🏗️ New Construction
120 Coneflower Rd · Savannah, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Rent growth +1.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$254,880
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover the thoughtfully designed Pearson floorplan in DR Horton's Pines at New Hempstead community-where comfort meets modern living. This beautiful two-story home offers 1,418 square feet of well-planned space, featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, perfect for families, first-time homebuyers, or anyone seeking a blend of style and functionality. The open-concept main level creates a seamless flow between the living, dining, and kitchen areas, making it ideal for entertaining guests or enjoying everyday life. The kitchen is designed with convenience in mind, offering ample counter space and modern finishes that elevate your cooking experience. Upstairs, you'll find all three bedrooms, including a private owner's suite complete with an en-suite bathroom and generous closet space. The additional bedrooms are perfect for family members, guests, or even a home office. A convenient half bath on the main level adds extra functionality for visitors. With its smart layout, energy-efficient features, and contemporary design, the Pearson floorplan delivers both comfort and value in one of the area's most desirable communities. Experience low-maintenance living and a welcoming neighborhood atmosphere at Pines at New Hempstead-your perfect place to call home.
Key facts
- Landscaping services
- Irrigation systems
- Resort style pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $255k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-266 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (12.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (8.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $223k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 4.1% in Savannah — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#1 in GA, #397 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: employment D, schools F.
- Savannah-Chatham County (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #134 of 174 in GA (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.5%/yr); 400 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,694 units permitted in Chatham County in 2024 (973 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chatham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($247k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.36%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $261,385
- List price
- $254,880
- Delta
- -2.49%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184 Coneflower Rd | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $180 | 97 |
| 435 Salvia Rd | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 2mo | $182,750 | $129 | 95 |
| 1061 Bergamot Rd | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (+4%) | 2mo | $319,250 | $216 | 84 |
| 1050 Bergamot Rd | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (+4%) | 2mo | $334,900 | $227 | 84 |
| 104 Siskin Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 | 1,634 (+15%) | 0mo | $333,250 | $204 | 69 |
| 1085 Bergamot Rd | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 | 1,634 (+15%) | 1mo | $337,590 | $207 | 68 |
| 14 Canvasback Dr | 0.96mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,440 (+2%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $156 | 52 |
| 158 Stone Crab Cir | 1.28mi | 3/2.5 | 1,682 (+19%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $158 | 39 |
| 142 Stone Crab Cir | 1.29mi | 3/2.5 | 1,682 (+19%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $152 | 38 |
| 160 Stone Crab Cir | 1.44mi | 3/2.5 | 1,682 (+19%) | 6mo | $279,838 | $166 | 35 |
| 664 Old River Rd | 1.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,669 (+18%) | 3mo | $600,000 | $359 | 33 |
| 5 Teal Ct | 1.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,718 (+21%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $143 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-65,899
- Equity at exit
- $38,973
- IRR
- -46.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.43×
- Total profit
- $-104,685
- Equity at exit
- $22,600
Cash invested: $73,188 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 13 active · 5 under contract
- Months of supply
- 39.0 mo (3%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $249,880 ($176/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 56 d
- This list price
- 77% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +4.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 31302
- Home prices YoY
- -18.5%
- Rents YoY
- -5.5%
- Active inventory
- 400
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,330 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,371
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$327 /mo · $3,921/yr
- Insurance
- −$109
- HOA
- −$300
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$489
- Net cashflow
- $-266
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-85 | -5% $-176 | +0% $-266 | +5% $-356 | +10% $-447 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-450 | -5% $-358 | +0% $-266 | +5% $-174 | +10% $-82 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-134 | -0.5pp $-199 | base $-266 | +0.5pp $-334 | +1.0pp $-403 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,346
- Closing costs
- $7,842
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 Coneflower Rd Bloomingdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1418 | $2,300 | $1.62 | 139d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 173 Coneflower Rd Bloomingdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1418 | $2,100 | $1.48 | 0d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 169 Coneflower Rd Bloomingdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1418 | $2,100 | $1.48 | 0d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 404 Turpentine Trl Bloomingdale, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1775 | $2,350 | $1.32 | 109d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 480 John Carter Rd Bloomingdale, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $2,332 | $2.33 | 0d | 20 | 1.11mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Directions provided to communitySubdivision: The Pines at New Hampstead
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association with annual fees (derived monthly equivalent $100)Annual association fees listed
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerUnderground utilities
- Home design
- Townhouse2 storiesNew construction1 common wallBuilt by DR Horton (Pearson TH model)
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingSlab foundationHome warranty included
- Exterior features
- Community poolCommunity fitness centerCommunity playgroundHas viewLot with landscaping
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalMicrowaveOvenRangeRefrigeratorElectric water heater
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features
- Breakfast barDouble vanityKitchen islandPantryAccessible full bath
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupDedicated laundry room
Listing history 50 events
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2026-09-23days on market $254,880 Active 56 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $254,880 Active 55 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $254,880 Active 54 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $254,880 Active 53 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $254,880 Active 52 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $254,880 Active 51 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $254,880 Active 50 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $254,880 Active 49 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $254,880 Active 48 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $254,880 Active 47 DOM
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2026-09-14price $254,880 Active 46 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $269,990 Active 46 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $269,990 Active 45 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $269,990 Active 44 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $269,990 Active 38 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $269,990 Active 37 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $269,990 Active 36 DOM
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2026-08-31days on market $269,990 Active 33 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $269,990 Active 32 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $269,990 Active 31 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $269,990 Active 30 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $269,990 Active 29 DOM
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2026-08-26pricedays on market $269,990 Active 28 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $276,490 Active 27 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $276,490 Active 26 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $276,490 Active 25 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $276,490 Active 24 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $276,490 Active 23 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $276,490 Active 22 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $276,490 Active 21 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $276,490 Active 20 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $276,490 Active 18 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $276,490 Active 17 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $276,490 Active 16 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $276,490 Active 15 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $276,490 Active 14 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $276,490 Active 13 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $276,490 Active 12 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $276,490 Active 11 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $276,490 Active 10 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $276,490 Active 9 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $276,490 Active 8 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $276,490 Active 7 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $276,490 Active 6 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $276,490 Active 5 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $276,490 Active 2 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $276,490 Active 1 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $276,490 Active 105 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $276,490 Active 103 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $276,490 Active 101 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,956
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,642
- − Property taxes
- −$3,921
- − Insurance
- −$1,307
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,237
- − Management
- −$2,237
- − HOA
- −$3,600
- − Depreciation
- −$7,604
- Taxable loss
- −$7,590
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,822
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,369/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained townhouse in a desirable community offers a good condition with minimal repairs needed. Potential buyers and renters will appreciate the modern finishes and open floor plan.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood in bedrooms — Improves aesthetics and value ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Savannah-Chatham County
- NCES district ID
- 1301020
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,443
- Composite
- 20.14/100
- National rank
- #8639
- State rank
- #134 of 174 in GA
Livability — Savannah
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #397
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Savannah, GA
- County
- Effingham County · 332,584 people
- City population
- 216,564
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,899
- Household income
- $68,998
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Chatham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 332,584 people
- By 2030
- 355,508 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 400,030 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 443,019 · +33.2%
- By 2075
- 534,579 · +60.7%
- By 2100
- 583,863 · +75.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 8% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chatham
- 2024 margin
- D (+18.0) · D 58.6% · R 40.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.6pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+18.0 2020: D+18.8 2016: D+14.5 2012: D+12.0 2008: D+14.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.89%
- Current HPI
- 293.9427
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.51%
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-3.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-29 Listed $276,490 Hive MLS
- 2026-07-07 Price Changed $276,490 Zillow
- 2026-04-15 Listed $286,490 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…