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912 Bald Eagle Run
D Composite 42.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.7/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,500

912 Bald Eagle Run · Tallahassee, FL 32304
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 97 Days on market
Built 1989 4,356 sqft lot Est $178k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This two bedroom, two bathroom home is close to FSU/FAMU/TCC and would be the perfect buy for students or investors! Close to the downtown area as well. Sliding glass back door leading to a fenced back yard with a storage shed! Master bedroom has a walk in closet.

Key facts

  • Spacious pantry
  • Stainless appliances
  • Ample cabinet space

Tags

OPEN LIVING AND KITCHEN LAYOUTBAR SEATINGSPACIOUS PANTRYSTAINLESS APPLIANCESAMPLE CABINET SPACETILE FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: For sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Home design: Single-story; Lot approximately 0.1 acres
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Private maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom with dimensions 15x12; Bedroom 2 with dimensions 15x12
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Tray ceilings; Vaulted ceilings
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-60 ($-723/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $159k (6.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (20.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.2% in Tallahassee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#19 in FL, #429 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D.
  • Leon (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #33 of 73 in FL (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,765 units permitted in Leon County in 2024 (975 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,355/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 6995% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Leon County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $63k; list at $170k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,503 (20.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
5.87%
Cash-on-cash
-1.52%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$178,416
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
901 Brave Trl 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,092 (+8%) 3mo $199,900 $183 75
2113 Melanie Dr 0.19mi 3/1.0 (+1) 975 (-3%) 9mo $173,000 $177 69
1737 Atkamire Dr 0.31mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,026 (+2%) 7mo $180,000 $175 68
1811 Jackson Bluff Rd 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,042 (+3%) 3mo $115,000 $110 66
1824 Tyndall Dr 0.28mi 3/1.0 (+1) 934 (-7%) 5mo $165,000 $177 62
1825 Tyndall Dr 0.26mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (-10%) 6mo $185,000 $203 58
1811 Tyndall Dr 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (-10%) 4mo $169,000 $185 57
1658 Sharkey St 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 974 (-3%) 10mo $187,000 $192 55
1631 Mccaskill Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 946 (-6%) 5mo $98,000 $104 53
2131 Berkshire Dr 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (-10%) 9mo $150,000 $164 47
1605 Mayhew St 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (-10%) 8mo $165,000 $181 41
1426 Pepper Dr 0.67mi 1/1.0 (-1) 858 (-15%) 9mo $92,500 $108 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.69% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.0%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-28,967
Equity at exit
$25,273
10-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-20,235
Equity at exit
$14,655

Cash invested: $47,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32304

Home prices YoY
-21.2%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,355 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$889
Tax from tax record
$171 /mo · $2,055/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$-60

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,431
Max offer price $158,851
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,375
Closing costs
$5,085
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
930 S Lipona Rd Unit D Tallahassee, FL 2.0 2.0 896 $1,295 $1.45 21d 1 0.10mi
2125 Jackson Bluff Rd Tallahassee, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 975 $1,172 $1.20 21d 4 0.24mi
2131 Jackson Bluff Rd Tallahassee, FL 2.0 2.0 1043 $1,257 $1.21 13d 3 0.30mi
316 Ausley Rd Tallahassee, FL 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 750 $798 $1.06 13d 8 0.40mi
301 S Lipona Rd #24 Tallahassee, FL 2.0 1.5 896 $1,350 $1.51 21d 1 0.43mi
1801 Lenora Dr Tallahassee, FL 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,800 $1.57 21d 1 0.45mi
1854 Belle Vue Way Tallahassee, FL 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1100 $1,235 $1.12 21d 1 0.48mi
1643 Sharkey St Tallahassee, FL 3.0 1.0 912 $1,350 $1.48 21d 1 0.49mi
1606 Airport Dr Tallahassee, FL 3.0 2.0 1008 $1,395 $1.38 21d 1 0.57mi
220 Atkinson Dr Unit D Tallahassee, FL 2.0 1.0 928 $1,100 $1.19 21d 1 0.60mi
1616 McCaskill Ave Tallahassee, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $969 $1.29 21d 43 0.65mi
1426 Pepper Dr Tallahassee, FL 2.0 1.0 858 $1,250 $1.46 21d 1 0.66mi
1313 Airport Dr Unit DRE6 Tallahassee, FL 1.0 1.5 1100 $1,300 $1.18 13d 1 0.68mi
1327 Jackson Bluff Rd Tallahassee, FL 2.0–4.0 2.0 1450 $475 $0.33 21d 1 0.68mi
1612 Overstreet St Tallahassee, FL 3.0 3.0 1500 $3,300 $2.20 21d 1 0.70mi
1303 Airport Dr Unit A08 Tallahassee, FL 2.0 2.5 1083 $1,475 $1.36 21d 1 0.71mi
317 Mabry St Tallahassee, FL 2.0 1.0 808 $898 $1.11 21d 1 0.75mi
2202 W Pensacola St Tallahassee, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0 950 $1,224 $1.29 21d 3 0.76mi
205 White Dr Tallahassee, FL 1.0–4.0 1.0–4.0 1155 $637 $0.55 21d 1 0.95mi
1240 Levy Ave Tallahassee, FL 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,350 $1.05 21d 1 0.95mi
322 Conradi St Tallahassee, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,950 $1.77 21d 4 1.08mi
833 W Gaines St Tallahassee, FL 2.0 2.0 1080 $2,350 $2.18 13d 2 1.17mi
2182 Timberwood Cir S Unit 1 Tallahassee, FL 3.0 2.5 1280 $1,599 $1.25 21d 1 1.19mi
103 Cactus St Tallahassee, FL 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 13d 3 1.19mi
808 Saint Augustine St Tallahassee, FL 2.0 2.5 1500 $2,095 $1.40 21d 1 1.28mi
1525 W Tennessee St #307 Tallahassee, FL 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 21d 1 1.29mi
1001 Ocala Rd Tallahassee, FL 4.0 1.0–2.0 899 $584 $0.65 21d 6 1.32mi
2350 Horne Ave Unit 2 Tallahassee, FL 2.0 2.0 800 $995 $1.24 21d 1 1.33mi
1315 Pinellas St Tallahassee, FL 3.0 3.0 1197 $1,450 $1.21 21d 1 1.39mi
900 Taylor St Unit B Tallahassee, FL 1.0 1.0 864 $1,000 $1.16 21d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    pricedays on market $169,500 Active 97 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 96 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 95 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 94 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $175,000 Active 92 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $175,000 Active 89 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 88 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 87 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 86 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $175,000 Active 83 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 82 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 81 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 80 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 79 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $175,000 Active 78 DOM
  16. 2026-05-06
    status Active
  17. 2026-04-20
    historical Active Under Contract
  18. 2026-03-13
    listed $175,000 Active
  19. 2015-02-02
    soldstatus $63,000
  20. 2013-05-10
    soldstatus $45,000
  21. 2013-05-06
    soldstatus $45,000 264-char remark
    Show marketing remark (264 chars)

    This two bedroom, two bathroom home is close to FSU/FAMU/TCC and would be the perfect buy for students or investors! Close to the downtown area as well. Sliding glass back door leading to a fenced back yard with a storage shed! Master bedroom has a walk in closet.

  22. 2012-02-22
    listed $45,000 264-char remark
    Show marketing remark (264 chars)

    This two bedroom, two bathroom home is close to FSU/FAMU/TCC and would be the perfect buy for students or investors! Close to the downtown area as well. Sliding glass back door leading to a fenced back yard with a storage shed! Master bedroom has a walk in closet.

  23. 2006-09-19
    soldstatus $122,300
  24. 2006-09-13
    soldstatus $122,265
  25. 2006-05-12
    listed $125,000
  26. 2000-05-05
    soldstatus $59,000
  27. 1996-04-17
    soldstatus $49,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,055 · $171/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,055 · $171/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,260
− Mortgage interest
−$9,495
− Property taxes
−$2,055
− Insurance
−$848
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,301
− Management
−$1,301
− Depreciation
−$4,931
Taxable loss
−$3,669
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$881
After-tax cash flow
$157/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Leon
NCES district ID
1201110
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,339
Composite
42.84/100
National rank
#3131
State rank
#33 of 73 in FL

Livability — Tallahassee

Score
86/100
State rank
#19
US rank
#429

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C+ Employment D Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tallahassee, FL
County
Leon County · 294,472 people
City population
294,472
Metro
Tallahassee, FL
Population (ZIP)
51,673
Household income
$32,348
Rent vs Own
86.5% rent · 13.5% own
Severe rent burden
6995.0

Population outlook (Leon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,507 people
By 2030
330,677 · +4.8%
By 2040
358,465 · +13.6%
By 2050
386,804 · +22.6%
By 2075
465,480 · +47.5%
By 2100
519,959 · +64.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 45% Black 36% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Leon

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.3% · R 38.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 24.3pp · 2024: 21.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.8 2020: D+28.3 2016: D+25.1 2012: D+23.6 2008: D+24.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.04%
Current HPI
267.8426
Rent YoY
▲ 4.69%
Metro
Tallahassee, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+250.7% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Relisted CATRS
  • 2026-04-20 Contingent CATRS
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $175,000 CATRS
  • 2015-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
  • 2013-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2013-05-06 Sold (MLS) $45,000 CATRS
  • 2012-02-22 Listed $45,000 CATRS
  • 2006-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $122,300 Public Records
  • 2006-09-13 Sold (MLS) $122,265 CATRS
  • 2006-05-12 Listed $125,000 CATRS
  • 2000-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
  • 1996-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,055 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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