30221 Maplewood St · Garden City, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +9.2/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully fully remodeled 4-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Garden City! This move-in-ready property features a spacious layout with modern updates throughout, including a refreshed kitchen, updated bath, new flooring, and fresh paint. Enjoy the convenience of a rare 2-car attached garage and a large yard - perfect for entertaining, pets, or future outdoor projects. Located in a desirable neighborhood close to schools, shopping, and major highways, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Don't miss your opportunity to own a turnkey home in a great location!
Key facts
- Fully remodeled
- Updated bath
- Fresh paint
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approx. 0.35 acres (86.26 x 174.85)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating with natural gas
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Total of 6 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (5.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $188k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 5.8% in Garden City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#53 in MI, #1,047 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: employment C-.
- Garden City Public Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #365 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Douglas Elementary 34 Campus (math 29% / reading 32%, grade F, #858 of 1,397 statewide, top 61%, 433 students, 61% FRL); Garden City Middle School (math 20% / reading 36%, grade F, #359 of 493 statewide, top 73%, 435 students, 58% FRL); Garden City High School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #441 of 713 statewide, top 64%, 846 students, 44% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $200k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.52%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $207,760
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29624 Bridge St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 955 (-3%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $136 | 65 |
| 30616 Beechwood Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,017 (+4%) | 8mo | $177,500 | $175 | 64 |
| 30966 Dover Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 936 (-4%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $230 | 64 |
| 29856 Chester St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,060 (+8%) | 11mo | $216,000 | $204 | 61 |
| 6908 Burnly St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,038 (+6%) | 12mo | $252,900 | $244 | 58 |
| 31208 Windsor St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,060 (+8%) | 2mo | $213,000 | $201 | 54 |
| 7355 W Frumin Ct | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (+4%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $221 | 54 |
| 29870 Elmwood St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 844 (-14%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $195 | 53 |
| 31453 Bridge Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 925 (-6%) | 7mo | $239,000 | $258 | 48 |
| 29854 Malvern St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,077 (+10%) | 5mo | $228,500 | $212 | 45 |
| 29020 Balmoral St S | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 876 (-11%) | 10mo | $140,000 | $160 | 40 |
| 29878 Malvern St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,077 (+10%) | 7mo | $269,900 | $251 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-17,751
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $6,875
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48135
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,890 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,805/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$397
- Net cashflow
- $211
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $324 | -5% $267 | +0% $211 | +5% $154 | +10% $98 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $62 | -5% $136 | +0% $211 | +5% $286 | +10% $360 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $312 | -0.5pp $262 | base $211 | +0.5pp $159 | +1.0pp $106 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32214 Dover St Garden City, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,340 | $1.34 | 13d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 5927 Lathers St Garden City, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 0d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 7484 Affeldt St Westland, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,500 | $1.34 | 26d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 5839 Helen St Garden City, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 0d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 7457 Harrison St Westland, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,900 | $1.70 | 0d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 7435 Lathers St Westland, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,900 | $1.70 | 18d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 536 N Leona Ave Garden City, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,440 | $1.44 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1713 Gilman St Garden City, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,600 | $1.86 | 0d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 7048 Deering St Garden City, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,500 | $1.65 | 19d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $199,900 593-char remark
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully fully remodeled 4-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Garden City! This move-in-ready property features a spacious layout with modern updates throughout, including a refreshed kitchen, updated bath, new flooring, and fresh paint. Enjoy the convenience of a rare 2-car attached garage and a large yard - perfect for entertaining, pets, or future outdoor projects. Located in a desirable neighborhood close to schools, shopping, and major highways, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Don't miss your opportunity to own a turnkey home in a great location!
-
2026-05-01price $199,900
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully fully remodeled 4-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Garden City! This move-in-ready property features a spacious layout with modern updates throughout, including a refreshed kitchen, updated bath, new flooring, and fresh paint. Enjoy the convenience of a rare 2-car attached garage and a large yard - perfect for entertaining, pets, or future outdoor projects. Located in a desirable neighborhood close to schools, shopping, and major highways, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Don't miss your opportunity to own a turnkey home in a great location!
-
2026-04-01$214,900 Active 593-char remark
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully fully remodeled 4-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Garden City! This move-in-ready property features a spacious layout with modern updates throughout, including a refreshed kitchen, updated bath, new flooring, and fresh paint. Enjoy the convenience of a rare 2-car attached garage and a large yard - perfect for entertaining, pets, or future outdoor projects. Located in a desirable neighborhood close to schools, shopping, and major highways, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Don't miss your opportunity to own a turnkey home in a great location!
-
2026-04-01$214,900 Active
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully fully remodeled 4-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Garden City! This move-in-ready property features a spacious layout with modern updates throughout, including a refreshed kitchen, updated bath, new flooring, and fresh paint. Enjoy the convenience of a rare 2-car attached garage and a large yard - perfect for entertaining, pets, or future outdoor projects. Located in a desirable neighborhood close to schools, shopping, and major highways, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Don't miss your opportunity to own a turnkey home in a great location!
-
2025-10-08soldstatus $90,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,805 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,442 · $203/mo
- Expected delta
- +$637/yr (+$53/mo · 35.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,677
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$1,805
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,814
- − Management
- −$1,814
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$769
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$185
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,715/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Garden City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2615540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,165
- Composite
- 25.53/100
- National rank
- #7433
- State rank
- #365 of 540 in MI
Livability — Garden City
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #1047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Garden City, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 26,739
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,739
- Household income
- $67,294
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 509.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 8% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Arabic 3% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -265.28%
- Current HPI
- 212.5713
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.65%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+122.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $199,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $199,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-01 Listed $214,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-01 Listed $214,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,805 · -10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…