429 W Columbia St · Marion, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Completely Remodeled, 3-Bedroom Home with Modern Upgrades offers Move-In Ready Welcome to this fully renovated two-story single-family home offering move-in-ready comfort, stylish finishes, and peace-of-mind updates. Upstairs features three freshly carpeted bedrooms, new energy-efficient windows, and fresh interior paint for a clean, modern feel. Downstairs, enjoy brand new flooring and a completely updated kitchen with new cabinetry, countertops, sink, and fixtures--perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The spacious living room opens into a sunlit dining room with a cozy fireplace and walls of windows that bring in natural light. Both bathrooms are fully renovated with new toilets, vanities, shower/tub combos, and fixtures. Major mechanicals have been taken care of: the home features fully updated plumbing throughout and a brand-new electrical system professionally certified by a master electrician--just move in and relax. The unfinished basement offers flexible space--ideal for future expansion as a rec room, guest suite, or home office. A rear driveway leads to a one-car garage, while a welcoming front porch and private back porch extend your living space outdoors. With all major systems upgraded, new windows throughout, and full cosmetic renovations from top to bottom, this move-in-ready home offers effortless, low-effort living
Key facts
- Fully renovated
- Updated kitchen
- New cabinetry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $657 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 6.9% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#704 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities F.
- Marion City (town): math 22% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #600 of 656 in OH (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 210 active listings in the ZIP; 53 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.66%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,626
- List price
- $119,000
- Delta
- 24.44%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 373 W Church St | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,354 (+0%) | 1mo | $84,000 | $62 | 85 |
| 564 Uncapher Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,358 (+0%) | 0mo | $155,000 | $114 | 66 |
| 447 Olney Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,464 (+8%) | 3mo | $175,900 | $120 | 66 |
| 618 Blaine Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,376 (+2%) | 3mo | $101,000 | $73 | 66 |
| 620 Herman St | 0.33mi | 4/1.0 | 1,484 (+10%) | 2mo | $25,000 | $17 | 65 |
| 657 Cleveland Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,384 (+2%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $163 | 57 |
| 618 Irey Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,426 (+6%) | 0mo | $125,000 | $88 | 54 |
| 579 Henry St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,236 (-9%) | 1mo | $181,000 | $146 | 53 |
| 696 Florence St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,176 (-13%) | 2mo | $34,000 | $29 | 52 |
| 210 Leader St | 0.44mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,495 (+11%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $23 | 50 |
| 284 Latourette St | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 1,520 (+12%) | 1mo | $211,000 | $139 | 46 |
| 589 Girard Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,155 (-15%) | 1mo | $77,000 | $67 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $22,523
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.20×
- Total profit
- $73,333
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43302
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Active inventory
- 210
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,735 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $484/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $657
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $724 | -5% $691 | +0% $657 | +5% $623 | +10% $590 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $520 | -5% $588 | +0% $657 | +5% $726 | +10% $794 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $717 | -0.5pp $687 | base $657 | +0.5pp $626 | +1.0pp $595 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $119,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-04-10$119,000 Active 1361-char remark
Show marketing remark (1361 chars)
Completely Remodeled, 3-Bedroom Home with Modern Upgrades offers Move-In Ready Welcome to this fully renovated two-story single-family home offering move-in-ready comfort, stylish finishes, and peace-of-mind updates. Upstairs features three freshly carpeted bedrooms, new energy-efficient windows, and fresh interior paint for a clean, modern feel. Downstairs, enjoy brand new flooring and a completely updated kitchen with new cabinetry, countertops, sink, and fixtures--perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The spacious living room opens into a sunlit dining room with a cozy fireplace and walls of windows that bring in natural light. Both bathrooms are fully renovated with new toilets, vanities, shower/tub combos, and fixtures. Major mechanicals have been taken care of: the home features fully updated plumbing throughout and a brand-new electrical system professionally certified by a master electrician--just move in and relax. The unfinished basement offers flexible space--ideal for future expansion as a rec room, guest suite, or home office. A rear driveway leads to a one-car garage, while a welcoming front porch and private back porch extend your living space outdoors. With all major systems upgraded, new windows throughout, and full cosmetic renovations from top to bottom, this move-in-ready home offers effortless, low-effort living
-
2026-02-16historical
-
2025-09-12price $135,000
-
2025-08-12$155,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $484 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,170 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- +$686/yr (+$57/mo · 141.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,825
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$484
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,666
- − Management
- −$1,666
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $6,287
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,509
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,376/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion City
- NCES district ID
- 3904433
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,327
- Composite
- 21.58/100
- National rank
- #8306
- State rank
- #600 of 656 in OH
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #704
- US rank
- #12605
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marion, OH
- County
- Marion County · 53,702 people
- City population
- 53,702
- Metro
- Marion, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,702
- Household income
- $55,057
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1554.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,078 people
- By 2030
- 60,049 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 55,413 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 50,604 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 40,162 · -35.3%
- By 2100
- 29,105 · -53.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.4) · D 28.9% · R 70.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.5pp toward R · 2008: -8.9pp · 2024: -41.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.4 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+34.4 2012: R+7.6 2008: R+8.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.52%
- Current HPI
- 223.5344
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Marion, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
-23.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $119,000 CBRMLS
- 2026-02-16 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2025-09-12 Price Changed $135,000 CBRMLS
- 2025-08-12 Listed $155,000 CBRMLS
Property tax history
-3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $484 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…