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126 Central Ave N
C+ Composite 63.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$115,000

126 Central Ave N · Eagle Bend, MN 56446
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,308 sqft · SingleFamily · 5 Days on market
Built 1928 4,443 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

MOVE-IN READY & AFFORDABLE-FULLY UPDATED! Don't miss this beautifully refreshed 2-BEDROOM, 1-BATH HOME offering 1300 sq ft of comfortable living space at an affordable price. This home has been thoughtfully updated with all new flooring and fresh paint throughout, creating a clean, move-in-ready feel. The two-story layout provides great separation of space, while all essential living facilities are conveniently located on the main floor making day to day living easy and accessible. The kitchen offers ample cabinet storage and flexibility including main floor laundry and a convenient main floor full bathroom. Both bedrooms are well sized making this home ideal for a first-time buyer, d

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • Fully updated
  • New flooring

Tags

FULLY UPDATEDNEW FLOORINGFRESH PAINTTWO-STORY LAYOUTAMPLE CABINET STORAGEMAIN FLOOR LAUNDRY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#663 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, employment D.
  • Bertha-Hewitt Public School District (rural): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #120 of 301 in MN (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 167 units permitted in Todd County in 2024 (78 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
  • Todd County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $115,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.43%
Cash-on-cash
7.64%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$37,406
Equity at exit
$62,888
10-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
4.19×
Total profit
$102,831
Equity at exit
$106,696

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56446

Home prices YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,195 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$88 /mo · $1,056/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$205

Break-even live

Break-even rent $935
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
135 North St W Unit A Eagle Bend, MN 2.0 1.0 1035 $1,195 $1.15 43d 1 0.08mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-26
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-26
    price $115,000
  3. 2026-04-21
    listed $110,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,056 · $88/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,172 · $98/mo
Expected delta
+$116/yr (+$10/mo · 11.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,340
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,056
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,147
− Management
−$1,147
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$627
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$151
After-tax cash flow
$2,310/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bertha-Hewitt Public School District
NCES district ID
2705430
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$41,200
Composite
42.76/100
National rank
#3155
State rank
#120 of 301 in MN

Livability — Eagle Bend

Score
63/100
State rank
#663
US rank
#15973

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Eagle Bend, MN
Population (ZIP)
1,502

Population outlook (Todd County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,202 people
By 2030
20,962 · -5.6%
By 2040
18,352 · -17.3%
By 2050
15,904 · -28.4%
By 2075
11,348 · -48.9%
By 2100
7,801 · -64.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 13% Romanian 11% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Todd

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.5) · D 22.5% · R 76.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-42.4pp toward R · 2008: -11.1pp · 2024: -53.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.5 2020: R+48.8 2016: R+47.7 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+11.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.67%
Current HPI
155.836
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-26 Price Changed $115,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $110,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+9.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,056 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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