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925 Western Ave N
F Composite 28.17
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.9/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,900

925 Western Ave N · St. Paul, MN 55117
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1911 4,181 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

You won't believe the beautifully updated bathroom with claw foot tub and separate shower. Lots of original woodwork. Sunroom/Exercise room offers extra space off the kitchen. Unfinished basement features a 1/2 bathroom and room to finish off the space for more square footage. House features a lot of natural light and open feeling first floor. Close to the bus line and downtown. Private back yard and a quiet street.

Key facts

  • 4,181 sq ft lot
  • Built 1911
  • Listed 20 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt parking
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Residential property; Two levels
  • Construction: Block construction; Block foundation; Roof replaced within last 8 years
  • Exterior features: Rear porch; Patio; Full yard fencing; Storage shed; Public transit within six blocks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (two on upper level, one on main level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on upper level; 1 half bathroom (basement)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Hardwood floors; Natural woodwork; Paneled doors
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-402 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $199k (26.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (31.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $184k (31.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $234k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $183,990 (31.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.50%
Cash-on-cash
-6.39%
DSCR
0.72
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.6%
Equity multiple
0.10×
Total profit
$-68,210
Equity at exit
$40,243
10-year hold
IRR
-22.1%
Equity multiple
-0.16×
Total profit
$-87,647
Equity at exit
$23,336

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55117

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
170
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,840 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax from tax record
$328 /mo · $3,934/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$386
Net cashflow
$-402

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,349
Max offer price $198,858
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
255 Western Ave N Saint Paul, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 1049 $2,940 $2.80 1d 23 1.38mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-26
    historical Contingent - Inspection
  3. 2026-04-16
    listed $269,900 Active
  4. 2026-04-13
    price $269,900
  5. 2026-04-13
    historical $275,000
  6. 2021-05-20
    soldstatus $234,000 Sold 425-char remark
    Show marketing remark (425 chars)

    You won't believe the beautifully updated bathroom with claw foot tub and separate shower. Lots of original woodwork. Sunroom/Exercise room offers extra space off the kitchen. Unfinished basement features a 1/2 bathroom and room to finish off the space for more square footage. House features a lot of natural light and open feeling first floor. Close to the bus line and downtown. Private back yard and a quiet street.

  7. 2021-04-02
    status Pending 425-char remark
    Show marketing remark (425 chars)

    You won't believe the beautifully updated bathroom with claw foot tub and separate shower. Lots of original woodwork. Sunroom/Exercise room offers extra space off the kitchen. Unfinished basement features a 1/2 bathroom and room to finish off the space for more square footage. House features a lot of natural light and open feeling first floor. Close to the bus line and downtown. Private back yard and a quiet street.

  8. 2021-03-29
    historical Contingent - Inspection 425-char remark
    Show marketing remark (425 chars)

    You won't believe the beautifully updated bathroom with claw foot tub and separate shower. Lots of original woodwork. Sunroom/Exercise room offers extra space off the kitchen. Unfinished basement features a 1/2 bathroom and room to finish off the space for more square footage. House features a lot of natural light and open feeling first floor. Close to the bus line and downtown. Private back yard and a quiet street.

  9. 2021-03-25
    listed $199,900 Active 425-char remark
    Show marketing remark (425 chars)

    You won't believe the beautifully updated bathroom with claw foot tub and separate shower. Lots of original woodwork. Sunroom/Exercise room offers extra space off the kitchen. Unfinished basement features a 1/2 bathroom and room to finish off the space for more square footage. House features a lot of natural light and open feeling first floor. Close to the bus line and downtown. Private back yard and a quiet street.

  10. 2021-03-23
    historical $199,900 425-char remark
    Show marketing remark (425 chars)

    You won't believe the beautifully updated bathroom with claw foot tub and separate shower. Lots of original woodwork. Sunroom/Exercise room offers extra space off the kitchen. Unfinished basement features a 1/2 bathroom and room to finish off the space for more square footage. House features a lot of natural light and open feeling first floor. Close to the bus line and downtown. Private back yard and a quiet street.

  11. 2011-01-12
    soldstatus $56,600 129-char remark
    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    Very large 2 story home, huge bath, seperate shower, 4 season sun room attached to large kichen. Updated plumbing & electric.

  12. 2010-11-29
    historical 129-char remark
    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    Very large 2 story home, huge bath, seperate shower, 4 season sun room attached to large kichen. Updated plumbing & electric.

  13. 2010-11-07
    listed $54,900 129-char remark
    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    Very large 2 story home, huge bath, seperate shower, 4 season sun room attached to large kichen. Updated plumbing & electric.

  14. 2010-08-02
    historical
  15. 2010-07-07
    listed $54,900
  16. 1990-08-01
    soldstatus $39,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,934 · $328/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,934 · $328/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,079
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$3,934
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,766
− Management
−$1,766
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable loss
−$9,708
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,330
After-tax cash flow
$-2,496/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Paul Public School District
NCES district ID
2733840
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$48,316
Composite
23.51/100
National rank
#7868
State rank
#270 of 301 in MN

Livability — St. Paul

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Paul, MN
County
Ramsey County · 542,837 people
City population
280,599
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
44,697
Household income
$70,771
Rent vs Own
38.7% rent · 61.3% own
Severe rent burden
1588.0

Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
603,431 people
By 2030
636,459 · +5.5%
By 2040
700,596 · +16.1%
By 2050
765,819 · +26.9%
By 2075
929,297 · +54.0%
By 2100
1,053,924 · +74.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Asian 24% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Philippines, India
Languages at home
68% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 15% Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey

2024 margin
Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -308.56%
Current HPI
267.4216
Rent YoY
▲ 3.60%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+592.1% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-26 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $269,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $269,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-13 Coming Soon $275,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-20 Sold (MLS) $234,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-02 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-29 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-25 Listed $199,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-23 Coming Soon $199,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-01-12 Sold (MLS) $56,600 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-11-29 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-11-07 Listed $54,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-08-02 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-07-07 Listed $54,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1990-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,934 · +12.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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