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38 Welles St Duplex
B- Composite 68.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

38 Welles St · Wilkes-Barre, PA 18702
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,910 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1940 7,600 sqft lot Est $185k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Excellent investment opportunity! This nicely maintained 2 unit is ready for a new owner! Each unit is 2 bedrooms with long term tenants. There is off street parking with a nice sized yard. Each unit has separate heat and electric. Both units are currently rented at $1,000 a month.

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • Separate heat
  • Nice sized yard

Tags

OFF STREET PARKINGNICE SIZED YARDSEPARATE HEATSEPARATE ELECTRIC

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount reported

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential income property; Multi-family
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Lot measures approximately 40 x 190; Residential zoning

Interior

  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Steam heating
  • Interior features: Has heating; Natural gas and steam heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $783 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $392/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 5.7% in Wilkes-Barre — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Wilkes-Barre Area SD (urban): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #469 of 539 in PA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,610/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 1632% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.8% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $140k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $185,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
11.37%
Cash-on-cash
18.15%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$185,270
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
38 Welles St 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,910 (0%) 0mo $185,000 $97 100
94 Hillside St 0.47mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,700 (-11%) 1mo $165,000 $97 54
71-73 Empire St 0.56mi 4/2.0 1,749 (-8%) 11mo $180,000 $103 50
113 Sherman St 0.39mi 4/2.0 1,700 (-11%) 22mo $90,000 $53 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.84% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.0%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$30,430
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
25.6%
Equity multiple
3.65×
Total profit
$137,423
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18702

Rents YoY
6.8%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,610 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax est. 1.5%
$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$548
Net cashflow
$783

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,618
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 65%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,610

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
51 S Welles St Wilkes Barre, PA 4.0 1.0 1344 $1,600 $1.19 43d 1 0.06mi
123 S Franklin St Wilkes-Barre, PA 3.0 2.0 2400 $3,450 $1.44 21d 1 0.58mi
37 Wyoming St Wilkes Barre, PA 4.0 1.0 1300 $2,200 $1.69 21d 1 0.63mi
56 Kent Ln Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 2.0 1542 $1,800 $1.17 43d 1 0.65mi
279 Hazle St Wilkes Barre, PA 5.0 1.0 1400 $1,400 $1.00 13d 1 0.82mi
243 Stanton St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 1.0 2024 $1,395 $0.69 13d 1 0.96mi
243 Stanton St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 1.0 2024 $1,450 $0.72 43d 1 0.96mi
131 Academy St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,500 $1.15 43d 1 0.98mi
40 N Dawes Ave Kingston, PA 3.0 1.5 1450 $1,800 $1.24 21d 1 1.03mi
6 Magnolia St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 2.5 1700 $1,450 $0.85 43d 1 1.03mi
249 Parrish St Wilkes Barre, PA 5.0 2.0 2214 $2,000 $0.90 13d 1 1.15mi
407 McLean St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 1.0 1482 $1,400 $0.94 13d 1 1.31mi
104 Old River Rd Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 1.5 1600 $1,800 $1.12 43d 1 1.39mi
200 Gateway Dr Kingston, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1130 $3,219 $2.85 13d 1 1.42mi
96 McLean St Wilkes-Barre Township, PA 3.0 1.0 1535 $1,550 $1.01 43d 1 1.43mi
233 Gilligan St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 1.0 1440 $1,600 $1.11 21d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    status $185,000 Pending 2 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-05-29
    listed $185,000 Active
  4. 2023-10-27
    soldstatus $140,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,320
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$2,775
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,506
− Management
−$2,506
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$6,864
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,647
After-tax cash flow
$7,753/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wilkes-Barre Area SD
NCES district ID
4226300
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$37,420
Composite
21.22/100
National rank
#8409
State rank
#469 of 539 in PA

Livability — Wilkes-Barre

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Wilkes-Barre, PA
County
Luzerne County · 118,885 people
City population
73,981
Metro
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
Population (ZIP)
41,970
Household income
$56,378
Rent vs Own
40.5% rent · 59.5% own
Severe rent burden
1632.0

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 9%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -156.99%
Current HPI
216.9373
Rent YoY
▲ 6.84%
Metro
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+32.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $185,000 LCAR
  • 2023-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+20.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $10,040 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…