1000 Lookout Trl Unit C · West Carrollton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Former model condo with fabulous view of the lake and stream! Renovated by previous owners, it features a huge family room with fireplace and access to the deck. For the cook, a white kitchen offers plenty of space for meal prep! Two bedrooms and two full baths complete the plan. The laundry room is located just outside the unit, and there are three storage areas in the building. HOA covers pool, clubhouse, water, and trash! Super convenient location close to I-75.
Key facts
- Private deck
- Open-concept design
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: For sale
- HOA & community: Homeowners association: Towne Properties; HOA fee $570 monthly; HOA fee includes association management, trash, and water
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Water included in association fee; Trash included in association fee
- Home design: Single-story; Entry level 1; Condo
- Construction: Brick and frame construction
- Exterior features: Deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level (10 x 14); Bedroom on main level (10 x 16)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Basement: Other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($515/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.7% in West Carrollton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#712 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- West Carrollton City (suburban): math 34% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #540 of 656 in OH (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 40% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.46%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $90,747
- List price
- $74,900
- Delta
- -17.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-9,032
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-2,836
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45449
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,431 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,119/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$570
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $43
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1651 S Elm St Dayton, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 908 | $1,549 | $1.71 | 2d | 9 | 0.05mi |
| 841 Gawain Cir Dayton, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,315 | $1.38 | 2d | 17 | 0.23mi |
| 712 Green Feather Ct Unit 5 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 2d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1306 Black Forest Dr Unit B Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,175 | $1.42 | 2d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1308 Camp Hill Way Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,175 | $1.18 | 2d | 11 | 0.91mi |
| 85 N Gebhart Church Rd Unit G Miamisburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $895 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1130 Bishop Dr Unit 1130-C Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $880 | $1.04 | 2d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1735 Mars Hill Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 968 | $1,162 | $1.20 | 2d | 4 | 1.06mi |
| 1644 Villa South Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 7477 Shady Water Ln Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 712 | $1,490 | $2.09 | 2d | 36 | 1.20mi |
| 8310 Lyons Gate Way Miamisburg, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $1,455 | $2.03 | 3d | 11 | 1.29mi |
| 8470 Towson Blvd Miamisburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,182 | $1.13 | 2d | 9 | 1.30mi |
| 2125 Maue Rd Miamisburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 825 | $2,048 | $2.48 | 2d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 8470 Towson Blvd Miamisburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,188 | $1.13 | 19d | 7 | 1.33mi |
| 1504 Almedia Ct Unit 1525-21 Miamisburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,009 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1504 Almedia Ct Unit 1212B Miamisburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,175 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1504 Almedia Ct Unit 1546B Miamisburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $1,269 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1504 Almedia Ct Unit 1202E Miamisburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,125 | $1.48 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $570 · $6,840/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrashpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $74,900 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $74,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $74,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $74,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 38 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 37 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 36 DOM
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2026-04-24$79,900 Active 825-char remark
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2021-09-01soldstatus $59,900
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2021-07-30soldstatus $59,900 Closed 469-char remark
Show marketing remark (469 chars)
Former model condo with fabulous view of the lake and stream! Renovated by previous owners, it features a huge family room with fireplace and access to the deck. For the cook, a white kitchen offers plenty of space for meal prep! Two bedrooms and two full baths complete the plan. The laundry room is located just outside the unit, and there are three storage areas in the building. HOA covers pool, clubhouse, water, and trash! Super convenient location close to I-75.
-
2021-07-30soldstatus $59,900 Sold 469-char remark
Show marketing remark (469 chars)
Former model condo with fabulous view of the lake and stream! Renovated by previous owners, it features a huge family room with fireplace and access to the deck. For the cook, a white kitchen offers plenty of space for meal prep! Two bedrooms and two full baths complete the plan. The laundry room is located just outside the unit, and there are three storage areas in the building. HOA covers pool, clubhouse, water, and trash! Super convenient location close to I-75.
-
2021-06-23historical 469-char remark
Show marketing remark (469 chars)
Former model condo with fabulous view of the lake and stream! Renovated by previous owners, it features a huge family room with fireplace and access to the deck. For the cook, a white kitchen offers plenty of space for meal prep! Two bedrooms and two full baths complete the plan. The laundry room is located just outside the unit, and there are three storage areas in the building. HOA covers pool, clubhouse, water, and trash! Super convenient location close to I-75.
-
2021-06-20$59,900 469-char remark
Show marketing remark (469 chars)
Former model condo with fabulous view of the lake and stream! Renovated by previous owners, it features a huge family room with fireplace and access to the deck. For the cook, a white kitchen offers plenty of space for meal prep! Two bedrooms and two full baths complete the plan. The laundry room is located just outside the unit, and there are three storage areas in the building. HOA covers pool, clubhouse, water, and trash! Super convenient location close to I-75.
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2013-04-05soldstatus $36,000
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2013-04-03soldstatus $36,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (1025 chars)
The original model home for Indian Creek, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath corner condo has one of the most desirable locations in the complex. Sit, relax and enjoy the fabulous view of the lake, lit water fountain & soothing stream from both inside and out. Completely remodeled, this exceptional home has upgrades galore. Originally a 3 bedroom, this unit was converted to a 2 bedroom with spacious great room in 1994. There has been complete bath & kitchen remodel with amazing breakfast bar & counter space, fresh paint throughout in warm neutrals, newer furnace/AC unit 2007 and so much more! Walk-in closet, woodburning fireplace, locked storage cabinet off the balcony, convenient laundry room location and additional storage in laundry area are among the many other features found in this wonderful condo. Appliances stay. Lots of extra parking for guests outside this unit, swimming pool, clubhouse, and convenient location to shopping, restaurants & Interstate. Meticulous and move in ready. Must see
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2013-04-03soldstatus $36,000
Show marketing remark (1025 chars)
The original model home for Indian Creek, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath corner condo has one of the most desirable locations in the complex. Sit, relax and enjoy the fabulous view of the lake, lit water fountain & soothing stream from both inside and out. Completely remodeled, this exceptional home has upgrades galore. Originally a 3 bedroom, this unit was converted to a 2 bedroom with spacious great room in 1994. There has been complete bath & kitchen remodel with amazing breakfast bar & counter space, fresh paint throughout in warm neutrals, newer furnace/AC unit 2007 and so much more! Walk-in closet, woodburning fireplace, locked storage cabinet off the balcony, convenient laundry room location and additional storage in laundry area are among the many other features found in this wonderful condo. Appliances stay. Lots of extra parking for guests outside this unit, swimming pool, clubhouse, and convenient location to shopping, restaurants & Interstate. Meticulous and move in ready. Must see
-
2013-03-20historical
Show marketing remark (1025 chars)
The original model home for Indian Creek, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath corner condo has one of the most desirable locations in the complex. Sit, relax and enjoy the fabulous view of the lake, lit water fountain & soothing stream from both inside and out. Completely remodeled, this exceptional home has upgrades galore. Originally a 3 bedroom, this unit was converted to a 2 bedroom with spacious great room in 1994. There has been complete bath & kitchen remodel with amazing breakfast bar & counter space, fresh paint throughout in warm neutrals, newer furnace/AC unit 2007 and so much more! Walk-in closet, woodburning fireplace, locked storage cabinet off the balcony, convenient laundry room location and additional storage in laundry area are among the many other features found in this wonderful condo. Appliances stay. Lots of extra parking for guests outside this unit, swimming pool, clubhouse, and convenient location to shopping, restaurants & Interstate. Meticulous and move in ready. Must see
-
2013-02-15$43,500
Show marketing remark (1025 chars)
The original model home for Indian Creek, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath corner condo has one of the most desirable locations in the complex. Sit, relax and enjoy the fabulous view of the lake, lit water fountain & soothing stream from both inside and out. Completely remodeled, this exceptional home has upgrades galore. Originally a 3 bedroom, this unit was converted to a 2 bedroom with spacious great room in 1994. There has been complete bath & kitchen remodel with amazing breakfast bar & counter space, fresh paint throughout in warm neutrals, newer furnace/AC unit 2007 and so much more! Walk-in closet, woodburning fireplace, locked storage cabinet off the balcony, convenient laundry room location and additional storage in laundry area are among the many other features found in this wonderful condo. Appliances stay. Lots of extra parking for guests outside this unit, swimming pool, clubhouse, and convenient location to shopping, restaurants & Interstate. Meticulous and move in ready. Must see
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1997-11-10soldstatus $53,100
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1997-11-10soldstatus $53,050
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1995-10-10soldstatus $58,000
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1992-05-20soldstatus $49,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,119 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,144 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- +$25/yr (+$2/mo · 2.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,167
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$1,119
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,373
- − Management
- −$1,373
- − HOA
- −$6,840
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable loss
- −$288
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$69
- After-tax cash flow
- $584/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Carrollton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904505
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,209
- Composite
- 33.71/100
- National rank
- #5380
- State rank
- #540 of 656 in OH
Livability — West Carrollton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #712
- US rank
- #12835
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Carrollton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 19,066
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,066
- Household income
- $63,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 745.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 13% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -188.64%
- Current HPI
- 248.1785
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+52.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Price Changed $74,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $79,900 Dayton MLS
- 2021-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
- 2021-07-30 Sold (MLS) $59,900 Dayton MLS
- 2021-07-30 Sold (MLS) $59,900 Dayton MLS
- 2021-06-23 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2021-06-20 Listed $59,900 Dayton MLS
- 2013-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
- 2013-04-03 Sold (MLS) $36,000 Dayton MLS
- 2013-04-03 Sold (MLS) $36,000 Dayton MLS
- 2013-03-20 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2013-02-15 Listed $43,500 Dayton MLS
- 1997-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $53,050 Public Records
- 1997-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $53,100 Public Records
- 1995-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 1992-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,119 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…