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3742 California Ave
B Composite 74.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

3742 California Ave · St. Louis, MO 63118
12 bd · 6.0 ba · 3,693 sqft · Other public records · 99 Days on market
Built 1926 1,720 sqft lot $23/sqft · 67% below area Est $158k · 46% under ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 3742 California Avenue, a mixed-use building located in the heart of Gravois Park. This property offers a flexible layout with three occupiable units, including a commercial storefront, a rear studio unit, and a three-bedroom residential unit on the second floor—functioning as a triplex. The building is fully vacant, providing a clear path for renovation and repositioning. Recent improvements include a new rubber roof, new six-inch gutters, five brand-new windows, along with select newer flooring and structural updates including new joists and framing. The property is in need of rehabilitation and presents a strong opportunity for an owner-occupant or investor seeking a mixed-use asset in a South City location with proximity to major corridors, public transit, and neighborhood amenities. A versatile building with multiple use options for the right buyer.

Key facts

  • Rear studio unit
  • Flexible layout
  • Fully vacant

Tags

FLEXIBLE LAYOUTCOMMERCIAL STOREFRONTREAR STUDIO UNITTHREE-BEDROOM RESIDENTIAL UNITFULLY VACANTNEW RUBBER ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 12-bed/6.0-bath other listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $855 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 240 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $77,350 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.14%
Cap rate
18.36%
Cash-on-cash
43.09%
DSCR
2.92
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$158,432
List price
$85,000
Delta
-46.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.0%
Equity multiple
2.86×
Total profit
$44,204
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
49.1%
Equity multiple
6.20×
Total profit
$123,709
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63118

Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
240
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,819 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$101 /mo · $1,214/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$382
Net cashflow
$855

Break-even live

Break-even rent $737
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $903 -5% $879 +0% $855 +5% $831 +10% $806
Rent -10% $711 -5% $783 +0% $855 +5% $926 +10% $998
Rate -1.0pp $897 -0.5pp $876 base $855 +0.5pp $833 +1.0pp $810

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    status $85,000 Pending 99 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 99 DOM
  3. 2026-05-20
    price $85,000 883-char remark
    Show marketing remark (883 chars)

    Welcome to 3742 California Avenue, a mixed-use building located in the heart of Gravois Park. This property offers a flexible layout with three occupiable units, including a commercial storefront, a rear studio unit, and a three-bedroom residential unit on the second floor—functioning as a triplex. The building is fully vacant, providing a clear path for renovation and repositioning. Recent improvements include a new rubber roof, new six-inch gutters, five brand-new windows, along with select newer flooring and structural updates including new joists and framing. The property is in need of rehabilitation and presents a strong opportunity for an owner-occupant or investor seeking a mixed-use asset in a South City location with proximity to major corridors, public transit, and neighborhood amenities. A versatile building with multiple use options for the right buyer.

  4. 2026-03-22
    status Active 883-char remark
    Show marketing remark (883 chars)

    Welcome to 3742 California Avenue, a mixed-use building located in the heart of Gravois Park. This property offers a flexible layout with three occupiable units, including a commercial storefront, a rear studio unit, and a three-bedroom residential unit on the second floor—functioning as a triplex. The building is fully vacant, providing a clear path for renovation and repositioning. Recent improvements include a new rubber roof, new six-inch gutters, five brand-new windows, along with select newer flooring and structural updates including new joists and framing. The property is in need of rehabilitation and presents a strong opportunity for an owner-occupant or investor seeking a mixed-use asset in a South City location with proximity to major corridors, public transit, and neighborhood amenities. A versatile building with multiple use options for the right buyer.

  5. 2026-01-20
    status Pending 883-char remark
    Show marketing remark (883 chars)

    Welcome to 3742 California Avenue, a mixed-use building located in the heart of Gravois Park. This property offers a flexible layout with three occupiable units, including a commercial storefront, a rear studio unit, and a three-bedroom residential unit on the second floor—functioning as a triplex. The building is fully vacant, providing a clear path for renovation and repositioning. Recent improvements include a new rubber roof, new six-inch gutters, five brand-new windows, along with select newer flooring and structural updates including new joists and framing. The property is in need of rehabilitation and presents a strong opportunity for an owner-occupant or investor seeking a mixed-use asset in a South City location with proximity to major corridors, public transit, and neighborhood amenities. A versatile building with multiple use options for the right buyer.

  6. 2025-12-22
    listed $97,000 Active 883-char remark
    Show marketing remark (883 chars)

    Welcome to 3742 California Avenue, a mixed-use building located in the heart of Gravois Park. This property offers a flexible layout with three occupiable units, including a commercial storefront, a rear studio unit, and a three-bedroom residential unit on the second floor—functioning as a triplex. The building is fully vacant, providing a clear path for renovation and repositioning. Recent improvements include a new rubber roof, new six-inch gutters, five brand-new windows, along with select newer flooring and structural updates including new joists and framing. The property is in need of rehabilitation and presents a strong opportunity for an owner-occupant or investor seeking a mixed-use asset in a South City location with proximity to major corridors, public transit, and neighborhood amenities. A versatile building with multiple use options for the right buyer.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,214 · $101/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,214 · $101/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,827
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,214
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,746
− Management
−$1,746
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$9,461
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,271
After-tax cash flow
$7,984/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
25,913
Household income
$57,762
Rent vs Own
56.1% rent · 43.9% own
Severe rent burden
1495.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 41% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -347.51%
Current HPI
171.5963
Rent YoY
▲ 4.89%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $85,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-22 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-20 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $97,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2017): $1,214 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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