203 2nd St SE · State Center, IA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into this cheerful and charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home featuring a spacious main floor designed for comfortable living. Hardwood floors add warmth throughout, and the convenient main-floor half bath enhances everyday functionality. The large bedroom offers generous space along with large closets, and you'll appreciate the abundance of storage throughout the home. Recent updates include windows, AC, furnace, water heater, and bathroom, providing added peace of mind. Enjoy relaxing on the inviting front porch or the cozy back porch, and take advantage of both garages included. Schedule a tour today!
Key facts
- Main floor half bath
- Recent updates
- Inviting front porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $82 ($981/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (8.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $105k (8.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#117 in IA, #2,214 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- West Marshall Community School District (rural): math 72% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #56 of 289 in IA (top 19%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marshall County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.05%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $198,191
- List price
- $114,900
- Delta
- -42.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 2nd St NE | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,458 (-11%) | 4mo | $193,000 | $132 | 69 |
| 202 Park Pl NW | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (-1%) | 2mo | $164,900 | $102 | 69 |
| 102 5th Ave SE | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,533 (-6%) | 8mo | $147,500 | $96 | 64 |
| 506 5th Ave SW | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,728 (+6%) | 1mo | $142,000 | $82 | 64 |
| 205 2nd Ave SE | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 | 1,836 (+12%) | 19mo | $170,000 | $93 | 59 |
| 101 5th St NW | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,480 (-9%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $91 | 58 |
| 503 2nd St NW | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-7%) | 5mo | $232,000 | $153 | 58 |
| 301 4th St NE | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,471 (-10%) | 12mo | $333,000 | $226 | 57 |
| 106 3rd Ave NW | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,458 (-11%) | 16mo | $144,000 | $99 | 55 |
| 304 3rd St SE | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,436 (-12%) | 17mo | $200,000 | $139 | 51 |
| 407 3rd Ave SW | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,424 (-13%) | 20mo | $158,500 | $111 | 38 |
| 511 2nd St SW | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,389 (-15%) | 11mo | $225,000 | $162 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-13,420
- Equity at exit
- $17,132
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-5,021
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50247
- Home prices YoY
- -19.2%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,054 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,210/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $82
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $114,900 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $114,900 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $114,900 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $114,900 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $114,900 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $114,900 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $114,900 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $114,900 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $114,900 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $114,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $114,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $114,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $114,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $114,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $114,900 Active 45 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $114,900 Active 44 DOM
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2026-05-12price $114,900 611-char remark
Show marketing remark (611 chars)
Step into this cheerful and charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home featuring a spacious main floor designed for comfortable living. Hardwood floors add warmth throughout, and the convenient main-floor half bath enhances everyday functionality. The large bedroom offers generous space along with large closets, and you'll appreciate the abundance of storage throughout the home. Recent updates include windows, AC, furnace, water heater, and bathroom, providing added peace of mind. Enjoy relaxing on the inviting front porch or the cozy back porch, and take advantage of both garages included. Schedule a tour today!
-
2026-05-08status Active 611-char remark
Show marketing remark (611 chars)
Step into this cheerful and charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home featuring a spacious main floor designed for comfortable living. Hardwood floors add warmth throughout, and the convenient main-floor half bath enhances everyday functionality. The large bedroom offers generous space along with large closets, and you'll appreciate the abundance of storage throughout the home. Recent updates include windows, AC, furnace, water heater, and bathroom, providing added peace of mind. Enjoy relaxing on the inviting front porch or the cozy back porch, and take advantage of both garages included. Schedule a tour today!
-
2026-04-30historical Active Under Contract 611-char remark
Show marketing remark (611 chars)
Step into this cheerful and charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home featuring a spacious main floor designed for comfortable living. Hardwood floors add warmth throughout, and the convenient main-floor half bath enhances everyday functionality. The large bedroom offers generous space along with large closets, and you'll appreciate the abundance of storage throughout the home. Recent updates include windows, AC, furnace, water heater, and bathroom, providing added peace of mind. Enjoy relaxing on the inviting front porch or the cozy back porch, and take advantage of both garages included. Schedule a tour today!
-
2026-04-16$119,900 Active 611-char remark
Show marketing remark (611 chars)
Step into this cheerful and charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home featuring a spacious main floor designed for comfortable living. Hardwood floors add warmth throughout, and the convenient main-floor half bath enhances everyday functionality. The large bedroom offers generous space along with large closets, and you'll appreciate the abundance of storage throughout the home. Recent updates include windows, AC, furnace, water heater, and bathroom, providing added peace of mind. Enjoy relaxing on the inviting front porch or the cozy back porch, and take advantage of both garages included. Schedule a tour today!
-
2018-10-08$95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,210 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,507 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- +$297/yr (+$25/mo · 24.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,654
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$1,210
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,012
- − Management
- −$1,012
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable loss
- −$934
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$224
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,206/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Marshall Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1931080
- Math proficiency
- 72% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,531
- Composite
- 64.72/100
- National rank
- #521
- State rank
- #56 of 289 in IA
Livability — State Center
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #117
- US rank
- #2214
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- State Center, IA
- City population
- 2,198
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,198
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,166 people
- By 2030
- 41,477 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 42,548 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 44,472 · +8.0%
- By 2075
- 52,719 · +28.1%
- By 2100
- 60,912 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Italian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.6) · D 41.4% · R 57.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.9pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: -15.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.6 2020: R+7.7 2016: R+8.5 2012: D+8.9 2008: D+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.68%
- Current HPI
- 191.5843
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
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Price history
+20.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $114,900 IAR
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — IAR
- 2026-04-30 Contingent — IAR
- 2026-04-16 Listed $119,900 IAR
- 2018-10-08 Listed $95,000 IAR
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2021): $1,210 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…