Duplex
1510-1512 27th St W · Bradenton, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Investor special in West Bradenton! Duplex on an oversized . 24-acre lot with no HOA or deed restrictions—ideal for maximizing returns. Each unit offers 2BR/1BA layouts with strong rental potential, plus a newer roof to reduce upfront expenses. One unit is leased month-to-month for immediate income while you renovate and increase rents. Located in a high-demand area near Gulf beaches, golf, dining, shopping, biking and walking trails, fishing, and convenient transportation access. Value-add opportunity with strong cash flow and long-term upside—don’t miss this one.
Key facts
- Newer roof
- Gulf beaches
- Deed restrictions
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total buildings: 1; Total units: 2; Living area reported ~1,458; Building area reported ~1,578
- Financial info: Annual net income: $38,400; Pro forma rents listed: $1,600 and $1,600; No lease restrictions
- HOA & community: No association; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Duplex residential income property; One building; Zoned R1C; Lot about 0.24 acre (75 x 142)
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Building area approximately 1578 total
- Exterior features: Lighting; Private mailbox; Rain gutters; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; Two 2-bedroom units (each unit: 2 bedrooms)
- Bathrooms: Two 1-bathroom units (each unit: 1 bathroom)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Thermostat
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2.0-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-41 ($-498/yr) — negative. Per door: $-21/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $318k (2.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $272k (16.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $272k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.6% in Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#101 in FL, #1,528 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Ballard Elementary School (math 47% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,513 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 400 students, 82% FRL); Manatee High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #304 of 667 statewide, top 47%, 1,983 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 51% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 40% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Manatee average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,715/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 1736% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $325k implies a 333% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.55%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $365,958
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1406/1408 27th St W | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (+4%) | 6mo | $380,000 | $251 | 80 |
| 1708 28th St W | 0.13mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 1,528 (+5%) | 8mo | $355,000 | $232 | 67 |
| 1419 18th St W | 0.60mi | 3/3.0 | 1,260 (-14%) | 19mo | $400,000 | $317 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-63,259
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- -22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.02×
- Total profit
- $-89,220
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34205
- Rents YoY
- -2.4%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 20.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,715 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$347 /mo · $4,159/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$570
- Net cashflow
- $-41
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2.0 | 1 | $2,714 |
| #1 | 2.0 | 1 | $1,357 |
| #2 | 2.0 | 1 | $1,357 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,715 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1613 28th St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1503 32nd St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,400 | $2.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2321 18th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $3,600 | $3.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1214 21st St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1841 | $4,300 | $2.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3301 19th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $7,200 | $4.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3109 22nd Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1509 | $2,541 | $1.68 | 11d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2004 20th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,395 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 617 26th St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1127 | $3,000 | $2.66 | 20d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 602 26th St W Unit A Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1408 37th Street Ct W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $2,500 | $2.10 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2201 24th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,950 | $1.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3807 16th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1491 | $2,100 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1306 17th St W Unit 4 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 16d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 520 22nd St W Unit 1071597P Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1582 | $4,235 | $2.68 | 2d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2309 Manatee Ave W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,535 | $1.71 | 3d | 4 | 0.71mi |
| 2001 25th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $3,000 | $2.19 | 20d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1505 18th Avenue Dr W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 886 | $1,875 | $2.12 | 16d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2901 26th St W #807 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,525 | $1.62 | 2d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1623 8th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $3,500 | $2.12 | 1d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3805 7th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,200 | $2.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2916 24th St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1764 | $1,800 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1418 18th Avenue Dr W Unit 1418 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2306 30th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $1,700 | $1.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1319 18th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,795 | $1.51 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3603 Oxford Dr W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,400 | $1.71 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3806 Southern Pkwy W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $2,176 | $1.68 | 11d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2422 11th St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,445 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1650 1st Ave W Unit 507B Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1269 | $2,300 | $1.81 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2244 9th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 768 | $1,323 | $1.72 | 23d | 4 | 1.18mi |
| 1600 1st Ave W Unit 206A Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1221 | $2,000 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1400 1st Ave W #504 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $2,295 | $1.79 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3512 32nd St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4607 7th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,950 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 702 21st Ave W Unit C Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3737 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 213 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,150 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4121 Heron Way #108 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,340 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3963 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit F-414 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3635 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit J410 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,700 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4129 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit C501 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3506 14th St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 874 | $1,950 | $2.23 | 23d | 5 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-23$325,000 Active
-
2006-07-18soldstatus $75,000
-
1994-02-03soldstatus $77,000
-
1985-08-01soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,159 · $347/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,159 · $347/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,580
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$4,159
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,606
- − Management
- −$2,606
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable loss
- −$6,077
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,458
- After-tax cash flow
- $960/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bradenton
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #101
- US rank
- #1528
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bradenton, FL
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- City population
- 227,091
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,946
- Household income
- $52,525
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1736.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -310.18%
- Current HPI
- 369.8239
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.43%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+400.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $325,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 1994-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
- 1985-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,159 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…