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307 Prospect St
B Composite 71.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

307 Prospect St · Iowa Falls, IA 50126
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 624 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1950 6,534 sqft lot $104/sqft · at area comps Est $67k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

If you are looking for an investment property, or perhaps a low cost alternative to renting, then you will want to check this listing out. This home has a new sewer line that was installed in November 2023, circuit breakers, new flooring, and is waiting for someone to move in and call it home. Two bedrooms, 1 bath, living room, eat-in kitchen with stove and refrigerator included, and a full size walk-out unfinished basement with utilities. There is an enclosed porch/foyer on the main level (7x5) as well as a second enclosed porch (5x11) on the rear of the home on the lower level. Off street parking is available, but there is no garage. Priced to sell!

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 45 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax listed (see broker for details)

Exterior

  • Parking: No off-street parking listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential property
  • Construction: Wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.15 acres (50 x 131)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Basement present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($884 rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 3.8% in Iowa Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#172 in IA, #3,097 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Iowa Falls Community School District (town): math 62% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #184 of 289 in IA (top 64%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hardin County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $65k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $62,953 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.57%
Cash-on-cash
18.84%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$66,773
List price
$64,900
Delta
-2.80%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
503 Cedar St 0.56mi 1/1.0 616 (-1%) 23mo $50,000 $81 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$7,642
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
2.65×
Total profit
$30,013
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50126

Active inventory
90
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$884 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $548/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$186
Net cashflow
$285

Break-even live

Break-even rent $523
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,900 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,900 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,900 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,900 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,900 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $64,900 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,900 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,900 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,900 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,900 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $64,900 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $67,500 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $67,500 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $67,500 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $67,500 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-05-04
    listed $69,500 Active 999-char remark
  17. 2025-02-02
    historical $850
  18. 2024-12-31
    soldstatus $41,500
  19. 2024-12-29
    price $850
  20. 2024-12-20
    soldstatus $41,500 Closed 660-char remark
    Show marketing remark (660 chars)

    If you are looking for an investment property, or perhaps a low cost alternative to renting, then you will want to check this listing out. This home has a new sewer line that was installed in November 2023, circuit breakers, new flooring, and is waiting for someone to move in and call it home. Two bedrooms, 1 bath, living room, eat-in kitchen with stove and refrigerator included, and a full size walk-out unfinished basement with utilities. There is an enclosed porch/foyer on the main level (7x5) as well as a second enclosed porch (5x11) on the rear of the home on the lower level. Off street parking is available, but there is no garage. Priced to sell!

  21. 2024-12-10
    status Pending 660-char remark
    Show marketing remark (660 chars)

    If you are looking for an investment property, or perhaps a low cost alternative to renting, then you will want to check this listing out. This home has a new sewer line that was installed in November 2023, circuit breakers, new flooring, and is waiting for someone to move in and call it home. Two bedrooms, 1 bath, living room, eat-in kitchen with stove and refrigerator included, and a full size walk-out unfinished basement with utilities. There is an enclosed porch/foyer on the main level (7x5) as well as a second enclosed porch (5x11) on the rear of the home on the lower level. Off street parking is available, but there is no garage. Priced to sell!

  22. 2024-11-27
    listed $875
  23. 2024-11-27
    historical $875
  24. 2024-11-27
    listed $875
  25. 2024-11-25
    historical Active Under Contract 660-char remark
    Show marketing remark (660 chars)

    If you are looking for an investment property, or perhaps a low cost alternative to renting, then you will want to check this listing out. This home has a new sewer line that was installed in November 2023, circuit breakers, new flooring, and is waiting for someone to move in and call it home. Two bedrooms, 1 bath, living room, eat-in kitchen with stove and refrigerator included, and a full size walk-out unfinished basement with utilities. There is an enclosed porch/foyer on the main level (7x5) as well as a second enclosed porch (5x11) on the rear of the home on the lower level. Off street parking is available, but there is no garage. Priced to sell!

  26. 2024-11-22
    status Active 660-char remark
    Show marketing remark (660 chars)

    If you are looking for an investment property, or perhaps a low cost alternative to renting, then you will want to check this listing out. This home has a new sewer line that was installed in November 2023, circuit breakers, new flooring, and is waiting for someone to move in and call it home. Two bedrooms, 1 bath, living room, eat-in kitchen with stove and refrigerator included, and a full size walk-out unfinished basement with utilities. There is an enclosed porch/foyer on the main level (7x5) as well as a second enclosed porch (5x11) on the rear of the home on the lower level. Off street parking is available, but there is no garage. Priced to sell!

  27. 2024-11-22
    historical Active Under Contract 660-char remark
    Show marketing remark (660 chars)

    If you are looking for an investment property, or perhaps a low cost alternative to renting, then you will want to check this listing out. This home has a new sewer line that was installed in November 2023, circuit breakers, new flooring, and is waiting for someone to move in and call it home. Two bedrooms, 1 bath, living room, eat-in kitchen with stove and refrigerator included, and a full size walk-out unfinished basement with utilities. There is an enclosed porch/foyer on the main level (7x5) as well as a second enclosed porch (5x11) on the rear of the home on the lower level. Off street parking is available, but there is no garage. Priced to sell!

  28. 2024-10-15
    listed $49,900 Active 660-char remark
    Show marketing remark (660 chars)

    If you are looking for an investment property, or perhaps a low cost alternative to renting, then you will want to check this listing out. This home has a new sewer line that was installed in November 2023, circuit breakers, new flooring, and is waiting for someone to move in and call it home. Two bedrooms, 1 bath, living room, eat-in kitchen with stove and refrigerator included, and a full size walk-out unfinished basement with utilities. There is an enclosed porch/foyer on the main level (7x5) as well as a second enclosed porch (5x11) on the rear of the home on the lower level. Off street parking is available, but there is no garage. Priced to sell!

  29. 2023-07-21
    soldstatus $15,000
    Show marketing remark (45 chars)

    property is sold, used for comp purposes only

  30. 2023-06-22
    listed $15,000
    Show marketing remark (45 chars)

    property is sold, used for comp purposes only

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$548 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$783 · $65/mo
Expected delta
+$235/yr (+$20/mo · 43.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,607
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$548
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$849
− Management
−$849
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$2,514
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$603
After-tax cash flow
$2,820/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Iowa Falls Community School District
NCES district ID
1914730
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,696
Composite
56.12/100
National rank
#1182
State rank
#184 of 289 in IA

Livability — Iowa Falls

Score
77/100
State rank
#172
US rank
#3097

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Iowa Falls, IA
City population
6,362
Population (ZIP)
6,362

Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,474 people
By 2030
17,369 · -0.6%
By 2040
17,018 · -2.6%
By 2050
16,454 · -5.8%
By 2075
14,665 · -16.1%
By 2100
12,404 · -29.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Hardin

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.4) · D 30.3% · R 68.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-39.3pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -38.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.4 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+7.1 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.54%
Current HPI
146.3741
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+332.7% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $64,900 IAR
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $67,500 IAR
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $69,500 IAR
  • 2025-02-02 Rental Removed $850 BUILDIUM
  • 2024-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $41,500 Public Records
  • 2024-12-29 Price Changed $850 BUILDIUM
  • 2024-12-20 Sold (MLS) $41,500 IAR
  • 2024-12-10 Pending IAR
  • 2024-11-27 Listed for Rent $875 BUILDIUM
  • 2024-11-27 Rental Removed $875 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-11-27 Listed for Rent $875 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-11-25 Contingent IAR
  • 2024-11-22 Relisted IAR
  • 2024-11-22 Contingent IAR
  • 2024-10-15 Listed $49,900 IAR
  • 2023-07-21 Sold (MLS) $15,000 IAR
  • 2023-06-22 Listed $15,000 IAR

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $548 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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