19740 5th St N · Citronelle, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 2 bedroom cottage home in Citronelle, AL situated on a spacious corner lot just over half an acre; offering the perfect blend of comfort, functionality, and room to grow! Step inside to find beautiful hardwood floors and a layout designed for everyday living and entertaining. The home features a separate dining room for hosting, plus an open sightline from the kitchen to the living room, creating a bright and connected space. A large laundry room adds extra convenience and storage. Outside is where this property really shines, complete with a detached 22x30 workshop/garage, ideal for hobbies, storage, or running a small business. You'll also appreciate the attached 1 car carport wi
Key facts
- Attached carport
- Separate dining room
- Detached workshop
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces; 1 carport space; Driveway; Carport
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Septic tank
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Built in 1955; Entry on pillar/post/pier foundation; Composition roof; Brick veneer and wood siding construction
- Construction: Brick veneer and wood siding; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Year built 1955
- Exterior features: Storage; Garage(s); Shed(s); Workshop; View
Interior
- Kitchen: Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen; Cabinets; Laminate counters; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Crown molding; Open view to family room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $66 ($790/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $94k (18.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $94k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 5.2% in Citronelle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#254 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Citronelle High School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #261 of 305 statewide, top 87%, 719 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools at 70% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 8% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Mobile County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($794 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.46%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $132,736
- List price
- $114,900
- Delta
- -13.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19805 5th St N | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 1,280 (+9%) | 10mo | $122,000 | $95 | 72 |
| 19565 4th St N | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 1,237 (+5%) | 11mo | $160,000 | $129 | 68 |
| 19470 4th St N | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-10%) | 3mo | $41,500 | $39 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $66,713
- Equity at exit
- $103,511
- IRR
- 22.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.00×
- Total profit
- $193,045
- Equity at exit
- $223,225
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36522
- Home prices YoY
- 11.8%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $940 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $316/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$197
- Net cashflow
- $66
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19490 Magnolia St Unit D Citronelle, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $940 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18status $114,900 Pending 42 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,900 Active Under Contract 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,900 Active Under Contract 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,900 Active Under Contract 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,900 Active Under Contract 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $114,900 Active Under Contract 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $114,900 Active Under Contract 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $114,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $114,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $114,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $114,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$119,000 Active 1325-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $316 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $471 · $39/mo
- Expected delta
- +$155/yr (+$13/mo · 49.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,280
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$316
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$902
- − Management
- −$902
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable loss
- −$1,194
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$287
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,077/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Citronelle
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #254
- US rank
- #17928
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Citronelle, AL
- City population
- 6,892
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,892
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 18% Two or more races 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 27.55%
- Current HPI
- 260.4914
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-3.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Contingent — GCMLS AL
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $114,900 GCMLS AL
- 2026-05-07 Listed $119,000 GCMLS AL
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $316 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…