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661 Minnesota Ave
C- Composite 51.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$148,900

661 Minnesota Ave · Buffalo, NY 14215
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 809 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1927 3,900 sqft lot $184/sqft · 17% below area Est $179k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 661 Minnesota Avenue, a well-maintained single-family home located in the desirable University District of the City of Buffalo. This property offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, providing a comfortable and functional layout ideal for a variety of buyers. Features include hardwood floors, a full basement, a partial attic for storage, and a two-car garage for convenient off-street parking. Enjoy outdoor space with a fenced yard, perfect for relaxation or entertaining. The property is currently rented for $1,300 per month, making it a great option for investors, while also presenting an excellent opportunity for owner-occupants. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, universities, and neighborhood amenities, this home offers both value and versatility. A solid opportunity in one of Buffalo’s sought-after areas

Key facts

  • 3,900 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1927

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $149k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($552/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (8.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (8.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 237 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $21k; list at $149k implies a 602% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $136,074 (8.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.32%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$178,972
List price
$148,900
Delta
-16.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
165 Hewitt Ave 0.70mi 2/2.0 (-1) 894 (+10%) 1mo $125,000 $140 42
342 Hastings Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 768 (-5%) 22mo $175,000 $228 41
99 Davidson Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 924 (+14%) 8mo $110,000 $119 38
37 Cornell Ave 0.74mi 2/1.5 (-1) 847 (+5%) 24mo $230,000 $272 33
93 Davidson Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 924 (+14%) 19mo $162,500 $176 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.8%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-24,297
Equity at exit
$22,201
10-year hold
IRR
-13.6%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-29,514
Equity at exit
$12,874

Cash invested: $41,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14215

Home prices YoY
-30.0%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
237
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,361 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax est. 1.5%
$186 /mo · $2,234/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$286
Net cashflow
$46

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,303
Max offer price $148,900
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,225
Closing costs
$4,467
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
507 Lisbon Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 850 $1,050 $1.24 43d 1 0.23mi
189 Westminster Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.5 1065 $1,595 $1.50 10d 1 0.34mi
220 Dartmouth Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 23d 1 0.58mi
97 Davidson Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 925 $1,495 $1.62 1d 1 0.66mi
140 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 990 $1,500 $1.52 43d 1 0.99mi
92 Lasalle Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 43d 1 1.11mi
40 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1057 $1,500 $1.42 11d 1 1.13mi
89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY 1.0–4.0 1.0–4.0 1024 $2,291 $2.24 1d 10 1.16mi
26 Custer St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 1.21mi
4035-4055 Harlem Rd Unit 4081B Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 815 $1,649 $2.02 1d 1 1.21mi
2939 Main St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 562 $1,999 $3.55 3d 1 1.28mi
190 Manhattan Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 724 $1,200 $1.66 43d 1 1.33mi
17 Proctor Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 43d 1 1.40mi
103 Preston Rd Unit Lower Cheektowaga, NY 2.0 1.0 882 $1,300 $1.47 3d 1 1.48mi
2 Angle St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 725 $1,212 $1.67 14d 2 1.48mi
160 Courtland Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 810 $1,025 $1.27 14d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $148,900 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $148,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on marketlisting id $148,900 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $148,900 Active 164 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $148,900 Active 162 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $148,900 Active 161 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $148,900 Active 159 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $148,900 Active 158 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $148,900 Active 157 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $148,900 Active 156 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $148,900 Active 152 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $148,900 Active 151 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $148,900 Active 150 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $148,900 Active 149 DOM
  15. 2026-04-16
    price $148,900 856-char remark
    Show marketing remark (856 chars)

    Welcome to 661 Minnesota Avenue, a well-maintained single-family home located in the desirable University District of the City of Buffalo. This property offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, providing a comfortable and functional layout ideal for a variety of buyers. Features include hardwood floors, a full basement, a partial attic for storage, and a two-car garage for convenient off-street parking. Enjoy outdoor space with a fenced yard, perfect for relaxation or entertaining. The property is currently rented for $1,300 per month, making it a great option for investors, while also presenting an excellent opportunity for owner-occupants. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, universities, and neighborhood amenities, this home offers both value and versatility. A solid opportunity in one of Buffalo’s sought-after areas

  16. 2026-02-21
    price $149,400 856-char remark
    Show marketing remark (856 chars)

    Welcome to 661 Minnesota Avenue, a well-maintained single-family home located in the desirable University District of the City of Buffalo. This property offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, providing a comfortable and functional layout ideal for a variety of buyers. Features include hardwood floors, a full basement, a partial attic for storage, and a two-car garage for convenient off-street parking. Enjoy outdoor space with a fenced yard, perfect for relaxation or entertaining. The property is currently rented for $1,300 per month, making it a great option for investors, while also presenting an excellent opportunity for owner-occupants. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, universities, and neighborhood amenities, this home offers both value and versatility. A solid opportunity in one of Buffalo’s sought-after areas

  17. 2026-01-02
    listed $149,900 Active 856-char remark
    Show marketing remark (856 chars)

    Welcome to 661 Minnesota Avenue, a well-maintained single-family home located in the desirable University District of the City of Buffalo. This property offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, providing a comfortable and functional layout ideal for a variety of buyers. Features include hardwood floors, a full basement, a partial attic for storage, and a two-car garage for convenient off-street parking. Enjoy outdoor space with a fenced yard, perfect for relaxation or entertaining. The property is currently rented for $1,300 per month, making it a great option for investors, while also presenting an excellent opportunity for owner-occupants. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, universities, and neighborhood amenities, this home offers both value and versatility. A solid opportunity in one of Buffalo’s sought-after areas

  18. 2025-06-06
    historical $1,300
  19. 2025-06-05
    listed $1,300
  20. 2011-11-01
    soldstatus $21,200 142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (142 chars)

    Very nice city starter home with a 1st floor bedroom & finished knotty pine family area in the basement. Rear deck & 2-car garage.

  21. 2011-09-12
    listed $24,900 142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (142 chars)

    Very nice city starter home with a 1st floor bedroom & finished knotty pine family area in the basement. Rear deck & 2-car garage.

  22. 1997-08-25
    soldstatus $30,740

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,329
− Mortgage interest
−$8,341
− Property taxes
−$2,234
− Insurance
−$744
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,306
− Management
−$1,306
− Depreciation
−$4,332
Taxable loss
−$1,934
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$464
After-tax cash flow
$1,016/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
42,524
Household income
$44,955
Rent vs Own
50.0% rent · 50.0% own
Severe rent burden
2873.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.29%
Current HPI
295.2966
Rent YoY
▲ 0.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+384.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $148,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-02-21 Price Changed $149,400 WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-02 Listed $149,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-06-06 Rental Removed $1,300 SHOWMOJO
  • 2025-06-05 Listed for Rent $1,300 SHOWMOJO
  • 2011-11-01 Sold (MLS) $21,200 WNYREIS
  • 2011-09-12 Listed $24,900 WNYREIS
  • 1997-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $30,740 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $286 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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