529 Madison Dr · Davenport, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
$10,000 SELLER CREDIT toward closing costs or rate buydown! Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath fully fenced townhome in Madison Place, Davenport—a community offering convenient amenities and Central Florida living. This functional two-level layout features open living spaces, bright living and dining areas, and easy-care laminate flooring throughout the main level. The kitchen showcases granite countertops, ample cabinetry storage, and a convenient connection to the living area for daily use and gatherings. The three bedrooms are located upstairs, creating clear separation between the main living areas and private spaces.
Key facts
- Open living spaces
- Fenced rear patio
- Community amenities
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $230k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-315 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (24.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (11.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $174k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#423 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Horizons Elementary School (math 37% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,587 of 2,144 statewide, top 74%, 1,468 students, 42% FRL); Shelley S. Boone Middle School (math 25% / reading 25%, grade F, #517 of 571 statewide, top 91%, 1,403 students, 52% FRL); Ridge Community High School (math 12% / reading 33%, grade F, #539 of 667 statewide, top 81%, 2,711 students, 48% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Polk average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 2025 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 80d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.87%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $275,740
- List price
- $229,900
- Delta
- -16.62%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4082 Limeklin Falls Loop | 1.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (+2%) | 0mo | $326,990 | $217 | 62 |
| 5172 Native Mile Loop | 1.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (+2%) | 0mo | $345,990 | $230 | 62 |
| 221 Prather Dr | 1.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,435 (-3%) | 0mo | $215,000 | $150 | 55 |
| 3350 Wandel Ter | 1.15mi | 3/2.5 | 1,378 (-7%) | 0mo | $250,390 | $182 | 51 |
| 3338 Wandel Ter | 1.16mi | 3/2.5 | 1,378 (-7%) | 0mo | $250,390 | $182 | 51 |
| 2574 Olympic Ct | 1.26mi | 3/2.5 | 1,673 (+13%) | 0mo | $299,990 | $179 | 41 |
| 2570 Olympic Ct | 1.27mi | 3/2.5 | 1,673 (+13%) | 0mo | $299,990 | $179 | 41 |
| 348 Sir Phillips Dr | 1.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,693 (+14%) | 0mo | $290,000 | $171 | 41 |
| 4217 Bixby Bridge Pl | 1.16mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,665 (+12%) | 0mo | $341,990 | $205 | 39 |
| 4340 Chester Springs Blvd | 1.21mi | 3/2.5 | 1,699 (+15%) | 0mo | $283,790 | $167 | 38 |
| 2582 Olympic Ct | 1.26mi | 3/2.5 | 1,758 (+19%) | 0mo | $312,900 | $178 | 38 |
| 3411 Mud Canyon Dr | 1.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,840 (+24%) | 0mo | $386,560 | $210 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -30.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.02×
- Total profit
- $-63,030
- Equity at exit
- $34,279
- IRR
- -59.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.60×
- Total profit
- $-102,793
- Equity at exit
- $19,878
Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 43 active · 8 under contract
- Months of supply
- 258.0 mo (0%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $250,000 ($174/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 80 d
- This list price
- 19% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +7.3% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33837
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- -2.7%
- Active inventory
- 2025
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,035 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$320 /mo · $3,844/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$301
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$427
- Net cashflow
- $-315
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-185 | -5% $-250 | +0% $-315 | +5% $-380 | +10% $-445 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-476 | -5% $-395 | +0% $-315 | +5% $-234 | +10% $-154 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-199 | -0.5pp $-256 | base $-315 | +0.5pp $-374 | +1.0pp $-435 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,475
- Closing costs
- $6,897
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 868 Grandin St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 99d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 509 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,900 | $1.28 | 119d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 844 Grandin St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 9d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 840 Grandin St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 65d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1004 Appleton St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,900 | $1.28 | 80d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2199 Longleaf Rd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1464 | $2,100 | $1.43 | 80d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2195 Longleaf Rd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1463 | $2,200 | $1.50 | 119d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 476 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 2d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 936 Grandin St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 9d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 936 Grandin St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 119d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1105 Merrill St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 80d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 959 Grandin St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 119d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1068 Appleton St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,895 | $1.28 | 7d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 653 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,680 | $1.14 | 119d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 393 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $1,995 | $1.40 | 63d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1642 Rock Elm Rd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1463 | $1,875 | $1.28 | 0d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1128 Merrill St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 99d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 373 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,700 | $1.15 | 2d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1311 Tallowwood Ln Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1488 | $1,850 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 707 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1404 | $1,575 | $1.12 | 9d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3025 Ascend Ridge Dr Davenport, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1172 | $2,114 | $1.80 | 0d | 9 | 0.16mi |
| 1904 Tamarack Pass Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1477 | $1,890 | $1.28 | 9d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 342 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 110d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 338 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 110d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1335 Tallowwood Ln Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1488 | $1,950 | $1.31 | 73d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1335 Tallowwood Ln Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1463 | $1,895 | $1.30 | 6d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 233 Mandovi St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,900 | $1.28 | 119d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 306 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 88d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1975 Tamarack Pass Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1488 | $2,100 | $1.41 | 9d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 217 Mandovi St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1417 | $2,300 | $1.62 | 119d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1824 Rock Elm Rd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1464 | $1,950 | $1.33 | 114d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 205 Mandovi St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 119d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1382 Tallowwood Ln Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1488 | $1,900 | $1.28 | 119d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1206 Balsam Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1488 | $1,950 | $1.31 | 80d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1217 Balsam Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1488 | $1,900 | $1.28 | 99d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1831 Rock Elm Rd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1463 | $1,950 | $1.33 | 117d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1823 Rock Elm Rd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1464 | $1,890 | $1.29 | 9d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 117 Mandovi St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 117d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 117 Mandovi St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $1,800 | $1.27 | 119d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 125 Mandovi St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,850 | $1.25 | 9d | 1 | 0.24mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Home warranty included
- Financial info
- Total monthly community fees reported: $301.93Total annual community fees reported: $3,623.16
- HOA & community
- HOA required (monthly dues)Association fee: $194 monthly plus an additional $107.93 monthly (two associations)Association covers structure and grounds maintenanceCommunity clubhouse, pool, playground, and sidewalksPets allowed
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerCable availableElectricity available
- Home design
- Residential townhouseTwo storiesNortheast facingEntry on ground level
- Construction
- Block and frame constructionShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt by developer (builder source for living area and building area)
- Exterior features
- LightingSidewalksAsphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalMicrowaveRangeRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetLaminateTile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Open floorplan with living room/dining room comboThermostatWalk-in closets
- Laundry & utility
- Inside laundry in a laundry closetWasherDryer
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-05days on market $229,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $229,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $229,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $229,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $229,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $229,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $229,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $229,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $229,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $229,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $229,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $229,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $229,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $229,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $229,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $229,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $229,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $229,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $229,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $229,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $229,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $229,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $229,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $229,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $229,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $229,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $229,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-08-07pricedays on market $229,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $249,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $249,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $249,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $249,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $249,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $249,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $249,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $249,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $249,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $249,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $249,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $249,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $249,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-19days on market $249,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-18pricedays on market $249,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $255,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $255,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $255,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $255,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $255,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $255,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $255,900 Active 48 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,844 · $320/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,844 · $320/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,425
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,878
- − Property taxes
- −$3,844
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,954
- − Management
- −$1,954
- − HOA
- −$3,612
- − Depreciation
- −$6,688
- Taxable loss
- −$7,654
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,837
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,940/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This fully fenced townhome in Madison Place, Davenport is in excellent condition with modern amenities and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good investment opportunity with minimal maintenance and high potential for value appreciation.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping and irrigation system — Well-maintained landscaping and irrigation system improve curb appeal and water efficiency ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Modern flooring in bathrooms enhances aesthetics and is a high-ROI improvement ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Davenport
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #423
- US rank
- #7541
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Polk County · 752,975 people
- City population
- 104,279
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,389
- Household income
- $81,276
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 42% White 36% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 22% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 5% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 35% French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.62%
- Current HPI
- 256.8165
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.73%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+10765.2% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-18 Price Changed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-22 Listed $255,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-21 Rental Removed $1,900 STELLARMLS
- 2024-08-18 Listed for Rent $1,900 STELLARMLS
- 2024-06-13 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-09 Listed $289,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-08 Rental Removed $1,890 STELLARMLS
- 2024-04-25 Price Changed $1,890 STELLARMLS
- 2024-03-27 Price Changed $2,100 STELLARMLS
- 2024-03-20 Price Changed $2,200 STELLARMLS
- 2024-02-24 Listed for Rent $2,300 STELLARMLS
Property tax history
+81.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,844 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…