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11815 93rd Ln NE #203
D- Composite 39.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +7.5/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.2/30.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$334,500

11815 93rd Ln NE #203 · Kirkland, WA 98034
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 895 sqft · Condo · 164 Days on market
Built 1981 $374/sqft · 23% below area Est $434k · 23% under $463/mo HOA · 18% of rent ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming Condo near Juanita Beach in Kirkland. Perfect Blend of Comfort & Convenience. Located in the desirable Juanita Beach neighborhood, this move-in-ready two-bdrm, 1.5-bth condo is just a . 2-mile walk to Juanita Beach & conveniently close to shops, dining, & coffee spots. Newly painted w/ soft plush carpets, the home features a cozy wood-burning fireplace & a luxurious walk-in shower in the primary bth. Spacious deck affords space for those hot summer BBQ's. Community amenities include a cabana with lounge/game room, kitchen/bar, sauna, & locker rooms. With no rental cap, pet-friendly policies, & one assigned covered parking space, this property offers

Key facts

  • Move-in-ready
  • Community amenities
  • Spacious deck

Tags

MOVE-IN-READYCOZY WOOD-BURNING FIREPLACELUXURIOUS WALK-IN SHOWERSPACIOUS DECKCOMMUNITY AMENITIESPET-FRIENDLY POLICIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $334k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-760 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (32.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $255k (23.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $224k (32.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 3.6% vs local median 1.1% in Kirkland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#46 in WA, #792 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Lake Washington School District (suburban): math 79% / reading 85% proficiency, ranked #3 of 291 in WA (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($294k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $224,468 (32.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
3.57%
Cash-on-cash
-9.74%
DSCR
0.57
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$434,278
List price
$334,500
Delta
-22.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-36.2%
Equity multiple
-0.14×
Total profit
$-106,996
Equity at exit
$49,875
10-year hold
IRR
-67.6%
Equity multiple
-0.84×
Total profit
$-172,740
Equity at exit
$28,921

Cash invested: $93,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98034

Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
338
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,550 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,754
Tax est. 1.5%
$418 /mo · $5,018/yr
Insurance
$139
HOA
$463
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$535
Net cashflow
$-760

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,512
Max offer price $224,468
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$83,625
Closing costs
$10,035
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9311 NE 118th Ln Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0–1.5 939 $2,616 $2.79 5d 5 0.03mi
11615 91st Ln NE Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,300 $2.88 5d 1 0.15mi
9536 NE 120th St Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0 600 $2,399 $4.00 2d 10 0.19mi
9740 NE 119th Way Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0–2.5 980 $3,964 $4.04 2d 15 0.23mi
11801 97th Ln NE Kirkland, WA 1.0 1.0 877 $2,995 $3.41 2d 13 0.23mi
11718 97th Ln NE Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 836 $3,101 $3.71 2d 15 0.27mi
11702 98th Ave NE Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 882 $3,470 $3.93 2d 13 0.34mi
9805 NE 124th St #107 Kirkland, WA 2.0 2.0 937 $2,300 $2.45 44d 1 0.38mi
11633 100th Ave NE Unit B6 Kirkland, WA 1.0 1.0 662 $1,850 $2.79 18d 1 0.38mi
11809 100th Ave NE Unit B203 Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.5 859 $2,800 $3.26 17d 1 0.39mi
12029 100th Ave NE Unit C2 Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0 963 $1,995 $2.07 24d 1 0.40mi
9905 NE 124th St Kirkland, WA 2.0 2.0 937 $2,800 $2.99 44d 1 0.44mi
9905 NE 124th St #704 Kirkland, WA 2.0 2.0 937 $2,650 $2.83 24d 1 0.44mi
12221 100th Ave NE Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.5 991 $2,295 $2.32 24d 1 0.45mi
9840 NE 116th St Unit 4 Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,600 $2.60 15d 1 0.45mi
9840 NE 116th St Unit 1 Kirkland, WA 3.0 1.0 950 $2,300 $2.42 15d 1 0.45mi
12036 100th Ave NE Unit K302 Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0 1040 $2,300 $2.21 5d 1 0.48mi
9900 NE 124th St #1306 Kirkland, WA 1.0 1.0 680 $1,800 $2.65 44d 1 0.49mi
9900 NE 124th St #1315 Kirkland, WA 1.0 1.0 690 $1,795 $2.60 3d 1 0.49mi
9906 NE 124th St #1109 Kirkland, WA 2.0 2.0 937 $2,450 $2.61 44d 1 0.53mi
12520 101st Way NE Kirkland, WA 2.0–3.0 2.5 1242 $3,068 $2.47 2d 3 0.62mi
12603 100th Ln NE Unit K151 Kirkland, WA 1.0 1.0 739 $1,750 $2.37 11d 1 0.63mi
12603 100th Ln NE Unit 1 Kirkland, WA 1.0 1.0 739 $1,950 $2.64 44d 1 0.63mi
10014 NE 127th Pl Unit A102 Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0 980 $2,295 $2.34 20d 1 0.72mi
10026 NE 127th Pl Unit D117 Kirkland, WA 1.0 1.0 739 $1,950 $2.64 15d 1 0.74mi
9823 NE 130th Pl Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0 925 $2,320 $2.51 2d 2 0.75mi
10013 NE 130th Ln Kirkland, WA 2.0 2.0–2.5 1089 $2,984 $2.74 2d 6 0.87mi
12510 109th Ct NE Unit E304 Kirkland, WA 2.0 2.0 938 $2,800 $2.99 18d 1 1.01mi
11010 NE 124th Ln Kirkland, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 613 $2,220 $3.62 2d 8 1.13mi
10211 NE 134th Ln Kirkland, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 800 $2,857 $3.57 2d 8 1.13mi
11112 NE 124th Ln Unit D114 Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0 866 $2,099 $2.42 5d 1 1.16mi
11112 NE 124th Ln Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0 917 $2,246 $2.45 17d 1 1.20mi
1833 3rd St Unit 1bd Kirkland, WA 1.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 24d 1 1.25mi
10135 NE 137th Pl #11 Kirkland, WA 1.0 1.5 850 $1,995 $2.35 24d 1 1.30mi
11227 NE 128th St Kirkland, WA 2.0 2.0 910 $2,400 $2.64 17d 1 1.30mi
10152 NE 137th Pl Kirkland, WA 2.0 2.5 1040 $2,750 $2.64 5d 1 1.32mi
11110 Forbes Creek Dr Kirkland, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 977 $2,760 $2.83 2d 41 1.35mi
10811 113th Ct NE Unit J308 Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,515 $2.52 44d 1 1.37mi
12333 120th Ave NE Kirkland, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 810 $1,880 $2.32 3d 1 1.42mi
12337 120th Ave NE Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 704 $3,095 $4.40 2d 26 1.46mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$463 · $5,556/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $334,500 Active 164 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $334,500 Active 163 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $334,500 Active 162 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    price $334,500 Active 161 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $344,500 Active 161 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $344,500 Active 159 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $344,500 Active 155 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $344,500 Active 154 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $344,500 Active 153 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $344,500 Active 150 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $344,500 Active 149 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $344,500 Active 148 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $344,500 Active 147 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $344,500 Active 146 DOM
  15. 2026-04-30
    price $354,500
  16. 2026-03-25
    price $359,500
  17. 2026-02-25
    price $364,500
  18. 2026-02-06
    status Active
  19. 2026-01-18
    status Pending
  20. 2026-01-15
    price $374,500
  21. 2025-12-17
    listed $384,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,596
− Mortgage interest
−$18,737
− Property taxes
−$5,018
− Insurance
−$1,672
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,448
− Management
−$2,448
− HOA
−$5,556
− Depreciation
−$9,731
Taxable loss
−$15,013
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,603
After-tax cash flow
$-5,522/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake Washington School District
NCES district ID
5304230
Math proficiency
79% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
85% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$103,849
Composite
75.15/100
National rank
#251
State rank
#3 of 291 in WA

Livability — Kirkland

Score
84/100
State rank
#46
US rank
#792

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kirkland, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
93,513
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
52,531
Household income
$135,219
Rent vs Own
40.8% rent · 59.2% own
Severe rent burden
1830.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Asian 17% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
70% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Spanish 7% Chinese 5%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1281.53%
Current HPI
442.5372
Rent YoY
▲ 1.14%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $354,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $359,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $364,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-06 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-18 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $374,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-17 Listed $384,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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