3779 Old Franklin · Rocky Mount, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.9/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Updated maintenance free BRICK RANCH with 1467 square feet just minutes to medical facilities, restaurants, shopping etc. One level living, open kitchen/dining area, beautiful Hickory Cabinetry. Formal living room, huge 12x28 family room, 3 bedrooms, laundry and full bath. New luxury vinyl flooring, windows replaced, new septic system, new pressure tank, and totally repainted. Termites treated 6/30/25, just added vapor barrier w/ new sump pump, and new electric entrance cable.
Key facts
- Huge family room
- New septic system
- Windows replaced
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (1.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $237k (1.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 2.7% in Rocky Mount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#153 in VA, #4,873 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Franklin County Public School District (town): math 69% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #24 of 131 in VA (top 18%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 167 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $240k implies a 243% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.86%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $242,178
- List price
- $239,900
- Delta
- 0.34%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-10,967
- Equity at exit
- $35,770
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $26,102
- Equity at exit
- $20,742
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24092
- Home prices YoY
- -11.1%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,372 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $912/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$498
- Net cashflow
- $440
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $239,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $243,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $243,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $243,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $243,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $248,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $248,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $248,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $248,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-04-16status Active 481-char remark
Show marketing remark (481 chars)
Updated maintenance free BRICK RANCH with 1467 square feet just minutes to medical facilities, restaurants, shopping etc. One level living, open kitchen/dining area, beautiful Hickory Cabinetry. Formal living room, huge 12x28 family room, 3 bedrooms, laundry and full bath. New luxury vinyl flooring, windows replaced, new septic system, new pressure tank, and totally repainted. Termites treated 6/30/25, just added vapor barrier w/ new sump pump, and new electric entrance cable.
-
2026-04-10status Pending 481-char remark
Show marketing remark (481 chars)
Updated maintenance free BRICK RANCH with 1467 square feet just minutes to medical facilities, restaurants, shopping etc. One level living, open kitchen/dining area, beautiful Hickory Cabinetry. Formal living room, huge 12x28 family room, 3 bedrooms, laundry and full bath. New luxury vinyl flooring, windows replaced, new septic system, new pressure tank, and totally repainted. Termites treated 6/30/25, just added vapor barrier w/ new sump pump, and new electric entrance cable.
-
2026-03-11$249,500 Active 481-char remark
Show marketing remark (481 chars)
Updated maintenance free BRICK RANCH with 1467 square feet just minutes to medical facilities, restaurants, shopping etc. One level living, open kitchen/dining area, beautiful Hickory Cabinetry. Formal living room, huge 12x28 family room, 3 bedrooms, laundry and full bath. New luxury vinyl flooring, windows replaced, new septic system, new pressure tank, and totally repainted. Termites treated 6/30/25, just added vapor barrier w/ new sump pump, and new electric entrance cable.
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2025-12-01historical
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2025-12-01$248,700 Active
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2025-11-20historical
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2025-11-04$248,700 Active
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2025-11-03historical
-
2025-10-03price $248,900
-
2025-08-26price $250,900
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2025-08-05$256,750 Active
-
2025-07-08price $259,250
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2025-06-09status Active
-
2025-05-22status Pending
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2025-05-22historical
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2025-05-13price $264,900
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2025-05-02$269,900 Active
-
1995-12-07soldstatus $69,950
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $912 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,967 · $164/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,056/yr (+$88/mo · 115.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,462
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$912
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,277
- − Management
- −$2,277
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable income
- $1,380
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$331
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,946/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101440
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,093
- Composite
- 59.5/100
- National rank
- #921
- State rank
- #24 of 131 in VA
Livability — Rocky Mount
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #153
- US rank
- #4873
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 18,154
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,336
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 56,242 people
- By 2030
- 55,742 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 53,669 · -4.6%
- By 2050
- 50,291 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 42,395 · -24.6%
- By 2100
- 32,981 · -41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.3) · D 26.9% · R 72.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: -22.8pp · 2024: -45.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.3 2020: R+42.1 2016: R+42.2 2012: R+28.6 2008: R+22.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.69%
- Current HPI
- 221.4193
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+256.7% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — MLSRV
- 2026-04-10 Pending — MLSRV
- 2026-03-11 Listed $249,500 MLSRV
- 2025-12-01 Listed $248,700 MLSRV
- 2025-12-01 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2025-11-20 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2025-11-04 Listed $248,700 MLSRV
- 2025-11-03 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2025-10-03 Price Changed $248,900 MLSRV
- 2025-08-26 Price Changed $250,900 MLSRV
- 2025-08-05 Listed $256,750 MLSRV
- 2025-07-08 Price Changed $259,250 MLSRV
- 2025-06-09 Relisted — MLSRV
- 2025-05-22 Pending — MLSRV
- 2025-05-22 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2025-05-13 Price Changed $264,900 MLSRV
- 2025-05-02 Listed $269,900 MLSRV
- 1995-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $69,950 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $912 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…