The resort also offers convenient on-site dining and entertainment, including the recently added 810 Bowling & Billiards. Just 5 miles west you'll find Pier Park, one of the area's premier destinations for shopping, restaurants, and entertainment. Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport is located approximately 19 miles away, and new nearby attractions such as Topgolf and Dolly Parton's Pirates Voyage Dinner & Show continue to add to the area's appeal. All measurements are approximate. If important, please verify. Schedule your showing today.

  5. 2026-04-15
    price $272,500 1534-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1534 chars)

    Welcome to this lake view condo located in the popular Laketown Wharf in Panama City Beach. This spacious unit features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, plus a bunk area and can comfortably accommodate up to 9 guests, making it a great option for a vacation getaway, rental investment, or full-time coastal living. The primary suite includes private access to the balcony, a walk-in closet, and an ensuite bathroom complete with double vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower. The bunk area is designed with a twin-over-twin bunk and an additional trundle, offering extra sleeping space for family and guests. Step out onto the large balcony and take in peaceful views of the lake--perfect for enjoying morning coffee or unwinding in the evening. Laketown Wharf is known for its extensive amenities, including a fitness center, five resort-style pools, a massive freshwater lake surrounded by a 52,000 sq ft boardwalk, and private beach access for owners and guests. The resort also offers convenient on-site dining and entertainment, including the recently added 810 Bowling & Billiards. Just 5 miles west you'll find Pier Park, one of the area's premier destinations for shopping, restaurants, and entertainment. Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport is located approximately 19 miles away, and new nearby attractions such as Topgolf and Dolly Parton's Pirates Voyage Dinner & Show continue to add to the area's appeal. All measurements are approximate. If important, please verify. Schedule your showing today.

  6. 2026-04-06
    price $275,000 1534-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1534 chars)

    Welcome to this lake view condo located in the popular Laketown Wharf in Panama City Beach. This spacious unit features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, plus a bunk area and can comfortably accommodate up to 9 guests, making it a great option for a vacation getaway, rental investment, or full-time coastal living. The primary suite includes private access to the balcony, a walk-in closet, and an ensuite bathroom complete with double vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower. The bunk area is designed with a twin-over-twin bunk and an additional trundle, offering extra sleeping space for family and guests. Step out onto the large balcony and take in peaceful views of the lake--perfect for enjoying morning coffee or unwinding in the evening. Laketown Wharf is known for its extensive amenities, including a fitness center, five resort-style pools, a massive freshwater lake surrounded by a 52,000 sq ft boardwalk, and private beach access for owners and guests. The resort also offers convenient on-site dining and entertainment, including the recently added 810 Bowling & Billiards. Just 5 miles west you'll find Pier Park, one of the area's premier destinations for shopping, restaurants, and entertainment. Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport is located approximately 19 miles away, and new nearby attractions such as Topgolf and Dolly Parton's Pirates Voyage Dinner & Show continue to add to the area's appeal. All measurements are approximate. If important, please verify. Schedule your showing today.

  7. 2026-03-12
    listed $285,000 Active 1534-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1534 chars)

    Welcome to this lake view condo located in the popular Laketown Wharf in Panama City Beach. This spacious unit features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, plus a bunk area and can comfortably accommodate up to 9 guests, making it a great option for a vacation getaway, rental investment, or full-time coastal living. The primary suite includes private access to the balcony, a walk-in closet, and an ensuite bathroom complete with double vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower. The bunk area is designed with a twin-over-twin bunk and an additional trundle, offering extra sleeping space for family and guests. Step out onto the large balcony and take in peaceful views of the lake--perfect for enjoying morning coffee or unwinding in the evening. Laketown Wharf is known for its extensive amenities, including a fitness center, five resort-style pools, a massive freshwater lake surrounded by a 52,000 sq ft boardwalk, and private beach access for owners and guests. The resort also offers convenient on-site dining and entertainment, including the recently added 810 Bowling & Billiards. Just 5 miles west you'll find Pier Park, one of the area's premier destinations for shopping, restaurants, and entertainment. Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport is located approximately 19 miles away, and new nearby attractions such as Topgolf and Dolly Parton's Pirates Voyage Dinner & Show continue to add to the area's appeal. All measurements are approximate. If important, please verify. Schedule your showing today.

  8. 2025-03-11
    historical $1,850
  9. 2025-02-23
    listed $1,850
  10. 2024-08-20
    historical
  11. 2024-07-17
    price $329,900
  12. 2024-06-27
    price $349,000
  13. 2024-02-20
    listed $369,000 Active
  14. 2021-12-14
    historical
  15. 2021-12-09
    historical
  16. 2018-02-17
    listed $225,000
  17. 2017-04-28
    listed $225,000
  18. 2016-01-28
    soldstatus $180,000
  19. 2016-01-27
    soldstatus $180,000
  20. 2015-09-21
    listed $199,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,636 · $303/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,636 · $303/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,844
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,636
− Insurance
−$2,048
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,788
− Management
−$2,788
− HOA
−$11,136
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$8,828
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,119
After-tax cash flow
$-2,907/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bay
NCES district ID
1200090
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,740
Composite
43.41/100
National rank
#3014
State rank
#29 of 73 in FL

Livability — Panama City Beach

Score
78/100
State rank
#172
US rank
#2624

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Panama City Beach, FL
County
Bay County · 163,593 people
City population
50,689
Metro
Panama City, FL
Population (ZIP)
18,832
Household income
$80,822
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
817.0

Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
206,264 people
By 2030
217,740 · +5.6%
By 2040
238,738 · +15.7%
By 2050
255,545 · +23.9%
By 2075
288,295 · +39.8%
By 2100
288,638 · +39.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bay

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -202.52%
Current HPI
246.9126
Rent YoY
▲ 2.55%
Metro
Panama City, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.6% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $250,000 CPARMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $264,000 CPARMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $266,500 CPARMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $269,000 CPARMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $272,500 CPARMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $275,000 CPARMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $285,000 CPARMLS
  • 2025-03-11 Rental Removed $1,850 RENT.
  • 2025-02-23 Listed for Rent $1,850 RENT.
  • 2024-08-20 Listing Removed CPARMLS
  • 2024-07-17 Price Changed $329,900 CPARMLS
  • 2024-06-27 Price Changed $349,000 CPARMLS
  • 2024-02-20 Listed $369,000 CPARMLS
  • 2021-12-14 Listing Removed CPARMLS
  • 2021-12-09 Listing Removed CPARMLS
  • 2018-02-17 Listed $225,000 CPARMLS
  • 2017-04-28 Listed $225,000 CPARMLS
  • 2016-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
  • 2016-01-27 Sold (MLS) $180,000 CPARMLS
  • 2015-09-21 Listed $199,000 CPARMLS

Property tax history

+9.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,636 · -3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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