506 W Camino Penasco Unit B · Green Valley, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
506 W Camino Penasco Unit B · Green Valley, AZ 85614
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 588 sqft · Condo
· 221 Days on market
Built 1964
$134/sqft
· 38% below area
Est $128k · 38% under
$410/mo HOA · 30% of rent
↓ 12% since listing
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Rare find in the Villas, a 1 Bedroom duplex end unit! Privacy abundant with nice shade trees and no parking lot in front. Enjoy the privacy afforded with this cute villa, assigned parking is just steps away from the patio. Walk to shopping, restaurants and GVR Centers.
Key facts
- Duplex end unit
- Assigned parking
- Back patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $79k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.7% in Green Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#165 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Continental Elementary District (4416) (rural): math 35% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #72 of 249 in AZ (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Continental Elementary School (math 35% / reading 42%, grade F, #418 of 1,109 statewide, top 38%, 639 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 733 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 103d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer
$69,520
(12.0% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.57%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $128,319
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -38.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 356 S Paseo Quinta Unit B | 0.10mi | 1/1.0 | 588 (0%) | 0mo | $110,000 | $187 | 95 |
| 135 S Paseo Quinta Unit B | 0.19mi | 1/1.0 | 588 (0%) | 1mo | $89,500 | $152 | 91 |
| 381 S Paseo Madera Unit C | 0.29mi | 1/1.0 | 588 (0%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $170 | 85 |
| 364 S Paseo Lobo Unit C | 0.30mi | 1/1.0 | 588 (0%) | 2mo | $102,000 | $173 | 85 |
| 522 S Paseo Madera Unit C | 0.35mi | 1/1.0 | 588 (0%) | 0mo | $59,000 | $100 | 84 |
| 479 S Paseo Madera Unit C | 0.35mi | 1/1.0 | 588 (0%) | 1mo | $93,500 | $159 | 83 |
| 346 S Paseo Aguila Unit B | 0.43mi | 1/1.0 | 588 (0%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $145 | 79 |
| 424 S Paseo Aguila Unit C | 0.46mi | 1/1.0 | 588 (0%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $213 | 78 |
| 233 S Paseo Tierra Unit D | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 696 (+18%) | 0mo | $115,000 | $165 | 67 |
| 176 S Paseo Pena Unit D | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 696 (+18%) | 0mo | $149,900 | $215 | 62 |
| 118 S Paseo Quinta Unit A | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 696 (+18%) | 1mo | $114,250 | $164 | 61 |
| 337 S Paseo Lobo Unit D | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 696 (+18%) | 1mo | $107,000 | $154 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,156
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
10-year hold
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $25,871
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 4 active · 10 under contract
- Median asking
- $142,000 ($204/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 129 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +7.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 85614
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 733
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $1,363 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$410
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $121
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$1,210
Max offer price
$79,000
Occupancy floor
86%
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $176 | -5% $148 | +0% $121 | +5% $94 | +10% $67 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $13 | -5% $67 | +0% $121 | +5% $175 | +10% $229 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $161 | -0.5pp $141 | base $121 | +0.5pp $101 | +1.0pp $80 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 276 S Paseo Sarta Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $2,000 | $2.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 276 S Paseo Sarta Unit A Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $2,000 | $2.87 | 31d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 232 S Paseo Pena Unit C Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,000 | $1.70 | 103d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 329 S Paseo Pena Apt A Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,150 | $1.65 | 10d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 430 S Paseo Pena Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,025 | $1.47 | 155d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 174 S Paseo Tierra Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,100 | $1.87 | 103d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 322 S La Canada Dr Unit D Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,200 | $1.72 | 127d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 386 S La Canada Dr Unit C Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,150 | $1.92 | 55d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 132 S Paseo Sarta Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $2,000 | $3.40 | 103d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 132 S Paseo Sarta Unit B Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $2,000 | $3.40 | 10d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 408 S La Canada Dr Unit A Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,100 | $1.58 | 2d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 133 S Paseo Pena Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,050 | $1.79 | 120d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 424 Paseo Madera Unit C Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $2,000 | $3.40 | 2d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 478 Paseo Madera Unit B Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,250 | $2.13 | 164d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 466 Paseo Madera Unit A Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,100 | $1.58 | 158d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 466 S Paseo Madera Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,100 | $1.58 | 133d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 321 S Paseo Madera Unit A Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,350 | $1.94 | 10d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 248 S Paseo Lobo Unit D Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,150 | $1.65 | 10d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 303 S Paseo Lobo Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,000 | $1.44 | 164d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 302 S Paseo Cerro Green Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,200 | $1.72 | 9d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 262 S Paseo Cerro Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,200 | $2.04 | 143d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 262 S Paseo Cerro Unit B Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,200 | $2.04 | 164d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 469 S Paseo Lobo Unit B Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,200 | $2.04 | 10d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 478 S Paseo Cerro Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,000 | $1.70 | 108d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 321 S Paseo Cerro Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 596 | $1,000 | $1.68 | 49d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 321 S Paseo Cerro Unit B Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 596 | $1,000 | $1.68 | 55d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 90 W Camino Manzana Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $2,000 | $3.40 | 164d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 480 S Paseo Aguila Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $925 | $1.57 | 122d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 480 S Paseo Aguila Unit C Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $950 | $1.62 | 122d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 121 W Calle del Ano Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 554 | $925 | $1.67 | 2d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1022 S Calle de la Temporada Green Valley, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 554 | $1,100 | $1.99 | 10d | 1 | 0.83mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Lot approximately 871 sq ft with irregular dimensionsChip-and-seal road maintained by the countyZoned Green Valley - TR
- HOA & community
- Part of Villas West associationMonthly HOA fee of $410HOA covers air conditioning/heating, common area maintenance, exterior maintenance of unit, pest control, roof repair and replacementCommunity poolLaundry available through the associationMaintenance provided by the association
Exterior
- Utilities
- Water provided by a water companySewer connected
- Home design
- CondominiumOne storyFaces south
- Construction
- Slump block constructionBuilt-up roofBuilt in (year not provided)
- Exterior features
- Covered paver patioPatioDecorative gravelBorders common areaNorth/South exposurePaved street (community)
Interior
- Kitchen
- RefrigeratorGas oven
- Flooring
- Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Heat pump for heating and cooling
- Interior features
- RefrigeratorGas oven
HOA detail $410/mo · $4,920/yr condo
- Likely covers
- parking
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $79,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-11-07days on market $79,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-11-06days on market $79,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $79,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-11-04days on market $79,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $79,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $79,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $79,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $79,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $79,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $79,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $79,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $79,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $79,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $79,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $79,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $79,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $79,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $79,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $79,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-10-18days on market $79,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $79,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $79,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $79,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-10-14days on market $79,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $79,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $79,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-10-11days on market $79,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-10-10days on market $79,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $79,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $79,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $79,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-10-06days on market $79,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $79,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $79,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-10-03days on market $79,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $79,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-10-01days on market $79,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $79,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-09-29status $79,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-09-29days on market $79,000 Active Contingent 181 DOM
-
2026-09-28days on market $79,000 Active Contingent 180 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $79,000 Active Contingent 179 DOM
-
2026-09-25days on market $79,000 Active Contingent 177 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $79,000 Active Contingent 176 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $79,000 Active Contingent 175 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $79,000 Active Contingent 174 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $79,000 Active Contingent 173 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $79,000 Active Contingent 172 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $79,000 Active Contingent 171 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,360
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,185
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,309
- − Management
- −$1,309
- − HOA
- −$4,920
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $519
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$125
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,329/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
55/100
Cosmetic rehab
Est. rehab $2,940–$8,820 screening
The property is in average condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — Worn but not damaged
- Minor kitchen appliances — Old but functional
- Minor bathroom fixtures — Old but functional
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the space and increases resale value ↑
- Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and increases resale value ↑
- Both Upgrade bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the space and increases resale value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
F
Composite school gradezoned avg 38/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
Continental Elementary School
F
AZ #418/1,109
Nat'l #20,973/41,679
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Continental Elementary District (4416)
- NCES district ID
- 0402250
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,475
- Composite
- 33.08/100
- National rank
- #5565
- State rank
- #72 of 249 in AZ
C
Composite livability gradescore 61/100
Livability — Green Valley
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #165
- US rank
- #18276
Category grades
Amenities F
Commute F
Cost of living A+
Crime B-
Employment C
Housing A+
Health & safety F
User ratings D-
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Green Valley, AZ
- County
- Pima County · 1,066,056 people
- City population
- 25,381
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,381
- Household income
- $64,879
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 29% of renters
Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,066,056 people
- By 2030
- 1,086,684 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 1,117,160 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 1,149,778 · +7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,271,480 · +19.3%
- By 2100
- 1,321,160 · +23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Pima
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -231.05%
- Current HPI
- 250.5933
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.60%
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-12.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $84,900 MLSSAZ
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $89,900 MLSSAZ
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $91,500 MLSSAZ
- 2026-04-01 Listed $97,000 MLSSAZ
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…