4905 W 109th St #202 · Oak Lawn, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic short sale opportunity on a 2 bed/1 bath condo with assigned 1 car parking. Secured building. Move-in condition. Subject to bank approval.
Key facts
- $292 HOA
- Parking
- Built 1974
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.4% in Oak Lawn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#102 in IL, #1,614 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-.
- Chsd 218 (suburban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #454 of 620 in IL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 223 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 223 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.34%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $152,592
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -21.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-2,529
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.47×
- Total profit
- $49,331
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60453
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,684 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$238 /mo · $2,862/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$292
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $121
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4925 W 109th St Unit 102 Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 2d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 10831 S Keating Ave Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 2d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 10701 S Keating Ave Unit 3D Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,700 | $2.12 | 1d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 10435 S Keating Ave Apt 3N Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,650 | $1.53 | 1d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 10541 Parkside Ave Unit 2W Chicago Ridge, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 10d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5644 105th St Unit 2W Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4209 W 115th St Bldg 123-C Alsip, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,710 | $1.98 | 1d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 9955 S Cicero Ave Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,799 | $1.80 | 1d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 9957 S Cicero Ave Unit 308 Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,799 | $1.80 | 1d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 10435 Menard Ave Oak Lawn, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,475 | $1.97 | 16d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 10435 Menard Ave Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,850 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 10435 Menard Ave Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,750 | $2.06 | 1d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 10408 Menard Ave Unit 2B Oak Lawn, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,495 | $1.87 | 12d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 11720 S Kedvale Ave Alsip, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 19d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 10326 Mayfield Ave Apt 2S Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,650 | $1.94 | 18d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 10326 Mayfield Ave Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,650 | $1.94 | 17d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 6005 Marshall Ave #8 Chicago Ridge, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 4d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $292 · $3,504/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 223 DOM
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2026-06-17statusdays on market $119,900 Active 222 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Contingent - No Showings 221 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Contingent - No Showings 220 DOM
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2026-06-13remarks 163-char remark
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2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Contingent - No Showings 218 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Contingent - No Showings 214 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Contingent - No Showings 213 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Contingent - No Showings 212 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $119,900 Contingent - No Showings 209 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Contingent - No Showings 208 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Contingent - No Showings 207 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Contingent - No Showings 206 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Contingent - No Showings 205 DOM
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2026-05-20historical Contingent - No Showings 148-char remark
Show marketing remark (148 chars)
Fantastic short sale opportunity on a 2 bed/1 bath condo with assigned 1 car parking. Secured building. Move-in condition. Subject to bank approval.
-
2026-05-05status Active 148-char remark
Show marketing remark (148 chars)
Fantastic short sale opportunity on a 2 bed/1 bath condo with assigned 1 car parking. Secured building. Move-in condition. Subject to bank approval.
-
2025-11-11historical Contingent - No Showings 148-char remark
Show marketing remark (148 chars)
Fantastic short sale opportunity on a 2 bed/1 bath condo with assigned 1 car parking. Secured building. Move-in condition. Subject to bank approval.
-
2025-11-07$119,900 Active 148-char remark
Show marketing remark (148 chars)
Fantastic short sale opportunity on a 2 bed/1 bath condo with assigned 1 car parking. Secured building. Move-in condition. Subject to bank approval.
-
2024-03-12soldstatus $150,000
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2024-03-05soldstatus $150,000 Closed 811-char remark
Show marketing remark (811 chars)
Gorgeous 2 bedroom 1 bath Oak Lawn second floor condo features white trim/doors, neutral paint, new carpeting, a spacious living room with west facing balcony access, formal dining area, modern kitchen with new quartz counter-tops, stainless steel appliances, faucet, sink, oven/range with built in air fryer and stovetop griddle. Spacious master bedroom and second good sized bedroom with two closets, updated full bathroom new vanity, mirror, light fixture, faucet and shower head. Newer: kitchen/bath upgrades, carpet, paint (2023) and furnace (10 years). Main level coin laundry and storage unit! The assessment is $255 per month and includes water. Assigned parking space #138 and guest parking. Fantastic location near Wolfe Wildlife park, Mariano's, restaurants, shopping and convenient access to I-294!
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2023-12-31historical Contingent - Continue to Show 811-char remark
Show marketing remark (811 chars)
Gorgeous 2 bedroom 1 bath Oak Lawn second floor condo features white trim/doors, neutral paint, new carpeting, a spacious living room with west facing balcony access, formal dining area, modern kitchen with new quartz counter-tops, stainless steel appliances, faucet, sink, oven/range with built in air fryer and stovetop griddle. Spacious master bedroom and second good sized bedroom with two closets, updated full bathroom new vanity, mirror, light fixture, faucet and shower head. Newer: kitchen/bath upgrades, carpet, paint (2023) and furnace (10 years). Main level coin laundry and storage unit! The assessment is $255 per month and includes water. Assigned parking space #138 and guest parking. Fantastic location near Wolfe Wildlife park, Mariano's, restaurants, shopping and convenient access to I-294!
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2023-12-22$149,900 Active 811-char remark
Show marketing remark (811 chars)
Gorgeous 2 bedroom 1 bath Oak Lawn second floor condo features white trim/doors, neutral paint, new carpeting, a spacious living room with west facing balcony access, formal dining area, modern kitchen with new quartz counter-tops, stainless steel appliances, faucet, sink, oven/range with built in air fryer and stovetop griddle. Spacious master bedroom and second good sized bedroom with two closets, updated full bathroom new vanity, mirror, light fixture, faucet and shower head. Newer: kitchen/bath upgrades, carpet, paint (2023) and furnace (10 years). Main level coin laundry and storage unit! The assessment is $255 per month and includes water. Assigned parking space #138 and guest parking. Fantastic location near Wolfe Wildlife park, Mariano's, restaurants, shopping and convenient access to I-294!
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1983-08-09soldstatus $38,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,862 · $238/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,862 · $238/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,213
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$2,862
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,617
- − Management
- −$1,617
- − HOA
- −$3,504
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable loss
- −$190
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$46
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,504/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chsd 218
- NCES district ID
- 1706540
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,166
- Composite
- 16.09/100
- National rank
- #9235
- State rank
- #454 of 620 in IL
Livability — Oak Lawn
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #102
- US rank
- #1614
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oak Lawn, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 56,861
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,861
- Household income
- $83,911
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 827.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Iranian 1% Armenian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 17% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Arabic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -259.83%
- Current HPI
- 214.6977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.23%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+211.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-11 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-07 Listed $119,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2024-03-05 Sold (MLS) $150,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-31 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-22 Listed $149,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1983-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $38,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2023): $2,862 · +15.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…