1809 26th St #14 · La Grande, OR
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.18%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This move-in ready 3 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home features several recent updates including new windows and new carpet. The remolded kitchen offers new countertops, soft-close drawers, and all of the appliances are included. The spacious primary bedroom features a walk – in closet for plenty of storage. Outside you’ll find a covered deck, perfect for relaxing, along with a tool shed for your garden tools and extra storage.
Key facts
- New carpet
- Remodeled kitchen
- New countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $886 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.7% vs local median 2.9% in La Grande — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#74 in OR, #3,311 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, commute F, employment F.
- La Grande SD 1 (town): math 24% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #23 of 58 in OR (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 126 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 38 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Union County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $69k implies a 263% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.01%
- DSCR
- 3.45
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $260,345
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- -73.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1809 26th St #52 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 990 (-10%) | 19mo | $75,000 | $76 | 62 |
| 2809 Minam Ct | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+5%) | 13mo | $280,000 | $243 | 59 |
| 1809 26th St #25 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 952 (-14%) | 15mo | $35,000 | $37 | 56 |
| 10504 G Ct | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (+8%) | 5mo | $303,000 | $255 | 51 |
| 10503 G Ct | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (+8%) | 12mo | $239,900 | $202 | 44 |
| 10409 H Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (+8%) | 16mo | $249,000 | $210 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.34×
- Total profit
- $45,223
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 58.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.80×
- Total profit
- $111,986
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97850
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,657 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $389/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$348
- Net cashflow
- $886
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11619 Island Ave Unit P-131 Island City, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,600 | $1.54 | 10d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 10202 White Birch Ln La Grande, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1213 | $2,200 | $1.81 | 1d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 303 18th St Unit D La Grande, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,895 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1208 Adams Ave La Grande, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,025 | $1.39 | 1d | 3 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $69,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-04-03price $69,000 446-char remark
Show marketing remark (446 chars)
This move-in ready 3 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home features several recent updates including new windows and new carpet. The remolded kitchen offers new countertops, soft-close drawers, and all of the appliances are included. The spacious primary bedroom features a walk – in closet for plenty of storage. Outside you’ll find a covered deck, perfect for relaxing, along with a tool shed for your garden tools and extra storage.
-
2026-03-12$79,900 Active 446-char remark
Show marketing remark (446 chars)
This move-in ready 3 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home features several recent updates including new windows and new carpet. The remolded kitchen offers new countertops, soft-close drawers, and all of the appliances are included. The spacious primary bedroom features a walk – in closet for plenty of storage. Outside you’ll find a covered deck, perfect for relaxing, along with a tool shed for your garden tools and extra storage.
-
2003-01-23soldstatus $19,000 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Needs to be cleaned and repaired. I will be getting bids for work and start repairs.
-
2002-10-08$22,500 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Needs to be cleaned and repaired. I will be getting bids for work and start repairs.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $389 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $669 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- +$280/yr (+$23/mo · 72.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 18% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,880
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$389
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,590
- − Management
- −$1,590
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $10,092
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,422
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,206/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- La Grande SD 1
- NCES district ID
- 4107200
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,706
- Composite
- 31.11/100
- National rank
- #6070
- State rank
- #23 of 58 in OR
Livability — La Grande
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #74
- US rank
- #3311
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- La Grande, OR
- County
- Union County · 16,903 people
- City population
- 16,903
- Metro
- La Grande, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,903
- Household income
- $63,421
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 597.0
Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,207 people
- By 2030
- 24,794 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 23,658 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 22,897 · -9.2%
- By 2075
- 20,885 · -17.1%
- By 2100
- 17,841 · -29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Pacific Islander 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Portuguese 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Union
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.6) · D 28.1% · R 68.7% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.6pp · 2024: -40.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.6 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+30.8 2008: R+23.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -144.50%
- Current HPI
- 213.8093
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- La Grande, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+206.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $69,000 RMLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $79,900 RMLS
- 2003-01-23 Sold (MLS) $19,000 RMLS
- 2002-10-08 Listed $22,500 RMLS
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $389 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…