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2167 Cardinal Ave
D+ Composite 49.32
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.1/30.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.4/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,999

2167 Cardinal Ave · Oxnard, CA 93033
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,368 sqft · Manufactured public records · 49 Days on market
Built 2016 1,368 sqft lot Est $280k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to storybook living in the highly desirable Sunny Acres 55+ community in Oxnard! Built in 2016, this beautiful NEWER CONSTRUCTION manufactured home offers the perfect blend of comfort, and style WITH lw space rent of $768 currently. Step inside to find high ceilings, expansive living areas, and a stunning kitchen complete with a center island, walk-in pantry, and abundant storage--perfect for everyday living and entertaining alike. The spacious primary suite feels like a private retreat with its generous layout and spa-inspired bathroom, while the secondary bedroom is nearly equal in size--ideal as a second primary or guest suite--plus an additional full bath for added convenience.

Key facts

  • Stunning kitchen
  • Abundant storage
  • Center island

Tags

STUNNING KITCHENCENTER ISLANDWALK-IN PANTRYABUNDANT STORAGESPA-INSPIRED BATHROOMSEPARATE LAUNDRY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: CC & R disclosures apply; Oven included; refrigerators and washer/dryer may be negotiable; Approval status required
  • Financial info: Listing accepts Conventional, Cash, and Other financing
  • HOA & community: Subdivision: Sunny Acres MHP

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 carport space; No attached garage
  • Security: Resident manager
  • Utilities: Month-to-month land lease
  • Home design: Mobile home, model Festival II; Approximately 59 feet long
  • Construction: Built in 2016
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Entry through living room; Private pool; Private spa; Located in a senior community

Interior

  • Kitchen: Convection oven; Gas stove
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heating present
  • Interior features: Quartz counters; Living area about 1368 (per public records); No fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $287k (4.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $287k (4.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.5% in Oxnard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#905 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A-, health & safety A-, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities D-.
  • Oxnard Union High (urban): math 28% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #220 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 31 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,759 units permitted in Ventura County in 2024 (1,196 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ventura County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $286,874 (4.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
8.22%
Cash-on-cash
6.87%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$280,440
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4061 Canary Ln #4061 0.05mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-2%) 4mo $275,000 $205 91
3700 Olds Rd #38 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-9%) 0mo $215,000 $172 80
2400 E Pleasant Valley Rd #108 0.28mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-2%) 3mo $316,000 $235 77
1645 Lime Ave #91 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-9%) 2mo $335,000 $268 75
2138 Bluejay Ave #43 0.11mi 2/2.0 1,250 (-9%) 17mo $250,000 $200 66
4061 Raven Ln #0 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-9%) 18mo $220,000 $176 66
4021 Oriole Ln Unit G 0.03mi 2/2.0 1,200 (-12%) 17mo $240,000 $200 64
1253 Pear Ave 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-9%) 16mo $321,500 $258 63
1416 Persimmon Ave #156 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,464 (+7%) 23mo $335,000 $229 56
132 Rainbow Dr #158 0.69mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-2%) 23mo $309,000 $230 46
104 Fontana Dr #104 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+5%) 20mo $175,000 $122 42
118 Yellowstone Dr #96 0.72mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-9%) 17mo $242,000 $194 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.8%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-26,498
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-16,570
Equity at exit
$25,938

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93033

Rents YoY
0.0%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,869 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,046/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$602
Net cashflow
$481

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,260
Max offer price $299,999
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $651 -5% $566 +0% $481 +5% $396 +10% $311
Rent -10% $254 -5% $368 +0% $481 +5% $594 +10% $708
Rate -1.0pp $632 -0.5pp $557 base $481 +0.5pp $403 +1.0pp $324

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2250 E Pleasant Valley Rd Oxnard, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 797 $3,115 $3.91 2d 9 0.13mi
2065 E Bard Rd Oxnard, CA 3.0 2.5 1249 $3,000 $2.40 24d 1 0.31mi
4401 Dallas Dr Oxnard, CA 2.0 1.5 950 $3,272 $3.44 2d 2 0.66mi
2630 El Dorado Ave Unit A Oxnard, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $2,500 $2.85 2d 1 0.74mi
2530 El Dorado Ave Oxnard, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $2,695 $3.07 2d 1 0.80mi
4800 Terrace Ave Unit B Oxnard, CA 2.0 2.0 1055 $2,600 $2.46 2d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $299,999 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,999 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,999 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,999 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,999 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,999 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $299,999 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $299,999 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,999 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,999 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,999 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $299,999 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,999 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $299,999 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,999 Active 31 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,999 Active 30 DOM
  17. 2026-05-01
    listed $299,999 Active
  18. 2005-03-18
    historical
  19. 2004-10-25
    listed

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,046 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,280 · $190/mo
Expected delta
+$1,234/yr (+$103/mo · 117.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,425
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$1,046
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,754
− Management
−$2,754
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable income
$839
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$201
After-tax cash flow
$5,569/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oxnard Union High
NCES district ID
0629270
Math proficiency
28% ▲ 7.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 11.00%
Median HH income
$68,770
Composite
35.79/100
National rank
#4835
State rank
#220 of 517 in CA

Livability — Oxnard

Score
54/100
State rank
#905
US rank
#24028

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing B Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oxnard, CA
County
Ventura County · 829,955 people
City population
213,176
Metro
Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
Population (ZIP)
78,737
Household income
$87,309
Rent vs Own
42.8% rent · 57.2% own
Severe rent burden
1968.0

Population outlook (Ventura County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
895,754 people
By 2030
912,134 · +1.8%
By 2040
931,454 · +4.0%
By 2050
934,609 · +4.3%
By 2075
924,899 · +3.3%
By 2100
864,712 · -3.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 86% Two or more races 36% Asian 7% White 5% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 82%
Foreign-born
41% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
20% English-only · Spanish 72% Tagalog/Filipino 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Ventura

2024 margin
D (+15.1) · D 56.1% · R 41.0% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+2.8pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 15.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.1 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+16.8 2012: D+5.3 2008: D+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -824.11%
Current HPI
348.9793
Rent YoY
▬ 0.01%
Metro
Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $299,999 CSMAR
  • 2005-03-18 Delisted CRMLS
  • 2004-10-25 Listed CRMLS

Property tax history

-3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,046 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…