925 Western Ave N · St. Paul, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.9/30.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
You won't believe the beautifully updated bathroom with claw foot tub and separate shower. Lots of original woodwork. Sunroom/Exercise room offers extra space off the kitchen. Unfinished basement features a 1/2 bathroom and room to finish off the space for more square footage. House features a lot of natural light and open feeling first floor. Close to the bus line and downtown. Private back yard and a quiet street.
Key facts
- 4,181 sq ft lot
- Built 1911
- Listed 20 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt parking
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Residential property; Two levels
- Construction: Block construction; Block foundation; Roof replaced within last 8 years
- Exterior features: Rear porch; Patio; Full yard fencing; Storage shed; Public transit within six blocks
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (two on upper level, one on main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on upper level; 1 half bathroom (basement)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Hardwood floors; Natural woodwork; Paneled doors
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-402 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $199k (26.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (31.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $184k (31.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $234k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.39%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-68,210
- Equity at exit
- $40,243
- IRR
- -22.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.16×
- Total profit
- $-87,647
- Equity at exit
- $23,336
Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55117
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,840 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,415
- Tax from tax record
- −$328 /mo · $3,934/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$386
- Net cashflow
- $-402
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,475
- Closing costs
- $8,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 255 Western Ave N Saint Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1049 | $2,940 | $2.80 | 1d | 23 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-04-26historical Contingent - Inspection
-
2026-04-16$269,900 Active
-
2026-04-13price $269,900
-
2026-04-13historical $275,000
-
2021-05-20soldstatus $234,000 Sold 425-char remark
Show marketing remark (425 chars)
You won't believe the beautifully updated bathroom with claw foot tub and separate shower. Lots of original woodwork. Sunroom/Exercise room offers extra space off the kitchen. Unfinished basement features a 1/2 bathroom and room to finish off the space for more square footage. House features a lot of natural light and open feeling first floor. Close to the bus line and downtown. Private back yard and a quiet street.
-
2021-04-02status Pending 425-char remark
Show marketing remark (425 chars)
You won't believe the beautifully updated bathroom with claw foot tub and separate shower. Lots of original woodwork. Sunroom/Exercise room offers extra space off the kitchen. Unfinished basement features a 1/2 bathroom and room to finish off the space for more square footage. House features a lot of natural light and open feeling first floor. Close to the bus line and downtown. Private back yard and a quiet street.
-
2021-03-29historical Contingent - Inspection 425-char remark
Show marketing remark (425 chars)
You won't believe the beautifully updated bathroom with claw foot tub and separate shower. Lots of original woodwork. Sunroom/Exercise room offers extra space off the kitchen. Unfinished basement features a 1/2 bathroom and room to finish off the space for more square footage. House features a lot of natural light and open feeling first floor. Close to the bus line and downtown. Private back yard and a quiet street.
-
2021-03-25$199,900 Active 425-char remark
Show marketing remark (425 chars)
You won't believe the beautifully updated bathroom with claw foot tub and separate shower. Lots of original woodwork. Sunroom/Exercise room offers extra space off the kitchen. Unfinished basement features a 1/2 bathroom and room to finish off the space for more square footage. House features a lot of natural light and open feeling first floor. Close to the bus line and downtown. Private back yard and a quiet street.
-
2021-03-23historical $199,900 425-char remark
Show marketing remark (425 chars)
You won't believe the beautifully updated bathroom with claw foot tub and separate shower. Lots of original woodwork. Sunroom/Exercise room offers extra space off the kitchen. Unfinished basement features a 1/2 bathroom and room to finish off the space for more square footage. House features a lot of natural light and open feeling first floor. Close to the bus line and downtown. Private back yard and a quiet street.
-
2011-01-12soldstatus $56,600 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Very large 2 story home, huge bath, seperate shower, 4 season sun room attached to large kichen. Updated plumbing & electric.
-
2010-11-29historical 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Very large 2 story home, huge bath, seperate shower, 4 season sun room attached to large kichen. Updated plumbing & electric.
-
2010-11-07$54,900 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Very large 2 story home, huge bath, seperate shower, 4 season sun room attached to large kichen. Updated plumbing & electric.
-
2010-08-02historical
-
2010-07-07$54,900
-
1990-08-01soldstatus $39,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,934 · $328/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,934 · $328/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,079
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,119
- − Property taxes
- −$3,934
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,766
- − Management
- −$1,766
- − Depreciation
- −$7,852
- Taxable loss
- −$9,708
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,330
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,496/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Paul Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733840
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,316
- Composite
- 23.51/100
- National rank
- #7868
- State rank
- #270 of 301 in MN
Livability — St. Paul
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Paul, MN
- County
- Ramsey County · 542,837 people
- City population
- 280,599
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,697
- Household income
- $70,771
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1588.0
Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 603,431 people
- By 2030
- 636,459 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 700,596 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 765,819 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 929,297 · +54.0%
- By 2100
- 1,053,924 · +74.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Asian 24% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Philippines, India
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 15% Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -308.56%
- Current HPI
- 267.4216
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.60%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+592.1% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-26 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Listed $269,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $269,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-13 Coming Soon $275,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-20 Sold (MLS) $234,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-02 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-29 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-25 Listed $199,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-23 Coming Soon $199,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-01-12 Sold (MLS) $56,600 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-11-29 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-11-07 Listed $54,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-08-02 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-07-07 Listed $54,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1990-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,934 · +12.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…