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1049 Gary Dr
D+ Composite 49.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$164,900

1049 Gary Dr · Breaux Bridge, LA 70517
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,323 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 2009 8,400 sqft lot Est $165k · at est. $25/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located within the city limits of Breaux Bridge, this charming 3 bed 2 bath home offers the perfect blend of comfort, convivence, and small-town charm. With a functional layout designed for everyday living, the home features a welcoming living area, a well-appointed kitchen with ample cabinet space, and dining area for the family or entertaining guests. The spacious primary suite includes a private bath, while the additional bedrooms provide flexibility. Outside, enjoy a manageable yard with room to relax, garden, or host weekend gatherings. Situated just minutes from locals schools, shopping, dining, and the heart of the historic Breaux Bridge, this property offers easy access to everythin

Key facts

  • Easy access
  • Manageable yard
  • 8,400 sq ft lot

Tags

WELL-APPOINTED KITCHENMANAGEABLE YARDEASY ACCESS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $198 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (1.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.4% in Breaux Bridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#210 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • St. Martin Parish (rural): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #49 of 98 in LA (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Breaux Bridge Primary School (571 students, 80% FRL); Breaux Bridge Junior High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #174 of 218 statewide, top 81%, 397 students, 76% FRL); Breaux Bridge High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #153 of 265 statewide, top 62%, 851 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 73% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 276 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 54 units permitted in St. Martin Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Martin County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $159,953 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.73%
Cash-on-cash
5.15%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$165,375
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1042 Lillian Michel Dr 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,298 (-2%) 4mo $162,000 $125 93
925 Lillian Michel Dr 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,323 (0%) 4mo $181,500 $137 86
918 Lillian Michel Dr 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,360 (+3%) 8mo $185,000 $136 78
1409 Grand Pointe Ave 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,235 (-7%) 2mo $120,000 $97 66
114 Van Buren St 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,267 (-4%) 2mo $151,000 $119 60
744 N Belle Cir 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,475 (+12%) 13mo $225,000 $153 60
728 S Poydras St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,338 (+1%) 13mo $165,000 $123 52
708 S Belle Cir 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+14%) 16mo $210,000 $139 46
0.71mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,251 (-5%) 11mo $215,000 $172 44
403 Marian Dr 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,420 (+7%) 12mo $130,000 $92 42
134 Saint Phillip St 0.65mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,200 (-9%) 10mo $124,900 $104 39
0.71mi 3/1.0 1,150 (-13%) 12mo $45,000 $39 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.3%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-14,113
Equity at exit
$24,587
10-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$3,930
Equity at exit
$14,258

Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70517

Home prices YoY
-33.7%
Active inventory
276
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,631 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$132 /mo · $1,581/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$25
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$342
Net cashflow
$198

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,380
Max offer price $164,900
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,225
Closing costs
$4,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
740 S Belle Cir Breaux Bridge, LA 3.0 2.0 1485 $1,800 $1.21 13d 1 0.24mi
117 S Poydras St Breaux Bridge, LA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 43d 1 0.35mi
906 Cecile Blvd Breaux Bridge, LA 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,200 $0.92 43d 1 1.45mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$25 · $300/yr

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-04-02
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-26
    listed $164,900 Active
  3. 2025-06-06
    price $165,000
  4. 2025-05-02
    status Active
  5. 2025-05-02
    price $170,000
  6. 2024-11-18
    listed $175,000 Active
  7. 2024-04-16
    price $180,000
  8. 2024-03-30
    listed $185,000 Active
  9. 2018-07-24
    soldstatus $150,000
  10. 2018-07-20
    soldstatus $150,000
  11. 2018-06-11
    listed $150,000
  12. 2008-07-26
    listed $141,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,581 · $132/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,581 · $132/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,568
− Mortgage interest
−$9,237
− Property taxes
−$1,581
− Insurance
−$824
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,565
− Management
−$1,565
− HOA
−$300
− Depreciation
−$4,797
Taxable loss
−$302
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$72
After-tax cash flow
$2,449/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Martin Parish
NCES district ID
2201590
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -44.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -36.00%
Median HH income
$42,813
Composite
23.41/100
National rank
#7897
State rank
#49 of 98 in LA

Livability — Breaux Bridge

Score
62/100
State rank
#210
US rank
#16362

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Breaux Bridge, LA
Population (ZIP)
26,570

Population outlook (St. Martin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,446 people
By 2030
58,857 · +2.5%
By 2040
60,859 · +5.9%
By 2050
61,419 · +6.9%
By 2075
61,574 · +7.2%
By 2100
57,253 · -0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 30% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 18% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 9% Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Martin

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -40.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.7 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+20.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.00%
Current HPI
143.4293
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+17.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $164,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-06-06 Price Changed $165,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-05-02 Relisted AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-05-02 Price Changed $170,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2024-11-18 Listed $175,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2024-04-16 Price Changed $180,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2024-03-30 Listed $185,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2018-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
  • 2018-07-20 Sold (MLS) $150,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2018-06-11 Listed $150,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2008-07-26 Listed $141,000 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,581 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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