12 Kingslee Ln · Hampton, VA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.65%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.8/30.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$255,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 4 bed, 2.5 bath home offers solid potential and is ready for your vision. Located in an established neighborhood, the property is being sold as-is, with no repairs to be made by the seller. Whether you're looking for your next flip or a rental property to add to your portfolio, this one is worth a look!
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1964
- Listed 316 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $255k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $70 ($844/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (10.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $224k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.5% in Hampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#133 in VA, #4,302 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- Hampton City Public School District (urban): math 60% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #40 of 131 in VA (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 232 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 68 units permitted in Hampton city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hampton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 316 days — a 12% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $199k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 316 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.18%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $331,500
- List price
- $255,000
- Delta
- -23.08%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Michele Dr | 0.24mi | 4/2.5 | 1,732 (-12%) | 5mo | $330,000 | $191 | 64 |
| 11 Veneris Ct | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 1,994 (+1%) | 1mo | $365,000 | $183 | 64 |
| 4 Crew House Rising | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 | 2,020 (+2%) | 2mo | $350,000 | $173 | 63 |
| 201 Shawen Dr | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 1,704 (-14%) | 1mo | $333,000 | $195 | 63 |
| 37 Michele Dr | 0.30mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 1,749 (-12%) | 1mo | $340,000 | $194 | 61 |
| 6 Westover St | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 | 1,740 (-12%) | 0mo | $387,000 | $222 | 60 |
| 6 Valirey Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,771 (-10%) | 0mo | $325,000 | $184 | 53 |
| 108 Long Bridge Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,761 (-11%) | 6mo | $351,000 | $199 | 51 |
| 12 Lands End Cir | 0.65mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,850 (-6%) | 4mo | $700,000 | $378 | 48 |
| 2 Coffman Cir | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 | 2,181 (+10%) | 3mo | $400,000 | $183 | 48 |
| 313 Pasture Ln | 0.49mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,733 (-12%) | 4mo | $385,000 | $222 | 46 |
| 335 Deaton Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,821 (-8%) | 5mo | $350,000 | $192 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-31,069
- Equity at exit
- $38,021
- IRR
- 0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $3,620
- Equity at exit
- $22,048
Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23669
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 232
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,289 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,337
- Tax from tax record
- −$294 /mo · $3,532/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$481
- Net cashflow
- $70
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,750
- Closing costs
- $7,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 W Lamington Rd Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1415 | $2,050 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 98 Apollo Dr Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1880 | $2,200 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 98 Apollo Dr Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1880 | $2,200 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 102 Tyburn Ct Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 12d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 217 W Gilbert St Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2055 | $2,495 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 225 W Gilbert St Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2196 | $2,700 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 63 Waters Edge Cir Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1667 | $2,400 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 18 Colonies Lndg Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $2,000 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 17 S Gawain Way Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1460 | $1,895 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 31 Saxony Pl Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1315 | $1,645 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 99 Tide Mill Ln Hampton, VA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1145 | $2,756 | $2.41 | 2d | 19 | 1.30mi |
| 608 Charlton Dr Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 11 Overlook Ct Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $2,500 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 348 Wrexham Ct Hampton, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2193 | $2,400 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 128 Fort Worth St Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1851 | $2,300 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 110 Marvin Dr Hampton, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2300 | $2,400 | $1.04 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $255,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $255,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $255,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $255,000 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $255,000 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $255,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $255,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $255,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $255,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $255,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $255,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $255,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-01-15price $255,000 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
This 4 bed, 2.5 bath home offers solid potential and is ready for your vision. Located in an established neighborhood, the property is being sold as-is, with no repairs to be made by the seller. Whether you're looking for your next flip or a rental property to add to your portfolio, this one is worth a look!
-
2025-08-06$275,000 Active 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
This 4 bed, 2.5 bath home offers solid potential and is ready for your vision. Located in an established neighborhood, the property is being sold as-is, with no repairs to be made by the seller. Whether you're looking for your next flip or a rental property to add to your portfolio, this one is worth a look!
-
2007-02-23soldstatus $199,000
-
1996-11-01soldstatus $85,000
-
1979-10-01soldstatus $34,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,532 · $294/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,532 · $294/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,465
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,284
- − Property taxes
- −$3,532
- − Insurance
- −$1,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,197
- − Management
- −$2,197
- − Depreciation
- −$7,418
- Taxable loss
- −$3,438
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$825
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,669/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hampton City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101800
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,089
- Composite
- 55.19/100
- National rank
- #1272
- State rank
- #40 of 131 in VA
Livability — Hampton
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #133
- US rank
- #4302
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hampton, VA
- County
- Hampton City · 132,421 people
- City population
- 132,421
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,884
- Household income
- $71,222
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2130.0
Population outlook (Hampton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 134,055 people
- By 2030
- 131,753 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 125,017 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 116,825 · -12.9%
- By 2075
- 97,033 · -27.6%
- By 2100
- 76,188 · -43.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 46% White 39% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hampton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.9) · D 69.2% · R 29.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.0pp no change · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.9 2020: D+42.2 2016: D+37.8 2012: D+45.4 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.40%
- Current HPI
- 276.4636
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.44%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+630.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $255,000 REINMLS
- 2025-08-06 Listed $275,000 REINMLS
- 2007-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $199,000 Public Records
- 1996-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 1979-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,532 · +16.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…