580 Sipesville Rd · Lincoln, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Character and craftsmanship don't come easy, but they're all over this 4-bedroom, 2-bath Somerset County charmer at 580 Sipesville Road. You'll appreciate the extraordinary woodwork throughout: rich millwork, detailed trim, and a level of quality rarely found in today's new construction. The fully remodeled eat-in kitchen is massive with plenty of room for cooking, gathering, and staying a while. One full bath ups the charm with a stunning clawfoot tub. Four bedrooms and two full baths give you the flexibility to live, host, and grow. Rest easy knowing the big stuff is done: new metal roof and many replacement windows throughout. Minutes to Route 219 and Somerset's shopping corridor for everyday convenience. Head toward Route 30 and you're in Jennerstown, home to Green Gables, The Fat Squirrel, and Jennerstown Speedway. Homes like this don't wait- schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- New metal roof
- Detailed trim
- Replacement windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#984 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Somerset Area SD (town): math 40% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #185 of 539 in PA (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Somerset County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.84%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $177,894
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -24.11%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 671 Sipesville Rd | 0.23mi | 4/1.5 | 2,016 (+4%) | 11mo | $65,000 | $32 | 72 |
| 163 Link Rd | 0.63mi | 5/1.0 (+1) | 2,023 (+4%) | 16mo | $295,000 | $146 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $26,000
- Equity at exit
- $60,702
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $78,989
- Equity at exit
- $93,549
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15561
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,374 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $153
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $246 | -5% $199 | +0% $153 | +5% $106 | +10% $59 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $44 | -5% $98 | +0% $153 | +5% $207 | +10% $261 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $221 | -0.5pp $187 | base $153 | +0.5pp $118 | +1.0pp $82 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $135,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $145,000 888-char remark
Show marketing remark (888 chars)
Character and craftsmanship don't come easy, but they're all over this 4-bedroom, 2-bath Somerset County charmer at 580 Sipesville Road. You'll appreciate the extraordinary woodwork throughout: rich millwork, detailed trim, and a level of quality rarely found in today's new construction. The fully remodeled eat-in kitchen is massive with plenty of room for cooking, gathering, and staying a while. One full bath ups the charm with a stunning clawfoot tub. Four bedrooms and two full baths give you the flexibility to live, host, and grow. Rest easy knowing the big stuff is done: new metal roof and many replacement windows throughout. Minutes to Route 219 and Somerset's shopping corridor for everyday convenience. Head toward Route 30 and you're in Jennerstown, home to Green Gables, The Fat Squirrel, and Jennerstown Speedway. Homes like this don't wait- schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-06price $145,000 888-char remark
Show marketing remark (888 chars)
Character and craftsmanship don't come easy, but they're all over this 4-bedroom, 2-bath Somerset County charmer at 580 Sipesville Road. You'll appreciate the extraordinary woodwork throughout: rich millwork, detailed trim, and a level of quality rarely found in today's new construction. The fully remodeled eat-in kitchen is massive with plenty of room for cooking, gathering, and staying a while. One full bath ups the charm with a stunning clawfoot tub. Four bedrooms and two full baths give you the flexibility to live, host, and grow. Rest easy knowing the big stuff is done: new metal roof and many replacement windows throughout. Minutes to Route 219 and Somerset's shopping corridor for everyday convenience. Head toward Route 30 and you're in Jennerstown, home to Green Gables, The Fat Squirrel, and Jennerstown Speedway. Homes like this don't wait- schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-16$155,000 Active 888-char remark
Show marketing remark (888 chars)
Character and craftsmanship don't come easy, but they're all over this 4-bedroom, 2-bath Somerset County charmer at 580 Sipesville Road. You'll appreciate the extraordinary woodwork throughout: rich millwork, detailed trim, and a level of quality rarely found in today's new construction. The fully remodeled eat-in kitchen is massive with plenty of room for cooking, gathering, and staying a while. One full bath ups the charm with a stunning clawfoot tub. Four bedrooms and two full baths give you the flexibility to live, host, and grow. Rest easy knowing the big stuff is done: new metal roof and many replacement windows throughout. Minutes to Route 219 and Somerset's shopping corridor for everyday convenience. Head toward Route 30 and you're in Jennerstown, home to Green Gables, The Fat Squirrel, and Jennerstown Speedway. Homes like this don't wait- schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-16$155,000 Active 888-char remark
Show marketing remark (888 chars)
Character and craftsmanship don't come easy, but they're all over this 4-bedroom, 2-bath Somerset County charmer at 580 Sipesville Road. You'll appreciate the extraordinary woodwork throughout: rich millwork, detailed trim, and a level of quality rarely found in today's new construction. The fully remodeled eat-in kitchen is massive with plenty of room for cooking, gathering, and staying a while. One full bath ups the charm with a stunning clawfoot tub. Four bedrooms and two full baths give you the flexibility to live, host, and grow. Rest easy knowing the big stuff is done: new metal roof and many replacement windows throughout. Minutes to Route 219 and Somerset's shopping corridor for everyday convenience. Head toward Route 30 and you're in Jennerstown, home to Green Gables, The Fat Squirrel, and Jennerstown Speedway. Homes like this don't wait- schedule your showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,489
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,319
- − Management
- −$1,319
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$339
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$81
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,912/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This charming 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in Somerset County is in good condition with a fresh paint job and new windows, making it move-in ready for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Rental replace outdoor light fixtures — modern fixtures improve safety and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint exterior — fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Rental replace outdoor light fixtures — modern fixtures improve safety and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Somerset Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221840
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,226
- Composite
- 42.47/100
- National rank
- #3216
- State rank
- #185 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lincoln
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #984
- US rank
- #10802
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 179
Population outlook (Somerset County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,318 people
- By 2030
- 68,555 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 62,447 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 56,437 · -20.9%
- By 2075
- 44,453 · -37.7%
- By 2100
- 32,408 · -54.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 12% Scottish 2% Romanian 2%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Somerset
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.2pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -57.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.2 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+55.9 2012: R+42.9 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-6.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $145,000 CSMLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $145,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $155,000 CSMLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $155,000 West Penn MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…