130 Stratford Dr NW · Atlanta, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fire damaged home ready to be rehabbed.
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 66 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $787 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 3.1% in Atlanta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living C-.
- Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 245 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $146k (65%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.16%
- DSCR
- 2.88
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $210,864
- List price
- $79,999
- Delta
- -62.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93 Stratford Dr NW | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-2%) | 18mo | $185,000 | $178 | 77 |
| 2891 Hedgewood Dr NW | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 | 1,092 (+3%) | 13mo | $205,000 | $188 | 65 |
| 37 Delmoor Ct NW | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 975 (-8%) | 3mo | $212,500 | $218 | 65 |
| 3365 Delmar Ln NW | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (-6%) | 8mo | $73,000 | $73 | 54 |
| 211 Hemphill School Rd | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,107 (+4%) | 11mo | $180,000 | $163 | 52 |
| 3049 Collier Dr NW | 0.37mi | 2/6.5 (-1) | 1,204 (+13%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $112 | 40 |
| 15 Harlan Rd SW | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,184 (+11%) | 19mo | $123,500 | $104 | 39 |
| 2694 Hedgewood Dr NW | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,160 (+9%) | 16mo | $241,000 | $208 | 34 |
| 359 Fairburn Rd NW | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,149 (+8%) | 22mo | $218,900 | $191 | 33 |
| 3395 Lake Valley Rd NW | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 954 (-10%) | 12mo | $185,000 | $194 | 31 |
| 3359 Treadwell Cir SW | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,210 (+14%) | 16mo | $355,000 | $293 | 29 |
| 192 Hemphill School Rd NW | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,216 (+14%) | 20mo | $300,000 | $247 | 18 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $31,736
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 40.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.18×
- Total profit
- $71,229
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30311
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 245
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,895 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$257 /mo · $3,085/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $787
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3188 Delmar Ln NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $2,400 | $2.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2875 Hedgewood Dr NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 17d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3354 Delmar Ln NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,700 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3136 Martin Luther King Jr Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 20d | 5 | 0.63mi |
| 3456 Thompson Dr NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,750 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3230 Cushman Cir SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1143 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 7d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 294 Brownlee Rd SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 16d | 2 | 0.84mi |
| 3466 Fairlane Dr NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,495 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 139 Peyton Pl SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,150 | $1.14 | 5d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 139 Peyton Pl SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,150 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2732 Baker Ridge Dr NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1322 | $1,750 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2590 Godfrey Dr NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $1,995 | $1.53 | 16d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3440 Boulder Park Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 10d | 3 | 0.95mi |
| 100 Peyton Pl SW Atlanta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1040 | $1,799 | $1.73 | 2d | 26 | 0.97mi |
| 3669 Martin Luther King Jr Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 5d | 2 | 1.04mi |
| 2762 Oldknow Dr NW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,600 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2740 Oldknow Dr NW Unit A Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,050 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3590 Collier Dr NW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1110 | $1,100 | $0.99 | 11d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 832 Ambient Way SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,250 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 841 Ambient Way SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1344 | $1,895 | $1.41 | 17d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3919 Wisteria Ln SW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1126 | $1,730 | $1.54 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 897 Ambient Way SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,155 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 887 Ambient Way SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1344 | $2,250 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 451 Fairlock Ln NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1141 | $1,450 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3537 Fairburn Pl NW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1484 | $2,000 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 460 Peyton Rd SW Unit B Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 708 Crestwell Cir SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1236 | $1,645 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 722 Crestwell Cir #722 Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1440 | $2,279 | $1.58 | 20d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2662 Hood Ave NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,000 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 470 Bolton Rd NW Unit D1 Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2423 M.L.K. Jr Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1120 | $1,750 | $1.56 | 2d | 19 | 1.32mi |
| 624 Robert St NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1221 | $3,000 | $2.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 646 Robert St NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $2,400 | $1.75 | 18d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 586 Oakside Dr SW Unit A Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,325 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 586 Oakside Dr SW Unit B Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,065 | $0.99 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 302 Kelso Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 10d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 302 Kelso Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 513 Constellation Overlook SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1446 | $2,300 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 648 Providence Pl SW #37 Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1416 | $2,195 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 156 Fairfield Pl NW Unit B-9 Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,199 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-16status $79,999 Pending 66 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,999 Active Under Contract 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $79,999 Active Under Contract 64 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,999 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,999 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,999 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,999 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,999 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,999 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $79,999 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $89,900 39-char remark
Show marketing remark (39 chars)
Fire damaged home ready to be rehabbed.
-
2026-05-11price $89,900 39-char remark
Show marketing remark (39 chars)
Fire damaged home ready to be rehabbed.
-
2026-05-04price $149,900 39-char remark
Show marketing remark (39 chars)
Fire damaged home ready to be rehabbed.
-
2026-05-04price $149,900 39-char remark
Show marketing remark (39 chars)
Fire damaged home ready to be rehabbed.
-
2026-04-09$225,500 New 39-char remark
Show marketing remark (39 chars)
Fire damaged home ready to be rehabbed.
-
2026-04-09$225,500 Active 39-char remark
Show marketing remark (39 chars)
Fire damaged home ready to be rehabbed.
-
2024-08-19historical $1,385
-
2024-08-14$1,385
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2024-08-14historical $1,315
-
2024-08-09price $1,315
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2024-07-31price $1,385
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2024-07-30price $1,700
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2024-07-18price $1,385
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2024-07-09price $1,410
-
2024-06-26price $1,435
-
2024-06-26$2,090
-
2021-10-06soldstatus $4,200,000
-
2019-04-08soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,085 · $257/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,085 · $257/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,738
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$3,085
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,819
- − Management
- −$1,819
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $8,807
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,114
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,331/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Atlanta Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1300120
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,306
- Composite
- 27.27/100
- National rank
- #7006
- State rank
- #80 of 174 in GA
Livability — Atlanta
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #919
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Atlanta, GA
- County
- Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
- City population
- 629,525
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,953
- Household income
- $50,649
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2825.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,203,707 people
- By 2030
- 1,299,706 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 1,488,256 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 1,664,580 · +38.3%
- By 2075
- 2,036,072 · +69.2%
- By 2100
- 2,222,402 · +84.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 89% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% White 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -129.99%
- Current HPI
- 259.954
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.19%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+72.9% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $89,900 FMLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $89,900 GAMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $149,900 FMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $149,900 GAMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $225,500 FMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $225,500 GAMLS
- 2024-08-19 Rental Removed $1,385 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-08-14 Listed for Rent $1,385 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-08-14 Rental Removed $1,315 PROPERTYWARE
- 2024-08-09 Price Changed $1,315 PROPERTYWARE
- 2024-07-31 Price Changed $1,385 PROPERTYWARE
- 2024-07-30 Price Changed $1,700 PROPERTYWARE
- 2024-07-18 Price Changed $1,385 PROPERTYWARE
- 2024-07-09 Price Changed $1,410 PROPERTYWARE
- 2024-06-26 Price Changed $1,435 PROPERTYWARE
- 2024-06-26 Listed for Rent $2,090 PROPERTYWARE
- 2021-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $4,200,000 Public Records
- 2019-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,085 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…