1300 W Menlo Ave #217 · Hemet, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful Triple-Wide Home in a Heather Estates Senior Park Spacious and full of natural light, this home offers comfort and style in a welcoming 55+ community. Featuring an open-concept living and dining area, large kitchen with ample storage, and a cozy breakfast nook. The primary suite includes a generous walk-in closet and private bath, while additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for guests or a home office. Enjoy morning coffee on the covered porch, plus low-maintenance landscaping and a private carport. The community offers well-kept grounds, lots amenities, and convenient access to shopping, dining, and medical services. This home has lots of light and large kitchen, huge dinning room, primary bedroom is a great size with lots of closet space. Water Heater is new and Roof is only 5 years old with warranty that will transfer to new owner.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Built 1985
- Listed 307 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.6% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,279/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 2144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 307 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 307 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.12%
- DSCR
- 2.96
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $116,911
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- -6.00%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1300 W Menlo #59 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,880 (-1%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $24 | 97 |
| 1300 W Menlo #163 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,872 (-2%) | 5mo | $122,000 | $65 | 88 |
| 1300 W Menlo Ave #227 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,712 (-10%) | 11mo | $65,000 | $38 | 74 |
| 1300 W Menlo Ave #172 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 2,160 (+14%) | 8mo | $147,500 | $68 | 67 |
| 1250 N Kirby St #240 | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,909 (+0%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $68 | 62 |
| 1580 Cabrillo Dr | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 | 1,640 (-14%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $143 | 58 |
| 676 Seville Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,660 (-13%) | 10mo | $295,000 | $178 | 54 |
| 601 N Kirby St #151 | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 2,000 (+5%) | 10mo | $55,000 | $28 | 49 |
| 1250 N Kirby St #226 | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,703 (-10%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $88 | 43 |
| 1250 N Kirby St #191 | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,664 (-12%) | 8mo | $129,000 | $78 | 39 |
| 1250 N Kirby St #160 | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,638 (-14%) | 12mo | $130,000 | $79 | 39 |
| 1150 N Kirby St #26 | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,630 (-14%) | 9mo | $123,000 | $75 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $43,527
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 40.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.56×
- Total profit
- $109,410
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92543
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 264
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,279 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $565/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$479
- Net cashflow
- $1,006
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,068 | -5% $1,037 | +0% $1,006 | +5% $975 | +10% $944 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $826 | -5% $916 | +0% $1,006 | +5% $1,096 | +10% $1,186 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,062 | -0.5pp $1,034 | base $1,006 | +0.5pp $978 | +1.0pp $949 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1700 Walden Ln Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,670 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 828 Coramdeo Ct Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1543 | $3,000 | $1.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 663 Mariposa Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 543 La Cresta Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $1,595 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 914 Haviture Way Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $2,900 | $1.50 | 2d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2208 El Grande St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1327 | $2,000 | $1.51 | 0d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2208 El Grande St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1327 | $2,100 | $1.58 | 18d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,875 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,875 | $1.39 | 12d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1315 W Latham Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1340 | $2,550 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1245 Millie Dr Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $2,850 | $2.05 | 8d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1844 Paradise Way San Jacinto, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $3,000 | $1.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1967 Connor Ln San Jacinto, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1708 | $2,950 | $1.73 | 8d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3471 Dublin Ct Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $2,895 | $2.27 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 415 S Tahquitz Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1766 | $2,900 | $1.64 | 19d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 529 E Latham Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1226 | $1,950 | $1.59 | 20d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 424 W Mayberry Ave Unit 1 Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1664 | $850 | $0.51 | 8d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,900 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-02-07price $109,900 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
Beautiful Triple-Wide Home in a Heather Estates Senior Park Spacious and full of natural light, this home offers comfort and style in a welcoming 55+ community. Featuring an open-concept living and dining area, large kitchen with ample storage, and a cozy breakfast nook. The primary suite includes a generous walk-in closet and private bath, while additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for guests or a home office. Enjoy morning coffee on the covered porch, plus low-maintenance landscaping and a private carport. The community offers well-kept grounds, lots amenities, and convenient access to shopping, dining, and medical services. This home has lots of light and large kitchen, huge dinning room, primary bedroom is a great size with lots of closet space. Water Heater is new and Roof is only 5 years old with warranty that will transfer to new owner.
-
2026-01-22price $119,000 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
Beautiful Triple-Wide Home in a Heather Estates Senior Park Spacious and full of natural light, this home offers comfort and style in a welcoming 55+ community. Featuring an open-concept living and dining area, large kitchen with ample storage, and a cozy breakfast nook. The primary suite includes a generous walk-in closet and private bath, while additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for guests or a home office. Enjoy morning coffee on the covered porch, plus low-maintenance landscaping and a private carport. The community offers well-kept grounds, lots amenities, and convenient access to shopping, dining, and medical services. This home has lots of light and large kitchen, huge dinning room, primary bedroom is a great size with lots of closet space. Water Heater is new and Roof is only 5 years old with warranty that will transfer to new owner.
-
2026-01-08price $129,000 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
Beautiful Triple-Wide Home in a Heather Estates Senior Park Spacious and full of natural light, this home offers comfort and style in a welcoming 55+ community. Featuring an open-concept living and dining area, large kitchen with ample storage, and a cozy breakfast nook. The primary suite includes a generous walk-in closet and private bath, while additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for guests or a home office. Enjoy morning coffee on the covered porch, plus low-maintenance landscaping and a private carport. The community offers well-kept grounds, lots amenities, and convenient access to shopping, dining, and medical services. This home has lots of light and large kitchen, huge dinning room, primary bedroom is a great size with lots of closet space. Water Heater is new and Roof is only 5 years old with warranty that will transfer to new owner.
-
2025-09-22price $134,900 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
Beautiful Triple-Wide Home in a Heather Estates Senior Park Spacious and full of natural light, this home offers comfort and style in a welcoming 55+ community. Featuring an open-concept living and dining area, large kitchen with ample storage, and a cozy breakfast nook. The primary suite includes a generous walk-in closet and private bath, while additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for guests or a home office. Enjoy morning coffee on the covered porch, plus low-maintenance landscaping and a private carport. The community offers well-kept grounds, lots amenities, and convenient access to shopping, dining, and medical services. This home has lots of light and large kitchen, huge dinning room, primary bedroom is a great size with lots of closet space. Water Heater is new and Roof is only 5 years old with warranty that will transfer to new owner.
-
2025-08-15$139,900 Active 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
Beautiful Triple-Wide Home in a Heather Estates Senior Park Spacious and full of natural light, this home offers comfort and style in a welcoming 55+ community. Featuring an open-concept living and dining area, large kitchen with ample storage, and a cozy breakfast nook. The primary suite includes a generous walk-in closet and private bath, while additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for guests or a home office. Enjoy morning coffee on the covered porch, plus low-maintenance landscaping and a private carport. The community offers well-kept grounds, lots amenities, and convenient access to shopping, dining, and medical services. This home has lots of light and large kitchen, huge dinning room, primary bedroom is a great size with lots of closet space. Water Heater is new and Roof is only 5 years old with warranty that will transfer to new owner.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $565 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $835 · $70/mo
- Expected delta
- +$270/yr (+$23/mo · 47.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,352
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$565
- − Insurance
- −$2,052
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,188
- − Management
- −$2,188
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $11,005
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,641
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,434/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemet, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,937
- Household income
- $49,396
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2144.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% White 30% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 38% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.46%
- Current HPI
- 405.1277
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.76%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
-21.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-07 Price Changed $109,900 CRMLS
- 2026-01-22 Price Changed $119,000 CRMLS
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $129,000 CRMLS
- 2025-09-22 Price Changed $134,900 CRMLS
- 2025-08-15 Listed $139,900 CRMLS
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $565 · +40.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…