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1300 W Menlo Ave #217
B Composite 70.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

1300 W Menlo Ave #217 · Hemet, CA 92543
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,900 sqft · Manufactured public records · 307 Days on market
Built 1985 $58/sqft · 6% below area Est $117k · 6% under ↓ 21% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful Triple-Wide Home in a Heather Estates Senior Park Spacious and full of natural light, this home offers comfort and style in a welcoming 55+ community. Featuring an open-concept living and dining area, large kitchen with ample storage, and a cozy breakfast nook. The primary suite includes a generous walk-in closet and private bath, while additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for guests or a home office. Enjoy morning coffee on the covered porch, plus low-maintenance landscaping and a private carport. The community offers well-kept grounds, lots amenities, and convenient access to shopping, dining, and medical services. This home has lots of light and large kitchen, huge dinning room, primary bedroom is a great size with lots of closet space. Water Heater is new and Roof is only 5 years old with warranty that will transfer to new owner.

Key facts

  • Community pool
  • Built 1985
  • Listed 307 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.6% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,279/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 2144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 307 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 307 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.07%
Cap rate
18.65%
Cash-on-cash
44.12%
DSCR
2.96
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$116,911
List price
$109,900
Delta
-6.00%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1300 W Menlo #59 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,880 (-1%) 1mo $45,000 $24 97
1300 W Menlo #163 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,872 (-2%) 5mo $122,000 $65 88
1300 W Menlo Ave #227 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,712 (-10%) 11mo $65,000 $38 74
1300 W Menlo Ave #172 0.07mi 2/2.0 2,160 (+14%) 8mo $147,500 $68 67
1250 N Kirby St #240 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,909 (+0%) 4mo $130,000 $68 62
1580 Cabrillo Dr 0.36mi 2/2.0 1,640 (-14%) 4mo $235,000 $143 58
676 Seville Dr 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,660 (-13%) 10mo $295,000 $178 54
601 N Kirby St #151 0.73mi 2/2.0 2,000 (+5%) 10mo $55,000 $28 49
1250 N Kirby St #226 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,703 (-10%) 8mo $150,000 $88 43
1250 N Kirby St #191 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,664 (-12%) 8mo $129,000 $78 39
1250 N Kirby St #160 0.60mi 2/2.0 1,638 (-14%) 12mo $130,000 $79 39
1150 N Kirby St #26 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,630 (-14%) 9mo $123,000 $75 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.1%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$43,527
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
40.3%
Equity multiple
4.56×
Total profit
$109,410
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92543

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
264
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,279 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $565/yr
Insurance
$46
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$479
Net cashflow
$1,006

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,006
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,068 -5% $1,037 +0% $1,006 +5% $975 +10% $944
Rent -10% $826 -5% $916 +0% $1,006 +5% $1,096 +10% $1,186
Rate -1.0pp $1,062 -0.5pp $1,034 base $1,006 +0.5pp $978 +1.0pp $949

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1700 Walden Ln Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1430 $2,670 $1.87 25d 1 0.14mi
828 Coramdeo Ct Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1543 $3,000 $1.94 44d 1 0.21mi
663 Mariposa Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1440 $1,500 $1.04 25d 1 0.24mi
543 La Cresta Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1544 $1,595 $1.03 44d 1 0.30mi
914 Haviture Way Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1935 $2,900 $1.50 2d 1 0.57mi
2208 El Grande St Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1327 $2,000 $1.51 0d 1 0.57mi
2208 El Grande St Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1327 $2,100 $1.58 18d 1 0.57mi
853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1350 $1,875 $1.39 25d 1 0.78mi
853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1350 $1,875 $1.39 12d 1 0.78mi
1315 W Latham Ave Hemet, CA 3.0 2.5 1340 $2,550 $1.90 44d 1 0.79mi
1245 Millie Dr Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1392 $2,850 $2.05 8d 1 1.14mi
1844 Paradise Way San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.0 1540 $3,000 $1.95 44d 1 1.17mi
1967 Connor Ln San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.5 1708 $2,950 $1.73 8d 1 1.24mi
3471 Dublin Ct Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1276 $2,895 $2.27 4d 1 1.27mi
415 S Tahquitz Ave Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1766 $2,900 $1.64 19d 1 1.34mi
529 E Latham Ave Hemet, CA 3.0 1.0 1226 $1,950 $1.59 20d 1 1.40mi
424 W Mayberry Ave Unit 1 Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 1664 $850 $0.51 8d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 307 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 306 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 305 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 304 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,900 Active 302 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 298 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 297 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 296 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,900 Active 293 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,900 Active 292 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 291 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 290 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 289 DOM
  14. 2026-02-07
    price $109,900 863-char remark
    Show marketing remark (863 chars)

    Beautiful Triple-Wide Home in a Heather Estates Senior Park Spacious and full of natural light, this home offers comfort and style in a welcoming 55+ community. Featuring an open-concept living and dining area, large kitchen with ample storage, and a cozy breakfast nook. The primary suite includes a generous walk-in closet and private bath, while additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for guests or a home office. Enjoy morning coffee on the covered porch, plus low-maintenance landscaping and a private carport. The community offers well-kept grounds, lots amenities, and convenient access to shopping, dining, and medical services. This home has lots of light and large kitchen, huge dinning room, primary bedroom is a great size with lots of closet space. Water Heater is new and Roof is only 5 years old with warranty that will transfer to new owner.

  15. 2026-01-22
    price $119,000 863-char remark
    Show marketing remark (863 chars)

    Beautiful Triple-Wide Home in a Heather Estates Senior Park Spacious and full of natural light, this home offers comfort and style in a welcoming 55+ community. Featuring an open-concept living and dining area, large kitchen with ample storage, and a cozy breakfast nook. The primary suite includes a generous walk-in closet and private bath, while additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for guests or a home office. Enjoy morning coffee on the covered porch, plus low-maintenance landscaping and a private carport. The community offers well-kept grounds, lots amenities, and convenient access to shopping, dining, and medical services. This home has lots of light and large kitchen, huge dinning room, primary bedroom is a great size with lots of closet space. Water Heater is new and Roof is only 5 years old with warranty that will transfer to new owner.

  16. 2026-01-08
    price $129,000 863-char remark
    Show marketing remark (863 chars)

    Beautiful Triple-Wide Home in a Heather Estates Senior Park Spacious and full of natural light, this home offers comfort and style in a welcoming 55+ community. Featuring an open-concept living and dining area, large kitchen with ample storage, and a cozy breakfast nook. The primary suite includes a generous walk-in closet and private bath, while additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for guests or a home office. Enjoy morning coffee on the covered porch, plus low-maintenance landscaping and a private carport. The community offers well-kept grounds, lots amenities, and convenient access to shopping, dining, and medical services. This home has lots of light and large kitchen, huge dinning room, primary bedroom is a great size with lots of closet space. Water Heater is new and Roof is only 5 years old with warranty that will transfer to new owner.

  17. 2025-09-22
    price $134,900 863-char remark
    Show marketing remark (863 chars)

    Beautiful Triple-Wide Home in a Heather Estates Senior Park Spacious and full of natural light, this home offers comfort and style in a welcoming 55+ community. Featuring an open-concept living and dining area, large kitchen with ample storage, and a cozy breakfast nook. The primary suite includes a generous walk-in closet and private bath, while additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for guests or a home office. Enjoy morning coffee on the covered porch, plus low-maintenance landscaping and a private carport. The community offers well-kept grounds, lots amenities, and convenient access to shopping, dining, and medical services. This home has lots of light and large kitchen, huge dinning room, primary bedroom is a great size with lots of closet space. Water Heater is new and Roof is only 5 years old with warranty that will transfer to new owner.

  18. 2025-08-15
    listed $139,900 Active 863-char remark
    Show marketing remark (863 chars)

    Beautiful Triple-Wide Home in a Heather Estates Senior Park Spacious and full of natural light, this home offers comfort and style in a welcoming 55+ community. Featuring an open-concept living and dining area, large kitchen with ample storage, and a cozy breakfast nook. The primary suite includes a generous walk-in closet and private bath, while additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for guests or a home office. Enjoy morning coffee on the covered porch, plus low-maintenance landscaping and a private carport. The community offers well-kept grounds, lots amenities, and convenient access to shopping, dining, and medical services. This home has lots of light and large kitchen, huge dinning room, primary bedroom is a great size with lots of closet space. Water Heater is new and Roof is only 5 years old with warranty that will transfer to new owner.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$565 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$835 · $70/mo
Expected delta
+$270/yr (+$23/mo · 47.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,352
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$565
− Insurance
−$2,052
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,188
− Management
−$2,188
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$11,005
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,641
After-tax cash flow
$9,434/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hemet Unified
NCES district ID
0616920
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$39,962
Composite
25.16/100
National rank
#7517
State rank
#360 of 517 in CA

Livability — Hemet

Score
51/100
State rank
#1056
US rank
#25208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemet, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
137,670
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
39,937
Household income
$49,396
Rent vs Own
42.8% rent · 57.2% own
Severe rent burden
2144.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 54% White 30% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 48% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 38% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -147.46%
Current HPI
405.1277
Rent YoY
▲ 1.76%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-21.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-07 Price Changed $109,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $119,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Price Changed $129,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-09-22 Price Changed $134,900 CRMLS
  • 2025-08-15 Listed $139,900 CRMLS

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $565 · +40.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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