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30221 Maplewood St
C- Composite 51.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.2/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

30221 Maplewood St · Garden City, MI 48135
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 980 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 81 Days on market
Built 1949 0.35 ac lot Est $208k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully fully remodeled 4-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Garden City! This move-in-ready property features a spacious layout with modern updates throughout, including a refreshed kitchen, updated bath, new flooring, and fresh paint. Enjoy the convenience of a rare 2-car attached garage and a large yard - perfect for entertaining, pets, or future outdoor projects. Located in a desirable neighborhood close to schools, shopping, and major highways, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Don't miss your opportunity to own a turnkey home in a great location!

Key facts

  • Fully remodeled
  • Updated bath
  • Fresh paint

Tags

FULLY REMODELEDREFRESHED KITCHENUPDATED BATHNEW FLOORINGFRESH PAINT2-CAR ATTACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approx. 0.35 acres (86.26 x 174.85)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating with natural gas
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Total of 6 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (5.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 5.8% in Garden City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#53 in MI, #1,047 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: employment C-.
  • Garden City Public Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #365 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Douglas Elementary 34 Campus (math 29% / reading 32%, grade F, #858 of 1,397 statewide, top 61%, 433 students, 61% FRL); Garden City Middle School (math 20% / reading 36%, grade F, #359 of 493 statewide, top 73%, 435 students, 58% FRL); Garden City High School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #441 of 713 statewide, top 64%, 846 students, 44% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $90k; list at $200k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $187,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.56%
Cash-on-cash
4.52%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$207,760
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
29624 Bridge St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (-1) 955 (-3%) 5mo $130,000 $136 65
30616 Beechwood Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,017 (+4%) 8mo $177,500 $175 64
30966 Dover Ave 0.41mi 3/1.5 (-1) 936 (-4%) 3mo $215,000 $230 64
29856 Chester St 0.24mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,060 (+8%) 11mo $216,000 $204 61
6908 Burnly St 0.38mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,038 (+6%) 12mo $252,900 $244 58
31208 Windsor St 0.55mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,060 (+8%) 2mo $213,000 $201 54
7355 W Frumin Ct 0.73mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,020 (+4%) 1mo $225,000 $221 54
29870 Elmwood St 0.25mi 3/1.0 (-1) 844 (-14%) 8mo $165,000 $195 53
31453 Bridge Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 (-1) 925 (-6%) 7mo $239,000 $258 48
29854 Malvern St 0.62mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,077 (+10%) 5mo $228,500 $212 45
29020 Balmoral St S 0.62mi 3/1.0 (-1) 876 (-11%) 10mo $140,000 $160 40
29878 Malvern St 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,077 (+10%) 7mo $269,900 $251 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.6%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-17,751
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$6,875
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48135

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
139
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,890 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$150 /mo · $1,805/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$397
Net cashflow
$211

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,623
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $324 -5% $267 +0% $211 +5% $154 +10% $98
Rent -10% $62 -5% $136 +0% $211 +5% $286 +10% $360
Rate -1.0pp $312 -0.5pp $262 base $211 +0.5pp $159 +1.0pp $106

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
32214 Dover St Garden City, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,340 $1.34 13d 1 1.01mi
5927 Lathers St Garden City, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 0d 1 1.02mi
7484 Affeldt St Westland, MI 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,500 $1.34 26d 1 1.15mi
5839 Helen St Garden City, MI 3.0 1.0 984 $1,500 $1.52 0d 1 1.16mi
7457 Harrison St Westland, MI 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,900 $1.70 0d 1 1.16mi
7435 Lathers St Westland, MI 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,900 $1.70 18d 1 1.20mi
536 N Leona Ave Garden City, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,440 $1.44 14d 1 1.24mi
1713 Gilman St Garden City, MI 3.0 1.0 860 $1,600 $1.86 0d 1 1.26mi
7048 Deering St Garden City, MI 3.0 1.0 910 $1,500 $1.65 19d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,900 Active 81 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active 73 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active 72 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,900 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,900 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,900 Active 67 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $199,900 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,900 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,900 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,900 Active 61 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,900 Active 60 DOM
  16. 2026-05-01
    price $199,900 593-char remark
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully fully remodeled 4-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Garden City! This move-in-ready property features a spacious layout with modern updates throughout, including a refreshed kitchen, updated bath, new flooring, and fresh paint. Enjoy the convenience of a rare 2-car attached garage and a large yard - perfect for entertaining, pets, or future outdoor projects. Located in a desirable neighborhood close to schools, shopping, and major highways, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Don't miss your opportunity to own a turnkey home in a great location!

  17. 2026-05-01
    price $199,900
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully fully remodeled 4-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Garden City! This move-in-ready property features a spacious layout with modern updates throughout, including a refreshed kitchen, updated bath, new flooring, and fresh paint. Enjoy the convenience of a rare 2-car attached garage and a large yard - perfect for entertaining, pets, or future outdoor projects. Located in a desirable neighborhood close to schools, shopping, and major highways, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Don't miss your opportunity to own a turnkey home in a great location!

  18. 2026-04-01
    listed $214,900 Active 593-char remark
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully fully remodeled 4-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Garden City! This move-in-ready property features a spacious layout with modern updates throughout, including a refreshed kitchen, updated bath, new flooring, and fresh paint. Enjoy the convenience of a rare 2-car attached garage and a large yard - perfect for entertaining, pets, or future outdoor projects. Located in a desirable neighborhood close to schools, shopping, and major highways, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Don't miss your opportunity to own a turnkey home in a great location!

  19. 2026-04-01
    listed $214,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully fully remodeled 4-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Garden City! This move-in-ready property features a spacious layout with modern updates throughout, including a refreshed kitchen, updated bath, new flooring, and fresh paint. Enjoy the convenience of a rare 2-car attached garage and a large yard - perfect for entertaining, pets, or future outdoor projects. Located in a desirable neighborhood close to schools, shopping, and major highways, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Don't miss your opportunity to own a turnkey home in a great location!

  20. 2025-10-08
    soldstatus $90,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,805 · $150/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,442 · $203/mo
Expected delta
+$637/yr (+$53/mo · 35.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,677
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$1,805
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,814
− Management
−$1,814
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$769
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$185
After-tax cash flow
$2,715/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Garden City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2615540
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$52,165
Composite
25.53/100
National rank
#7433
State rank
#365 of 540 in MI

Livability — Garden City

Score
82/100
State rank
#53
US rank
#1047

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Garden City, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
26,739
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
26,739
Household income
$67,294
Rent vs Own
20.9% rent · 79.1% own
Severe rent burden
509.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 8% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Arabic 3% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -265.28%
Current HPI
212.5713
Rent YoY
▲ 3.65%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+122.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $199,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $199,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $214,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $214,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,805 · -10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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