307 Prospect St · Iowa Falls, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you are looking for an investment property, or perhaps a low cost alternative to renting, then you will want to check this listing out. This home has a new sewer line that was installed in November 2023, circuit breakers, new flooring, and is waiting for someone to move in and call it home. Two bedrooms, 1 bath, living room, eat-in kitchen with stove and refrigerator included, and a full size walk-out unfinished basement with utilities. There is an enclosed porch/foyer on the main level (7x5) as well as a second enclosed porch (5x11) on the rear of the home on the lower level. Off street parking is available, but there is no garage. Priced to sell!
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 45 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax listed (see broker for details)
Exterior
- Parking: No off-street parking listed
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential property
- Construction: Wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.15 acres (50 x 131)
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Basement present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($884 rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 3.8% in Iowa Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#172 in IA, #3,097 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Iowa Falls Community School District (town): math 62% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #184 of 289 in IA (top 64%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hardin County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $65k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.84%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $66,773
- List price
- $64,900
- Delta
- -2.80%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 Cedar St | 0.56mi | 1/1.0 | 616 (-1%) | 23mo | $50,000 | $81 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $7,642
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.65×
- Total profit
- $30,013
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50126
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $884 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $548/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$186
- Net cashflow
- $285
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $64,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $64,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $64,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $64,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $64,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $67,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $67,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $67,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $67,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-04$69,500 Active 999-char remark
-
2025-02-02historical $850
-
2024-12-31soldstatus $41,500
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2024-12-29price $850
-
2024-12-20soldstatus $41,500 Closed 660-char remark
Show marketing remark (660 chars)
If you are looking for an investment property, or perhaps a low cost alternative to renting, then you will want to check this listing out. This home has a new sewer line that was installed in November 2023, circuit breakers, new flooring, and is waiting for someone to move in and call it home. Two bedrooms, 1 bath, living room, eat-in kitchen with stove and refrigerator included, and a full size walk-out unfinished basement with utilities. There is an enclosed porch/foyer on the main level (7x5) as well as a second enclosed porch (5x11) on the rear of the home on the lower level. Off street parking is available, but there is no garage. Priced to sell!
-
2024-12-10status Pending 660-char remark
Show marketing remark (660 chars)
If you are looking for an investment property, or perhaps a low cost alternative to renting, then you will want to check this listing out. This home has a new sewer line that was installed in November 2023, circuit breakers, new flooring, and is waiting for someone to move in and call it home. Two bedrooms, 1 bath, living room, eat-in kitchen with stove and refrigerator included, and a full size walk-out unfinished basement with utilities. There is an enclosed porch/foyer on the main level (7x5) as well as a second enclosed porch (5x11) on the rear of the home on the lower level. Off street parking is available, but there is no garage. Priced to sell!
-
2024-11-27$875
-
2024-11-27historical $875
-
2024-11-27$875
-
2024-11-25historical Active Under Contract 660-char remark
Show marketing remark (660 chars)
If you are looking for an investment property, or perhaps a low cost alternative to renting, then you will want to check this listing out. This home has a new sewer line that was installed in November 2023, circuit breakers, new flooring, and is waiting for someone to move in and call it home. Two bedrooms, 1 bath, living room, eat-in kitchen with stove and refrigerator included, and a full size walk-out unfinished basement with utilities. There is an enclosed porch/foyer on the main level (7x5) as well as a second enclosed porch (5x11) on the rear of the home on the lower level. Off street parking is available, but there is no garage. Priced to sell!
-
2024-11-22status Active 660-char remark
Show marketing remark (660 chars)
If you are looking for an investment property, or perhaps a low cost alternative to renting, then you will want to check this listing out. This home has a new sewer line that was installed in November 2023, circuit breakers, new flooring, and is waiting for someone to move in and call it home. Two bedrooms, 1 bath, living room, eat-in kitchen with stove and refrigerator included, and a full size walk-out unfinished basement with utilities. There is an enclosed porch/foyer on the main level (7x5) as well as a second enclosed porch (5x11) on the rear of the home on the lower level. Off street parking is available, but there is no garage. Priced to sell!
-
2024-11-22historical Active Under Contract 660-char remark
Show marketing remark (660 chars)
If you are looking for an investment property, or perhaps a low cost alternative to renting, then you will want to check this listing out. This home has a new sewer line that was installed in November 2023, circuit breakers, new flooring, and is waiting for someone to move in and call it home. Two bedrooms, 1 bath, living room, eat-in kitchen with stove and refrigerator included, and a full size walk-out unfinished basement with utilities. There is an enclosed porch/foyer on the main level (7x5) as well as a second enclosed porch (5x11) on the rear of the home on the lower level. Off street parking is available, but there is no garage. Priced to sell!
-
2024-10-15$49,900 Active 660-char remark
Show marketing remark (660 chars)
If you are looking for an investment property, or perhaps a low cost alternative to renting, then you will want to check this listing out. This home has a new sewer line that was installed in November 2023, circuit breakers, new flooring, and is waiting for someone to move in and call it home. Two bedrooms, 1 bath, living room, eat-in kitchen with stove and refrigerator included, and a full size walk-out unfinished basement with utilities. There is an enclosed porch/foyer on the main level (7x5) as well as a second enclosed porch (5x11) on the rear of the home on the lower level. Off street parking is available, but there is no garage. Priced to sell!
-
2023-07-21soldstatus $15,000
Show marketing remark (45 chars)
property is sold, used for comp purposes only
-
2023-06-22$15,000
Show marketing remark (45 chars)
property is sold, used for comp purposes only
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $548 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $783 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$235/yr (+$20/mo · 43.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,607
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$548
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$849
- − Management
- −$849
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $2,514
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$603
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,820/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Iowa Falls Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1914730
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,696
- Composite
- 56.12/100
- National rank
- #1182
- State rank
- #184 of 289 in IA
Livability — Iowa Falls
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #3097
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Iowa Falls, IA
- City population
- 6,362
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,362
Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,474 people
- By 2030
- 17,369 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 17,018 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 16,454 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 14,665 · -16.1%
- By 2100
- 12,404 · -29.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Hardin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.4) · D 30.3% · R 68.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.3pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -38.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.4 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+7.1 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.54%
- Current HPI
- 146.3741
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+332.7% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $64,900 IAR
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $67,500 IAR
- 2026-05-04 Listed $69,500 IAR
- 2025-02-02 Rental Removed $850 BUILDIUM
- 2024-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $41,500 Public Records
- 2024-12-29 Price Changed $850 BUILDIUM
- 2024-12-20 Sold (MLS) $41,500 IAR
- 2024-12-10 Pending — IAR
- 2024-11-27 Listed for Rent $875 BUILDIUM
- 2024-11-27 Rental Removed $875 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-11-27 Listed for Rent $875 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-11-25 Contingent — IAR
- 2024-11-22 Relisted — IAR
- 2024-11-22 Contingent — IAR
- 2024-10-15 Listed $49,900 IAR
- 2023-07-21 Sold (MLS) $15,000 IAR
- 2023-06-22 Listed $15,000 IAR
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $548 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…