11815 93rd Ln NE #203 · Kirkland, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +7.5/10.0
- Cash flow +5.2/30.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$334,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming Condo near Juanita Beach in Kirkland. Perfect Blend of Comfort & Convenience. Located in the desirable Juanita Beach neighborhood, this move-in-ready two-bdrm, 1.5-bth condo is just a . 2-mile walk to Juanita Beach & conveniently close to shops, dining, & coffee spots. Newly painted w/ soft plush carpets, the home features a cozy wood-burning fireplace & a luxurious walk-in shower in the primary bth. Spacious deck affords space for those hot summer BBQ's. Community amenities include a cabana with lounge/game room, kitchen/bar, sauna, & locker rooms. With no rental cap, pet-friendly policies, & one assigned covered parking space, this property offers
Key facts
- Move-in-ready
- Community amenities
- Spacious deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $334k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-760 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (32.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $255k (23.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $224k (32.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 3.6% vs local median 1.1% in Kirkland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#46 in WA, #792 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Lake Washington School District (suburban): math 79% / reading 85% proficiency, ranked #3 of 291 in WA (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($294k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.74%
- DSCR
- 0.57
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $434,278
- List price
- $334,500
- Delta
- -22.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -36.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.14×
- Total profit
- $-106,996
- Equity at exit
- $49,875
- IRR
- -67.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.84×
- Total profit
- $-172,740
- Equity at exit
- $28,921
Cash invested: $93,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98034
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 338
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,550 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,754
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$418 /mo · $5,018/yr
- Insurance
- −$139
- HOA
- −$463
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$535
- Net cashflow
- $-760
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,625
- Closing costs
- $10,035
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9311 NE 118th Ln Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 939 | $2,616 | $2.79 | 5d | 5 | 0.03mi |
| 11615 91st Ln NE Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,300 | $2.88 | 5d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 9536 NE 120th St Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,399 | $4.00 | 2d | 10 | 0.19mi |
| 9740 NE 119th Way Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 980 | $3,964 | $4.04 | 2d | 15 | 0.23mi |
| 11801 97th Ln NE Kirkland, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $2,995 | $3.41 | 2d | 13 | 0.23mi |
| 11718 97th Ln NE Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 836 | $3,101 | $3.71 | 2d | 15 | 0.27mi |
| 11702 98th Ave NE Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 882 | $3,470 | $3.93 | 2d | 13 | 0.34mi |
| 9805 NE 124th St #107 Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 937 | $2,300 | $2.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 11633 100th Ave NE Unit B6 Kirkland, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 662 | $1,850 | $2.79 | 18d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 11809 100th Ave NE Unit B203 Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 859 | $2,800 | $3.26 | 17d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 12029 100th Ave NE Unit C2 Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 963 | $1,995 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 9905 NE 124th St Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 937 | $2,800 | $2.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 9905 NE 124th St #704 Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 937 | $2,650 | $2.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 12221 100th Ave NE Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 991 | $2,295 | $2.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 9840 NE 116th St Unit 4 Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,600 | $2.60 | 15d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 9840 NE 116th St Unit 1 Kirkland, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,300 | $2.42 | 15d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 12036 100th Ave NE Unit K302 Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $2,300 | $2.21 | 5d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 9900 NE 124th St #1306 Kirkland, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,800 | $2.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 9900 NE 124th St #1315 Kirkland, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,795 | $2.60 | 3d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 9906 NE 124th St #1109 Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 937 | $2,450 | $2.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 12520 101st Way NE Kirkland, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1242 | $3,068 | $2.47 | 2d | 3 | 0.62mi |
| 12603 100th Ln NE Unit K151 Kirkland, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 739 | $1,750 | $2.37 | 11d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 12603 100th Ln NE Unit 1 Kirkland, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 739 | $1,950 | $2.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 10014 NE 127th Pl Unit A102 Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $2,295 | $2.34 | 20d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 10026 NE 127th Pl Unit D117 Kirkland, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 739 | $1,950 | $2.64 | 15d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 9823 NE 130th Pl Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $2,320 | $2.51 | 2d | 2 | 0.75mi |
| 10013 NE 130th Ln Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1089 | $2,984 | $2.74 | 2d | 6 | 0.87mi |
| 12510 109th Ct NE Unit E304 Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 938 | $2,800 | $2.99 | 18d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 11010 NE 124th Ln Kirkland, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 613 | $2,220 | $3.62 | 2d | 8 | 1.13mi |
| 10211 NE 134th Ln Kirkland, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $2,857 | $3.57 | 2d | 8 | 1.13mi |
| 11112 NE 124th Ln Unit D114 Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 866 | $2,099 | $2.42 | 5d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 11112 NE 124th Ln Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 917 | $2,246 | $2.45 | 17d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1833 3rd St Unit 1bd Kirkland, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 10135 NE 137th Pl #11 Kirkland, WA | 1.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $1,995 | $2.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 11227 NE 128th St Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $2,400 | $2.64 | 17d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 10152 NE 137th Pl Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1040 | $2,750 | $2.64 | 5d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 11110 Forbes Creek Dr Kirkland, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 977 | $2,760 | $2.83 | 2d | 41 | 1.35mi |
| 10811 113th Ct NE Unit J308 Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,515 | $2.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 12333 120th Ave NE Kirkland, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 810 | $1,880 | $2.32 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 12337 120th Ave NE Kirkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 704 | $3,095 | $4.40 | 2d | 26 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $463 · $5,556/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $334,500 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $334,500 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $334,500 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $334,500 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $344,500 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $344,500 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $344,500 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $344,500 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $344,500 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $344,500 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $344,500 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $344,500 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $344,500 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $344,500 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $354,500
-
2026-03-25price $359,500
-
2026-02-25price $364,500
-
2026-02-06status Active
-
2026-01-18status Pending
-
2026-01-15price $374,500
-
2025-12-17$384,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,596
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,737
- − Property taxes
- −$5,018
- − Insurance
- −$1,672
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,448
- − Management
- −$2,448
- − HOA
- −$5,556
- − Depreciation
- −$9,731
- Taxable loss
- −$15,013
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,603
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,522/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake Washington School District
- NCES district ID
- 5304230
- Math proficiency
- 79% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 85% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $103,849
- Composite
- 75.15/100
- National rank
- #251
- State rank
- #3 of 291 in WA
Livability — Kirkland
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #46
- US rank
- #792
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kirkland, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 93,513
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,531
- Household income
- $135,219
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1830.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Asian 17% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Spanish 7% Chinese 5%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1281.53%
- Current HPI
- 442.5372
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.14%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-7.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $354,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $359,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $364,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-06 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-18 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $374,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-17 Listed $384,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…