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77 Liberty Ave
B Composite 70.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$27,000

77 Liberty Ave · Massena, NY 13662
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 700 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 335 Days on market
Built 1925 8,400 sqft lot ↓ 36% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fixer upper! Two bedrooms. Washer dryer hook up on kitchen. Call to schedule your appointment. * Agents, see agent remarks

Key facts

  • 8,400 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1925

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Frontage approximately 60 feet

Interior

  • Flooring: Wood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; 5 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $27k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $545 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($927 rent vs $27k).
  • Recommended offer: $24k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 30.5% vs local median 5.3% in Massena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#330 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime D-, commute F.
  • Massena Central School District (town): math 43% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #456 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 171 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $187 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $810 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 335 days — a 12% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $23,760 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 335 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.43%
Cap rate
30.54%
Cash-on-cash
86.58%
DSCR
4.85
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$107,100
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6 Garfield Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 650 (-7%) 2mo $74,200 $114 56
32 Washington St 0.51mi 2/1.0 672 (-4%) 16mo $102,820 $153 56
72 Beach St 0.44mi 3/1.5 (+1) 792 (+13%) 5mo $121,900 $154 47
7 Tamarack St 0.60mi 1/1.0 (-1) 620 (-11%) 9mo $22,000 $35 40
1 Garfield Ave 0.68mi 2/2.0 672 (-4%) 22mo $105,000 $156 40
11 Richards St 0.47mi 2/1.0 790 (+13%) 22mo $65,000 $82 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
87.1%
Equity multiple
5.02×
Total profit
$30,380
Equity at exit
$4,026
10-year hold
IRR
90.2%
Equity multiple
10.42×
Total profit
$71,246
Equity at exit
$2,334

Cash invested: $7,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13662

Home prices YoY
-6.4%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$927 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$142
Tax est. 1.5%
$34 /mo · $405/yr
Insurance
$11
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$195
Net cashflow
$545

Break-even live

Break-even rent $236
Max offer price $27,000
Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,750
Closing costs
$810
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $27,000 Active 335 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $27,000 Active 334 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $27,000 Active 333 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $27,000 Active 332 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $27,000 Active 330 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $27,000 Active 329 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $27,000 Active 326 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $27,000 Active 325 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $27,000 Active 324 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $27,000 Active 320 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $27,000 Active 319 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $27,000 Active 318 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $27,000 Active 317 DOM
  14. 2026-05-21
    status Active
  15. 2026-03-16
    status Pending
  16. 2025-11-13
    status Active
  17. 2025-11-13
    price $27,000
  18. 2025-08-10
    price $32,000
  19. 2025-05-02
    listed $42,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,120
− Mortgage interest
−$1,512
− Property taxes
−$405
− Insurance
−$135
− Repairs & maintenance
−$890
− Management
−$890
− Depreciation
−$785
Taxable income
$6,503
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,561
After-tax cash flow
$4,985/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Massena Central School District
NCES district ID
3618660
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$42,610
Composite
38.75/100
National rank
#4123
State rank
#456 of 590 in NY

Livability — Massena

Score
73/100
State rank
#330
US rank
#5449

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Massena, NY
City population
15,737
Population (ZIP)
15,737

Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,027 people
By 2030
107,455 · -2.3%
By 2040
100,492 · -8.7%
By 2050
94,254 · -14.3%
By 2075
80,175 · -27.1%
By 2100
63,140 · -42.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 12% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence

2024 margin
R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
2008→2024 swing
-34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.77%
Current HPI
243.4674
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-35.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Relisted SLCMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Pending SLCMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Relisted SLCMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Price Changed $27,000 SLCMLS
  • 2025-08-10 Price Changed $32,000 SLCMLS
  • 2025-05-02 Listed $42,000 SLCMLS

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,736 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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