320 Webster St · Merrill, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$135,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Back on the market! Don’t miss this charming home located in the peaceful community of Merrill. This property features a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets and outdoor enjoyment. Inside, the home offers all kitchen appliances, plus a washer and dryer for added convenience. Recent updates include new flooring, fresh carpet, and brand-new cabinets ready to be painted and customized to your taste. With a cozy layout and plenty of potential, this home is ready for its next owner to make it their own. Great opportunity in a quiet, welcoming area. Property is being sold as-is.
Key facts
- Brand-new cabinets
- Washer and dryer
- New flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $136k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $50 ($598/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (10.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#425 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
- Le Mars Community School District (town): math 73% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #96 of 289 in IA (top 33%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 147 units permitted in Plymouth County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($937 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $69k; list at $136k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.58%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $257,587
- List price
- $135,500
- Delta
- -47.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 521 Douglas St | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,448 (+5%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $117 | 68 |
| 427 Main St | 0.16mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,308 (-5%) | 19mo | $90,500 | $69 | 61 |
| 626 4th St | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,386 (+1%) | 24mo | $185,000 | $133 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.52% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $23,250
- Equity at exit
- $64,924
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $73,788
- Equity at exit
- $103,280
Cash invested: $37,940 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51038
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,207 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$711
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,640/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $50
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,875
- Closing costs
- $4,065
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 584-char remark
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Back on the market! Don’t miss this charming home located in the peaceful community of Merrill. This property features a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets and outdoor enjoyment. Inside, the home offers all kitchen appliances, plus a washer and dryer for added convenience. Recent updates include new flooring, fresh carpet, and brand-new cabinets ready to be painted and customized to your taste. With a cozy layout and plenty of potential, this home is ready for its next owner to make it their own. Great opportunity in a quiet, welcoming area. Property is being sold as-is.
-
2026-01-15$135,500 Active 584-char remark
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Back on the market! Don’t miss this charming home located in the peaceful community of Merrill. This property features a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets and outdoor enjoyment. Inside, the home offers all kitchen appliances, plus a washer and dryer for added convenience. Recent updates include new flooring, fresh carpet, and brand-new cabinets ready to be painted and customized to your taste. With a cozy layout and plenty of potential, this home is ready for its next owner to make it their own. Great opportunity in a quiet, welcoming area. Property is being sold as-is.
-
2025-11-19$135,500 Active
-
2021-11-15soldstatus $69,000
-
2006-12-11soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,640 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,884 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- +$244/yr (+$20/mo · 14.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,484
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,590
- − Property taxes
- −$1,640
- − Insurance
- −$678
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,159
- − Management
- −$1,159
- − Depreciation
- −$3,942
- Taxable loss
- −$1,683
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$404
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,002/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Le Mars Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1916530
- Math proficiency
- 73% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,414
- Composite
- 61.97/100
- National rank
- #723
- State rank
- #96 of 289 in IA
Livability — Merrill
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #425
- US rank
- #9147
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Merrill, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,512
Population outlook (Plymouth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,214 people
- By 2030
- 25,257 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 25,304 · +0.4%
- By 2050
- 25,421 · +0.8%
- By 2075
- 26,820 · +6.4%
- By 2100
- 27,604 · +9.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 6% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Plymouth
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.2) · D 22.3% · R 76.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.2pp toward R · 2008: -25.1pp · 2024: -54.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.2 2020: R+49.3 2016: R+51.9 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+25.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.52%
- Current HPI
- 186.2804
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+146.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — NWIA
- 2026-01-15 Listed $135,500 NWIA
- 2025-11-19 Listed $135,500 NWIA
- 2021-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
- 2006-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,640 · +79.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…