77 Liberty Ave · Massena, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$27,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fixer upper! Two bedrooms. Washer dryer hook up on kitchen. Call to schedule your appointment. * Agents, see agent remarks
Key facts
- 8,400 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1925
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Frontage approximately 60 feet
Interior
- Flooring: Wood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; 5 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $27k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $545 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($927 rent vs $27k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 30.5% vs local median 5.3% in Massena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#330 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime D-, commute F.
- Massena Central School District (town): math 43% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #456 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 171 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $187 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $810 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 335 days — a 12% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 335 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 30.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 86.58%
- DSCR
- 4.85
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $107,100
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Garfield Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 650 (-7%) | 2mo | $74,200 | $114 | 56 |
| 32 Washington St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-4%) | 16mo | $102,820 | $153 | 56 |
| 72 Beach St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 792 (+13%) | 5mo | $121,900 | $154 | 47 |
| 7 Tamarack St | 0.60mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 620 (-11%) | 9mo | $22,000 | $35 | 40 |
| 1 Garfield Ave | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 672 (-4%) | 22mo | $105,000 | $156 | 40 |
| 11 Richards St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 790 (+13%) | 22mo | $65,000 | $82 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 87.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.02×
- Total profit
- $30,380
- Equity at exit
- $4,026
- IRR
- 90.2%
- Equity multiple
- 10.42×
- Total profit
- $71,246
- Equity at exit
- $2,334
Cash invested: $7,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13662
- Home prices YoY
- -6.4%
- Active inventory
- 171
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $927 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$142
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$34 /mo · $405/yr
- Insurance
- −$11
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$195
- Net cashflow
- $545
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,750
- Closing costs
- $810
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $27,000 Active 335 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $27,000 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $27,000 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $27,000 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $27,000 Active 330 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $27,000 Active 329 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $27,000 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $27,000 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $27,000 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $27,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $27,000 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $27,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $27,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-05-21status Active
-
2026-03-16status Pending
-
2025-11-13status Active
-
2025-11-13price $27,000
-
2025-08-10price $32,000
-
2025-05-02$42,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,120
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,512
- − Property taxes
- −$405
- − Insurance
- −$135
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$890
- − Management
- −$890
- − Depreciation
- −$785
- Taxable income
- $6,503
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,561
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,985/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Massena Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3618660
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,610
- Composite
- 38.75/100
- National rank
- #4123
- State rank
- #456 of 590 in NY
Livability — Massena
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #5449
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Massena, NY
- City population
- 15,737
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,737
Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,027 people
- By 2030
- 107,455 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 100,492 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 94,254 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 80,175 · -27.1%
- By 2100
- 63,140 · -42.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.77%
- Current HPI
- 243.4674
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-35.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Relisted — SLCMLS
- 2026-03-16 Pending — SLCMLS
- 2025-11-13 Relisted — SLCMLS
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $27,000 SLCMLS
- 2025-08-10 Price Changed $32,000 SLCMLS
- 2025-05-02 Listed $42,000 SLCMLS
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,736 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…