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7885 Prairie Falcon Ct SE
C+ Composite 64.91
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.7/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

7885 Prairie Falcon Ct SE · Cutlerville, MI 49508
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,052 sqft · Other · 61 Days on market
Built 2000 $56/sqft · 128% above area $765/mo HOA · 34% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits! 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home located in a Grand Rapids community. This home offers a functional layout with a spacious living area and primary bedroom with private bath. The home has not been lived in for the past 3 years and will need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for someone looking to add their own touches. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Priced with potential in mind!

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Community pool
  • Built 2000

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.4% in Cutlerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#280 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Byron Center Public Schools (suburban): math 69% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #15 of 540 in MI (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Recommended offer $108,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.96%
Cap rate
8.57%
Cash-on-cash
8.14%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$50,365
List price
$115,000
Delta
128.33%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$1,919
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$48,216
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49508

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
156
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,251 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$765
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$473
Net cashflow
$218

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,974
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $298 -5% $258 +0% $218 +5% $179 +10% $139
Rent -10% $41 -5% $130 +0% $218 +5% $307 +10% $396
Rate -1.0pp $276 -0.5pp $248 base $218 +0.5pp $189 +1.0pp $158

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
545 68th St SE Grand Rapids, MI 3.0 2.5 1800 $2,400 $1.33 45d 1 1.42mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$765 · $9,180/yr

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home located in a Grand Rapids community. This home offers a functional layout with a spacious living area and primary bedroom with private bath. The home has not been lived in for the past 3 years and will need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for someone looking to add their own touches. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Priced with potential in mind!

  2. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home located in a Grand Rapids community. This home offers a functional layout with a spacious living area and primary bedroom with private bath. The home has not been lived in for the past 3 years and will need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for someone looking to add their own touches. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Priced with potential in mind!

  3. 2026-05-11
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home located in a Grand Rapids community. This home offers a functional layout with a spacious living area and primary bedroom with private bath. The home has not been lived in for the past 3 years and will need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for someone looking to add their own touches. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Priced with potential in mind!

  4. 2026-03-31
    status Active 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home located in a Grand Rapids community. This home offers a functional layout with a spacious living area and primary bedroom with private bath. The home has not been lived in for the past 3 years and will need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for someone looking to add their own touches. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Priced with potential in mind!

  5. 2026-03-27
    historical 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home located in a Grand Rapids community. This home offers a functional layout with a spacious living area and primary bedroom with private bath. The home has not been lived in for the past 3 years and will need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for someone looking to add their own touches. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Priced with potential in mind!

  6. 2026-03-13
    status Active 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home located in a Grand Rapids community. This home offers a functional layout with a spacious living area and primary bedroom with private bath. The home has not been lived in for the past 3 years and will need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for someone looking to add their own touches. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Priced with potential in mind!

  7. 2026-03-13
    status Active 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home located in a Grand Rapids community. This home offers a functional layout with a spacious living area and primary bedroom with private bath. The home has not been lived in for the past 3 years and will need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for someone looking to add their own touches. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Priced with potential in mind!

  8. 2026-03-13
    historical 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home located in a Grand Rapids community. This home offers a functional layout with a spacious living area and primary bedroom with private bath. The home has not been lived in for the past 3 years and will need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for someone looking to add their own touches. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Priced with potential in mind!

  9. 2026-03-13
    historical 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home located in a Grand Rapids community. This home offers a functional layout with a spacious living area and primary bedroom with private bath. The home has not been lived in for the past 3 years and will need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for someone looking to add their own touches. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Priced with potential in mind!

  10. 2026-03-10
    listed $115,000 Active 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home located in a Grand Rapids community. This home offers a functional layout with a spacious living area and primary bedroom with private bath. The home has not been lived in for the past 3 years and will need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for someone looking to add their own touches. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Priced with potential in mind!

  11. 2026-03-10
    listed $115,000 Active 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home located in a Grand Rapids community. This home offers a functional layout with a spacious living area and primary bedroom with private bath. The home has not been lived in for the past 3 years and will need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for someone looking to add their own touches. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Priced with potential in mind!

  12. 2026-03-10
    listed $115,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Opportunity awaits! 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home located in a Grand Rapids community. This home offers a functional layout with a spacious living area and primary bedroom with private bath. The home has not been lived in for the past 3 years and will need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for someone looking to add their own touches. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Priced with potential in mind!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,010
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,725
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,161
− Management
−$2,161
− HOA
−$9,180
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$1,422
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$341
After-tax cash flow
$2,280/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Byron Center Public Schools
NCES district ID
2607560
Math proficiency
69% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$63,763
Composite
61.5/100
National rank
#753
State rank
#15 of 540 in MI

Livability — Cutlerville

Score
71/100
State rank
#280
US rank
#6874

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Kent County · 533,805 people
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
Population (ZIP)
42,720
Household income
$70,120
Rent vs Own
39.3% rent · 60.7% own
Severe rent burden
1358.0

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
712,484 people
By 2030
748,618 · +5.1%
By 2040
814,777 · +14.4%
By 2050
868,556 · +21.9%
By 2075
966,487 · +35.7%
By 2100
967,975 · +35.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 24% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Iranian 15% Romanian 3% Swiss 3%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Philippines, India
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -153.47%
Current HPI
274.2591
Rent YoY
▲ 5.64%
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-11 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-13 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-13 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $115,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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