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139 Kaseberg
B+ Composite 77.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.6/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,000

139 Kaseberg · Roseville, CA 95678
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,008 sqft · Manufactured · 190 Days on market
Built 1982 Est $207k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome Home to Easy Living in One of Roseville's Most Desirable 55+ Communities. Step into a beautifully updated 2008 square foot home where comfort meets style. From the moment you enter, you'll be greeted by an open modern feel, thanks to a thoughtful remodel featuring brand-new granite countertops, new stainless steel appliances including a rare built-in microwave oven, stylish new trim, and crisp interior and exterior paint. The open floor plan offers spacious, light-filled living areas that are perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. Enjoy the ease of a low-maintenance yard, so you can spend more time living and less time on upkeep. Inside, both bathrooms have been updated adding

Key facts

  • Updated large home
  • Low-maintenance yard
  • Updated bathrooms

Tags

UPDATED LARGE HOMEGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESBUILT-IN MICROWAVE OVENLOW-MAINTENANCE YARDUPDATED BATHROOMS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Land lease: No (listed land lease amount present)
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220 volts available in laundry
  • Home design: Manufactured in park (triple wide); Robert Homes make; Built in 1982
  • Construction: Composition roof; Wood skirting
  • Exterior features: Landscaped front and back

Interior

  • Kitchen: Slab and stone counters; Free standing gas range; Free standing refrigerator; Hood over range; Ice maker; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Simulated wood; Laminate; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Shower stall(s)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Fireplace heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Cathedral/vaulted living room with skylight(s); Covered, enclosed and railed patio; Fireplace in living room with raised hearth and gas piped; Pets allowed
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room inside; 220V outlet in laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $838 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $179k).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 2.8% in Roseville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,239 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Roseville Joint Union High (urban): math 42% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #86 of 517 in CA (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,535 units permitted in Placer County in 2024 (689 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($101k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Placer County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $157,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
11.91%
Cash-on-cash
20.06%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$206,824
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
116 Kaseberg Dr 0.07mi 2/2.0 2,160 (+8%) 1mo $175,000 $81 83
27 Hancock Dr 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,790 (-11%) 0mo $189,000 $106 76
140 Kaseberg Dr 0.01mi 2/2.0 2,108 (+5%) 21mo $235,000 $111 74
144 Kaseberg Dr 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,788 (-11%) 8mo $153,000 $86 72
255 Kirkwood Dr 0.12mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,760 (-12%) 2mo $134,500 $76 65
128 Kaseberg Dr 0.07mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,840 (-8%) 17mo $215,500 $117 62
290 Lafayette 0.23mi 2/2.0 1,708 (-15%) 5mo $175,900 $103 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$21,126
Equity at exit
$26,689
10-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$74,206
Equity at exit
$15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95678

Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,626 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax est. 1.5%
$224 /mo · $2,685/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$552
Net cashflow
$838

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,566
Max offer price $179,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1243 S Bluff Dr Roseville, CA 3.0 2.0 1433 $2,795 $1.95 21d 1 0.43mi
1317 Rice Ln Roseville, CA 3.0 2.0 1442 $2,395 $1.66 1d 1 0.49mi
317 Aspen Ct Roseville, CA 3.0 2.0 1744 $3,200 $1.83 1d 1 0.59mi
304 Diamond Oaks Rd Roseville, CA 3.0 2.0 2116 $3,200 $1.51 10d 1 0.72mi
409 Washington Blvd Roseville, CA 3.0 2.0 2000 $1,995 $1.00 1d 1 1.13mi
1057 Shenencock Way Roseville, CA 3.0 2.0 1406 $2,795 $1.99 1d 1 1.37mi
120 Ivy St Roseville, CA 3.0 2.5 1525 $2,595 $1.70 1d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,000 Active 190 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,000 Active 189 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,000 Active 188 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,000 Active 187 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,000 Active 185 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,000 Active 184 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,000 Active 181 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,000 Active 180 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,000 Active 179 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $179,000 Active 176 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,000 Active 175 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,000 Active 174 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    price $179,000 Active 173 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,000 Active 173 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,000 Active 172 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 33 unhealthy d/yr today · 37 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,515
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$2,685
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,521
− Management
−$2,521
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable income
$7,659
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,838
After-tax cash flow
$8,215/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Roseville Joint Union High
NCES district ID
0633630
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$81,930
Composite
51.11/100
National rank
#1763
State rank
#86 of 517 in CA

Livability — Roseville

Score
77/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3239

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Roseville, CA
County
Placer County · 390,510 people
City population
161,837
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
45,346
Household income
$100,554
Rent vs Own
44.9% rent · 55.1% own
Severe rent burden
2544.0

Population outlook (Placer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
422,709 people
By 2030
444,249 · +5.1%
By 2040
480,192 · +13.6%
By 2050
506,390 · +19.8%
By 2075
550,219 · +30.2%
By 2100
547,760 · +29.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 17% Asian 8% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Russian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Placer

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.5) · D 44.3% · R 52.8% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+2.8pp toward D · 2008: -11.3pp · 2024: -8.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.5 2020: R+6.7 2016: R+11.3 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+11.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -418.46%
Current HPI
272.0182
Rent YoY
▲ 1.75%
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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