6676 32nd Ave Lot 35 Ave · Shellsburg, IA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$55,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Look at the space in this home. You have everything from a fenced in yard to a cute sitting porch. This home is located in Timber Ridge Park and lot rent is 400 a month. In 2025 this home has had new carpet, paint and many touch ups. The shed is staying with the property. The primary bedroom offers a nice ensuite with a large soaking tub and walk in closet. The other 2 bedrooms are good in size. The living room and dining room are very open and overlook the sliding glass door heading to the porch.
Key facts
- Clayton built model
- Large living room
- Walk in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $56k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $626 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#344 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Vinton-Shellsburg Community School District (rural): math 79% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #43 of 289 in IA (top 15%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($386 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
- Benton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $56k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.02%
- DSCR
- 3.14
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $35,000
- List price
- $55,900
- Delta
- 59.71%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
6.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 57.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.62×
- Total profit
- $56,689
- Equity at exit
- $35,818
- IRR
- 53.9%
- Equity multiple
- 9.65×
- Total profit
- $135,387
- Equity at exit
- $65,548
Cash invested: $15,652 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52332
- Home prices YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 16
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,282 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$293
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$70 /mo · $838/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $626
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $665 | -5% $646 | +0% $626 | +5% $607 | +10% $588 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $525 | -5% $576 | +0% $626 | +5% $677 | +10% $728 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $655 | -0.5pp $641 | base $626 | +0.5pp $612 | +1.0pp $597 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,975
- Closing costs
- $1,677
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 32 events
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2026-06-21days on market $55,900 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $55,900 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $55,900 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $55,900 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $55,900 Active 118 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $55,900 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $55,900 Active 115 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $55,900 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $55,900 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $55,900 Active 110 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $55,900 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $55,900 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $55,900 Active 105 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $55,900 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $55,900 Active 103 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $55,900 Active 102 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $55,900 Active 101 DOM
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2026-05-14status Pending 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Look at the space in this home. You have everything from a fenced in yard to a cute sitting porch. This home is located in Timber Ridge Park and lot rent is 400 a month. In 2025 this home has had new carpet, paint and many touch ups. The shed is staying with the property. The primary bedroom offers a nice ensuite with a large soaking tub and walk in closet. The other 2 bedrooms are good in size. The living room and dining room are very open and overlook the sliding glass door heading to the porch.
-
2026-04-24price $55,900 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Look at the space in this home. You have everything from a fenced in yard to a cute sitting porch. This home is located in Timber Ridge Park and lot rent is 400 a month. In 2025 this home has had new carpet, paint and many touch ups. The shed is staying with the property. The primary bedroom offers a nice ensuite with a large soaking tub and walk in closet. The other 2 bedrooms are good in size. The living room and dining room are very open and overlook the sliding glass door heading to the porch.
-
2026-04-24price $35,900 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Look at the space in this home. You have everything from a fenced in yard to a cute sitting porch. This home is located in Timber Ridge Park and lot rent is 400 a month. In 2025 this home has had new carpet, paint and many touch ups. The shed is staying with the property. The primary bedroom offers a nice ensuite with a large soaking tub and walk in closet. The other 2 bedrooms are good in size. The living room and dining room are very open and overlook the sliding glass door heading to the porch.
-
2026-04-24price $55,900
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Look at the space in this home. You have everything from a fenced in yard to a cute sitting porch. This home is located in Timber Ridge Park and lot rent is 400 a month. In 2025 this home has had new carpet, paint and many touch ups. The shed is staying with the property. The primary bedroom offers a nice ensuite with a large soaking tub and walk in closet. The other 2 bedrooms are good in size. The living room and dining room are very open and overlook the sliding glass door heading to the porch.
-
2026-03-13soldstatus $25,000 Closed
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2026-02-23status Pending
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2026-02-18$59,000 Active 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
Welcome to this 3 bedroom 2 bath home. It is a brand new home on the lot. This home is a Clayton built model and offers a large living room, primary bedroom with ensuite and walk in closet. You will be the first to own this home. It is complete with a new appliance package and neutral paint. Leaving for you to add your touch. This home is sold as is/where is.
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2026-02-18$59,000 Active
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
Welcome to this 3 bedroom 2 bath home. It is a brand new home on the lot. This home is a Clayton built model and offers a large living room, primary bedroom with ensuite and walk in closet. You will be the first to own this home. It is complete with a new appliance package and neutral paint. Leaving for you to add your touch. This home is sold as is/where is.
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2026-02-05$49,000 Active 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Look at the space in this home. You have everything from a fenced in yard to a cute sitting porch. This home is located in Timber Ridge Park and lot rent is 400 a month. In 2025 this home has had new carpet, paint and many touch ups. The shed is staying with the property. The primary bedroom offers a nice ensuite with a large soaking tub and walk in closet. The other 2 bedrooms are good in size. The living room and dining room are very open and overlook the sliding glass door heading to the porch.
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2026-01-29$25,000 Active
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2025-09-30price $59,000
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2025-09-30price $59,000
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2025-08-13$65,000 Active
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2025-08-13$65,000 Active
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1992-07-01soldstatus $485,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,382
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,131
- − Property taxes
- −$838
- − Insurance
- −$280
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,231
- − Management
- −$1,231
- − Depreciation
- −$1,626
- Taxable income
- $7,046
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,691
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,825/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vinton-Shellsburg Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1929310
- Math proficiency
- 79% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,023
- Composite
- 66.21/100
- National rank
- #430
- State rank
- #43 of 289 in IA
Livability — Shellsburg
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #344
- US rank
- #7017
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,638
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,078 people
- By 2030
- 24,606 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 23,425 · -6.6%
- By 2050
- 21,891 · -12.7%
- By 2075
- 19,482 · -22.3%
- By 2100
- 17,139 · -31.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.2) · D 32.8% · R 66.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.7pp toward R · 2008: 4.5pp · 2024: -33.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.2 2020: R+27.5 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+0.6 2008: D+4.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.19%
- Current HPI
- 202.2662
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-88.5% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — ICAARMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $55,900 ICAARMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $55,900 ICAARMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $35,900 ICAARMLS
- 2026-03-13 Sold (MLS) $25,000 ICAARMLS
- 2026-02-23 Pending — ICAARMLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $59,000 ICAARMLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $59,000 ICAARMLS
- 2026-02-05 Listed $49,000 ICAARMLS
- 2026-01-29 Listed $25,000 ICAARMLS
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $59,000 ICAARMLS
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $59,000 ICAARMLS
- 2025-08-13 Listed $65,000 ICAARMLS
- 2025-08-13 Listed $65,000 ICAARMLS
- 1992-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $485,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $17,310 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…