661 Minnesota Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$148,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 661 Minnesota Avenue, a well-maintained single-family home located in the desirable University District of the City of Buffalo. This property offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, providing a comfortable and functional layout ideal for a variety of buyers. Features include hardwood floors, a full basement, a partial attic for storage, and a two-car garage for convenient off-street parking. Enjoy outdoor space with a fenced yard, perfect for relaxation or entertaining. The property is currently rented for $1,300 per month, making it a great option for investors, while also presenting an excellent opportunity for owner-occupants. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, universities, and neighborhood amenities, this home offers both value and versatility. A solid opportunity in one of Buffalo’s sought-after areas
Key facts
- 3,900 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1927
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $149k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($552/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (8.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (8.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 237 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $21k; list at $149k implies a 602% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.32%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $178,972
- List price
- $148,900
- Delta
- -16.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 165 Hewitt Ave | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 894 (+10%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $140 | 42 |
| 342 Hastings Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 768 (-5%) | 22mo | $175,000 | $228 | 41 |
| 99 Davidson Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 924 (+14%) | 8mo | $110,000 | $119 | 38 |
| 37 Cornell Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 847 (+5%) | 24mo | $230,000 | $272 | 33 |
| 93 Davidson Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 924 (+14%) | 19mo | $162,500 | $176 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-24,297
- Equity at exit
- $22,201
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-29,514
- Equity at exit
- $12,874
Cash invested: $41,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14215
- Home prices YoY
- -30.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 237
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,361 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$186 /mo · $2,234/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $46
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,225
- Closing costs
- $4,467
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 Lisbon Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 189 Westminster Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1065 | $1,595 | $1.50 | 10d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 220 Dartmouth Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 97 Davidson Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 1d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 140 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 92 Lasalle Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 40 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1057 | $1,500 | $1.42 | 11d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1024 | $2,291 | $2.24 | 1d | 10 | 1.16mi |
| 26 Custer St Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 4035-4055 Harlem Rd Unit 4081B Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $1,649 | $2.02 | 1d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2939 Main St Buffalo, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 562 | $1,999 | $3.55 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 190 Manhattan Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 724 | $1,200 | $1.66 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 17 Proctor Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 103 Preston Rd Unit Lower Cheektowaga, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,300 | $1.47 | 3d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2 Angle St Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,212 | $1.67 | 14d | 2 | 1.48mi |
| 160 Courtland Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,025 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $148,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $148,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $148,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $148,900 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $148,900 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $148,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $148,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $148,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $148,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $148,900 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $148,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $148,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $148,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $148,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $148,900 856-char remark
Show marketing remark (856 chars)
Welcome to 661 Minnesota Avenue, a well-maintained single-family home located in the desirable University District of the City of Buffalo. This property offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, providing a comfortable and functional layout ideal for a variety of buyers. Features include hardwood floors, a full basement, a partial attic for storage, and a two-car garage for convenient off-street parking. Enjoy outdoor space with a fenced yard, perfect for relaxation or entertaining. The property is currently rented for $1,300 per month, making it a great option for investors, while also presenting an excellent opportunity for owner-occupants. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, universities, and neighborhood amenities, this home offers both value and versatility. A solid opportunity in one of Buffalo’s sought-after areas
-
2026-02-21price $149,400 856-char remark
Show marketing remark (856 chars)
Welcome to 661 Minnesota Avenue, a well-maintained single-family home located in the desirable University District of the City of Buffalo. This property offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, providing a comfortable and functional layout ideal for a variety of buyers. Features include hardwood floors, a full basement, a partial attic for storage, and a two-car garage for convenient off-street parking. Enjoy outdoor space with a fenced yard, perfect for relaxation or entertaining. The property is currently rented for $1,300 per month, making it a great option for investors, while also presenting an excellent opportunity for owner-occupants. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, universities, and neighborhood amenities, this home offers both value and versatility. A solid opportunity in one of Buffalo’s sought-after areas
-
2026-01-02$149,900 Active 856-char remark
Show marketing remark (856 chars)
Welcome to 661 Minnesota Avenue, a well-maintained single-family home located in the desirable University District of the City of Buffalo. This property offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, providing a comfortable and functional layout ideal for a variety of buyers. Features include hardwood floors, a full basement, a partial attic for storage, and a two-car garage for convenient off-street parking. Enjoy outdoor space with a fenced yard, perfect for relaxation or entertaining. The property is currently rented for $1,300 per month, making it a great option for investors, while also presenting an excellent opportunity for owner-occupants. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, universities, and neighborhood amenities, this home offers both value and versatility. A solid opportunity in one of Buffalo’s sought-after areas
-
2025-06-06historical $1,300
-
2025-06-05$1,300
-
2011-11-01soldstatus $21,200 142-char remark
Show marketing remark (142 chars)
Very nice city starter home with a 1st floor bedroom & finished knotty pine family area in the basement. Rear deck & 2-car garage.
-
2011-09-12$24,900 142-char remark
Show marketing remark (142 chars)
Very nice city starter home with a 1st floor bedroom & finished knotty pine family area in the basement. Rear deck & 2-car garage.
-
1997-08-25soldstatus $30,740
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,329
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,341
- − Property taxes
- −$2,234
- − Insurance
- −$744
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,306
- − Management
- −$1,306
- − Depreciation
- −$4,332
- Taxable loss
- −$1,934
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$464
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,016/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,524
- Household income
- $44,955
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2873.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -126.29%
- Current HPI
- 295.2966
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.67%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+384.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $148,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-02-21 Price Changed $149,400 WNYREIS
- 2026-01-02 Listed $149,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-06-06 Rental Removed $1,300 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-06-05 Listed for Rent $1,300 SHOWMOJO
- 2011-11-01 Sold (MLS) $21,200 WNYREIS
- 2011-09-12 Listed $24,900 WNYREIS
- 1997-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $30,740 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $286 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…