6329 11th Street Ct E · Whitfield, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$208,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Clean slate for renovation on this good size 3-bedroom 2-bathroom 1 garage pool home- over a third of an acre size lot in a excellent location, Located in a well-established area of Bradenton, this property offers a blend of quiet residential living and convenient access to everything the Gulf Coast has to offer. Nestled on a low-traffic, dead-end street, the neighborhood is known for its peaceful atmosphere, mature landscaping, and larger lot sizes, creating a comfortable setting with a bit more space and privacy than many newer communities. Overall, this location is ideal for buyers looking for a centrally located, quiet neighborhood with no HOA restrictions in many areas, solid value, an
Key facts
- Convenient access
- No hoa restrictions
- Good size lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential zoning (RSF3)
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; West-facing entry
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.3-acre lot
- Exterior features: Private in-ground spa; Private in-ground pool (gunite); Asphalt driveway
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Concrete flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open living room/dining room combination
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $208k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $208k).
- Recommended offer: $202k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.6% in Whitfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#160 in FL, #2,416 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 384 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $73k; list at $208k implies a 185% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.39%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $419,496
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6555 Connecticut Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,580 (-1%) | 7mo | $443,000 | $280 | 81 |
| 1125 Danny Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,587 (-0%) | 1mo | $390,000 | $246 | 77 |
| 6610 Sabina Rd | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,651 (+4%) | 2mo | $390,000 | $236 | 76 |
| 948 Winter Garden Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.5 | 1,479 (-7%) | 1mo | $424,750 | $287 | 73 |
| 711 64th Avenue Dr E | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,491 (-6%) | 1mo | $340,000 | $228 | 73 |
| 6008 9th St E | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,612 (+1%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $164 | 67 |
| 725 Winter Garden Dr | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,648 (+4%) | 7mo | $455,000 | $276 | 62 |
| 6418 2nd St E | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,565 (-2%) | 6mo | $450,000 | $288 | 61 |
| 6406 2nd St E | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,565 (-2%) | 3mo | $345,000 | $220 | 59 |
| 6904 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,682 (+6%) | 2mo | $444,000 | $264 | 55 |
| 6316 2nd St E | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,723 (+8%) | 6mo | $375,000 | $218 | 50 |
| 1116 Danny Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (-15%) | 7mo | $360,000 | $266 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-29,515
- Equity at exit
- $31,013
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-36,495
- Equity at exit
- $17,984
Cash invested: $58,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34203
- Home prices YoY
- -24.5%
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 384
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,184 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,091
- Tax from tax record
- −$383 /mo · $4,596/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$459
- Net cashflow
- $165
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $282 | -5% $223 | +0% $165 | +5% $106 | +10% $47 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-8 | -5% $78 | +0% $165 | +5% $251 | +10% $337 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $269 | -0.5pp $217 | base $165 | +0.5pp $111 | +1.0pp $56 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,000
- Closing costs
- $6,240
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6509 Magellan Ct Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 15d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 708 65th Ave E Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $2,195 | $1.22 | 16d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 613 61st Avenue Ter E Unit 613 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $2,195 | $1.84 | 16d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 6720 15th St E Sarasota, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 979 | $2,149 | $2.19 | 3d | 10 | 0.48mi |
| 973 Whitman Dr Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1408 | $1,990 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1011 57th Avenue Ter E Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1872 | $2,195 | $1.17 | 12d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 7036 13th St E Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $7,000 | $4.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 408 57th Avenue Dr E Apt E Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1209 | $1,375 | $1.14 | 12d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 408 57th Avenue Dr E Unit A Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1209 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 11d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 312 57th Avenue Dr E Unit B Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1209 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 409 57th Avenue Dr E Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1209 | $1,375 | $1.14 | 11d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 308 57th Avenue Dr E Unit B Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1209 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 4d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 833 Wee Burn St Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1817 | $2,941 | $1.62 | 4d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 304 57th Avenue Dr E Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1209 | $1,445 | $1.20 | 24d | 3 | 1.03mi |
| 304 57th Avenue Dr E Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1209 | $1,362 | $1.13 | 4d | 5 | 1.03mi |
| 511 65th Avenue Dr W Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1434 | $2,695 | $1.88 | 4d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 808 53rd Ave E #203 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $1,450 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 818 Plum Tree Ln Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1925 | $2,600 | $1.35 | 4d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5323 11th Street Cir E Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 804 67th Avenue Ter W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,950 | $1.66 | 11d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 906 66th Ave W Unit 906 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 16d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5257 11th St E Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,325 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 5580 Fountain Lake Cir Bradenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1052 | $2,367 | $2.25 | 2d | 38 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending
-
2026-04-17$208,000 Active
-
1999-09-02soldstatus $72,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,596 · $383/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,596 · $383/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,203
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,651
- − Property taxes
- −$4,596
- − Insurance
- −$1,040
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,096
- − Management
- −$2,096
- − Depreciation
- −$6,051
- Taxable loss
- −$1,328
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$319
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,293/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Whitfield
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #160
- US rank
- #2416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,618
- Household income
- $70,761
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1469.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Black 9% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Vietnam, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 16% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.87%
- Current HPI
- 295.8871
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.97%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+185.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Listed $208,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $72,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.6%/yrLatest (2024): $4,596 · +352.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…