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19740 5th St N
C Composite 58.59
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$114,900

19740 5th St N · Citronelle, AL 36522
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,179 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1955 0.58 ac lot $97/sqft · 23% below area Est $133k · 13% under ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 2 bedroom cottage home in Citronelle, AL situated on a spacious corner lot just over half an acre; offering the perfect blend of comfort, functionality, and room to grow! Step inside to find beautiful hardwood floors and a layout designed for everyday living and entertaining. The home features a separate dining room for hosting, plus an open sightline from the kitchen to the living room, creating a bright and connected space. A large laundry room adds extra convenience and storage. Outside is where this property really shines, complete with a detached 22x30 workshop/garage, ideal for hobbies, storage, or running a small business. You'll also appreciate the attached 1 car carport wi

Key facts

  • Attached carport
  • Separate dining room
  • Detached workshop

Tags

CORNER LOTHARDWOOD FLOORSSEPARATE DINING ROOMLARGE LAUNDRY ROOMDETACHED WORKSHOPATTACHED CARPORT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces; 1 carport space; Driveway; Carport
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Built in 1955; Entry on pillar/post/pier foundation; Composition roof; Brick veneer and wood siding construction
  • Construction: Brick veneer and wood siding; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Year built 1955
  • Exterior features: Storage; Garage(s); Shed(s); Workshop; View

Interior

  • Kitchen: Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen; Cabinets; Laminate counters; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Crown molding; Open view to family room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $66 ($790/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $94k (18.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 5.2% in Citronelle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#254 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Citronelle High School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #261 of 305 statewide, top 87%, 719 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools at 70% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 8% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Mobile County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($794 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,000 (18.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.98%
Cash-on-cash
2.46%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$132,736
List price
$114,900
Delta
-13.44%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19805 5th St N 0.12mi 2/1.0 1,280 (+9%) 10mo $122,000 $95 72
19565 4th St N 0.32mi 2/1.0 1,237 (+5%) 11mo $160,000 $129 68
19470 4th St N 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (-10%) 3mo $41,500 $39 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
3.07×
Total profit
$66,713
Equity at exit
$103,511
10-year hold
IRR
22.8%
Equity multiple
7.00×
Total profit
$193,045
Equity at exit
$223,225

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36522

Home prices YoY
11.8%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$940 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$26 /mo · $316/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$197
Net cashflow
$66

Break-even live

Break-even rent $857
Max offer price $114,900
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19490 Magnolia St Unit D Citronelle, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $940 $1.04 43d 1 0.84mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $114,900 Pending 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $114,900 Active Under Contract 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $114,900 Active Under Contract 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $114,900 Active Under Contract 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $114,900 Active Under Contract 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $114,900 Active Under Contract 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $114,900 Active Under Contract 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $114,900 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $114,900 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $114,900 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $114,900 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $114,900 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $114,900 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $114,900 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $114,900 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $114,900 Active 24 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $114,900 Active 23 DOM
  18. 2026-05-07
    listed $119,000 Active 1325-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$316 · $26/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$471 · $39/mo
Expected delta
+$155/yr (+$13/mo · 49.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,280
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$316
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$902
− Management
−$902
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable loss
−$1,194
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$287
After-tax cash flow
$1,077/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mobile County
NCES district ID
0102370
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$42,455
Composite
22.9/100
National rank
#8002
State rank
#81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Citronelle

Score
61/100
State rank
#254
US rank
#17928

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Citronelle, AL
City population
6,892
Population (ZIP)
6,892

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,303 people
By 2030
411,755 · -0.9%
By 2040
399,670 · -3.8%
By 2050
382,616 · -7.9%
By 2075
337,353 · -18.8%
By 2100
283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 18% Two or more races 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

2024 margin
R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 27.55%
Current HPI
260.4914
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Contingent GCMLS AL
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $114,900 GCMLS AL
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $119,000 GCMLS AL

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $316 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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