7300 N 51st Ave Unit F 99 · Glendale, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
this is a 2bedroom 2bath split with 2 masters looking for a new homeowner.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
- Built 2010
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Heated pool
- HOA & community: Land lease (monthly); Land lease payment $789 per month; No association fees included; Community pool; Community spa; Community laundry (coin-op); Near bus stop
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered spaces; Common parking; 2 carport spaces
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Leasehold ownership
- Construction: Wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Tile roof; Building area reported by owner
- Exterior features: Storage; East/West exposure; Gravel/stone front
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate counters
- Bedrooms: 2 possible bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Two master baths; Additional interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer hookup only
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $667 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 29.2% vs local median 3.5% in Glendale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in AZ, #3,235 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, amenities B; Watch: health & safety D+, crime F.
- Glendale Union High School District (4285) (urban): math 23% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #130 of 249 in AZ (top 52%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-3.0%/yr); 215 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 595 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 595 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 81.65%
- DSCR
- 4.63
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 78.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.41×
- Total profit
- $33,444
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- 81.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.23×
- Total profit
- $70,852
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85301
- Home prices YoY
- -10.6%
- Rents YoY
- -3.0%
- Active inventory
- 215
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,150 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$44 /mo · $525/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $667
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $691 | -5% $679 | +0% $667 | +5% $655 | +10% $643 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $576 | -5% $621 | +0% $667 | +5% $712 | +10% $758 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $684 | -0.5pp $676 | base $667 | +0.5pp $658 | +1.0pp $649 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7160 N 53rd Ave Unit 2 Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $925 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 7151 N 53rd Ave Unit 3 Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,400 | $2.24 | 2d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 7235 N 55th Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 631 | $925 | $1.47 | 2d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 7107 N 53rd Ave Unit 5 Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,000 | $1.33 | 2d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 7107 N 53rd Ave Unit 13 Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 420 | $750 | $1.79 | 2d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 7107 N 53rd Ave Apt 10 Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 649 | $925 | $1.43 | 2d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 4937 W Myrtle Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 752 | $1,225 | $1.63 | 2d | 12 | 0.48mi |
| 5623 W Myrtle Ave Unit 105 Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,195 | $1.71 | 2d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 7711 N 51st Ave Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $1,445 | $2.45 | 2d | 67 | 0.52mi |
| 7153 N 57th Dr Unit 3 Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 607 | $925 | $1.52 | 2d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4949 W Northern Ave Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 632 | $1,445 | $2.29 | 2d | 14 | 0.65mi |
| 8080 N 51st Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 702 | $1,575 | $2.24 | 2d | 11 | 0.68mi |
| 5206 W Ocotillo Rd Unit A Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,350 | $1.80 | 2d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4730 W Northern Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $1,120 | $1.79 | 2d | 2 | 0.95mi |
| 4730 W Northern Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $1,170 | $1.87 | 8d | 2 | 0.95mi |
| 4730 W Northern Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 841 | $1,200 | $1.43 | 25d | 2 | 0.95mi |
| 6637 N 58th Dr Unit 8 Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $695 | $1.39 | 11d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4748 W Sierra Vista Dr Unit A1 Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $910 | $1.40 | 2d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5902 W Royal Palm Rd Glendale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,600 | $2.54 | 2d | 20 | 1.18mi |
| 7102 N 43rd Ave Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 537 | $1,475 | $2.74 | 2d | 30 | 1.20mi |
| 4530 W McLellan Rd Glendale, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 782 | $1,374 | $1.76 | 2d | 6 | 1.22mi |
| 4444 W Ocotillo Rd Glendale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 766 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 2d | 3 | 1.25mi |
| 6060 W Royal Palm Rd Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 543 | $1,146 | $2.11 | 2d | 4 | 1.26mi |
| 8450 N 59th Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 919 | $1,824 | $1.99 | 5d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 6043 W Laurie Ln Apt 4 Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,050 | $1.56 | 12d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 8605 N 59th Ave Unit 2023 Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,150 | $1.77 | 3d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 6049 W Laurie Ln Unit 4 Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,100 | $1.63 | 11d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 6049 W Laurie Ln Unit 7 Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,050 | $1.62 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 6049 W Laurie Ln Unit 5 Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,210 | $1.61 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 8605 N 59th Ave Unit 2027 Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,150 | $1.77 | 8d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 8546 N 59th Ave Apt 206 Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,056 | $1.51 | 20d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 6141 N 59th Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 796 | $1,300 | $1.63 | 2d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5926 W Rose Ln Unit A Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,435 | $1.91 | 2d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 5201 W Olive Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 981 | $2,072 | $2.11 | 2d | 19 | 1.43mi |
| 8530 N 59th Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 0.5–1.0 | 690 | $1,057 | $1.53 | 2d | 3 | 1.43mi |
| 6105 N 59th Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 475 | $899 | $1.89 | 2d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 5947 W Rose Ln Unit 5947-17 Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,275 | $1.70 | 17d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 5947 W Rose Ln Unit 5927-09 Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,030 | $1.72 | 2d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 8546 N 59th Ave Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $1,235 | $1.76 | 2d | 9 | 1.48mi |
| 8546 N 59th Ave Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $1,975 | $2.82 | 20d | 6 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $35,000 Active 595 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $35,000 Active 594 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $35,000 Active 593 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $35,000 Active 592 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $35,000 Active 590 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $35,000 Active 589 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $35,000 Active 586 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $35,000 Active 585 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $35,000 Active 584 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $35,000 Active 581 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $35,000 Active 580 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $35,000 Active 579 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $35,000 Active 578 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $35,000 Active 577 DOM
-
2026-03-09price $35,000
-
2025-10-27price $39,999
-
2025-04-10price $45,000
-
2024-10-31$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥112°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,803
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$525
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,104
- − Management
- −$1,104
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $7,916
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,900
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,102/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Glendale Union High School District (4285)
- NCES district ID
- 0403450
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,846
- Composite
- 22.81/100
- National rank
- #8020
- State rank
- #130 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Glendale
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #3235
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glendale, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 294,586
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 68,178
- Household income
- $53,827
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3741.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 63% Two or more races 37% White 22% Black 8% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 57% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 46% English-only · Spanish 48% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.49%
- Current HPI
- 427.3069
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.98%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
-46.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $35,000 ARMLS
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $39,999 ARMLS
- 2025-04-10 Price Changed $45,000 ARMLS
- 2024-10-31 Listed $65,000 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…