CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2035 N US-31 N #2410 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 67.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,900

2035 N US-31 N #2410 · Garfield, MI 49686
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,622 sqft · Condo · 91 Days on market
Built 2006 Good condition $83/sqft · 38% below area Est $218k · 38% under $465/mo HOA · 23% of rent ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tamarack Lodge! 3br 3ba 1,622 sq ft. Suite 2410 (Sugar Maple). An end unit located on the 4th floor of a 5 story building that has an elevator. One of the bedrooms has a "Lock-off" which enables it to be its own suite if desired. Tamarack Lodge sells its units fractionally. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this 1/8th fractional ownership waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. See rotation G schedule for the 6 weeks that are included for the coming years (weeks change slightly each year). $465 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. Financing available (this is not a timeshare) through TBACU. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully equipped kitchen (appliances, dishes, glassware, silverware, pots and pans). Get your own piece of the North!

Key facts

  • Sugar sand beach
  • Water views
  • End unit

Tags

END UNITWATER VIEWSSUGAR SAND BEACHFULLY EQUIPPED KITCHEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $134,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$217,966) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Traverse City Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #94 of 540 in MI (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Central Grade School (math 57% / reading 65%, grade B, #190 of 1,397 statewide, top 14%, 516 students, 47% FRL); West Middle School (math 45% / reading 54%, grade C, #127 of 493 statewide, top 26%, 1,081 students, 38% FRL); West Senior High (math 51% / reading 67%, grade C+, #87 of 713 statewide, top 12%, 1,509 students, 34% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 328 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 883 units permitted in Grand Traverse County in 2024 (501 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grand Traverse County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Recommended offer $122,759 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
8.23%
Cash-on-cash
6.93%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$217,966
List price
$134,900
Delta
-38.11%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.3%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-13,641
Equity at exit
$20,114
10-year hold
IRR
-8.3%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-15,860
Equity at exit
$11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49686

Rents YoY
-0.5%
Active inventory
328
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,045 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,024/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$465
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$429
Net cashflow
$218

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,769
Max offer price $134,900
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $311 -5% $265 +0% $218 +5% $172 +10% $125
Rent -10% $57 -5% $137 +0% $218 +5% $299 +10% $380
Rate -1.0pp $286 -0.5pp $252 base $218 +0.5pp $183 +1.0pp $148

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4170 Lilac Ln Unit 905 Traverse City, MI 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,419 $1.27 45d 1 1.37mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$465 · $5,580/yr
Likely covers
water
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $134,900 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $134,900 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,900 Active 88 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,900 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,900 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,900 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $134,900 Active 83 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,900 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,900 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,900 Active 80 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $134,900 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $134,900 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,900 Active 74 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $134,900 Active 73 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $134,900 Active 72 DOM
  16. 2026-03-19
    listed $134,900 Active 918-char remark
    Show marketing remark (918 chars)

    Tamarack Lodge! 3br 3ba 1,622 sq ft. Suite 2410 (Sugar Maple). An end unit located on the 4th floor of a 5 story building that has an elevator. One of the bedrooms has a "Lock-off" which enables it to be its own suite if desired. Tamarack Lodge sells its units fractionally. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this 1/8th fractional ownership waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. See rotation G schedule for the 6 weeks that are included for the coming years (weeks change slightly each year). $465 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. Financing available (this is not a timeshare) through TBACU. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully equipped kitchen (appliances, dishes, glassware, silverware, pots and pans). Get your own piece of the North!

  17. 2024-05-23
    listed $139,900 Active 918-char remark
    Show marketing remark (918 chars)

    Tamarack Lodge! 3br 3ba 1,622 sq ft. Suite 2410 (Sugar Maple). An end unit located on the 4th floor of a 5 story building that has an elevator. One of the bedrooms has a "Lock-off" which enables it to be its own suite if desired. Tamarack Lodge sells its units fractionally. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this 1/8th fractional ownership waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. See rotation C schedule for the 6 weeks that are included for the coming years (weeks change slightly each year). $465 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. Financing available (this is not a timeshare) through TBACU. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully equipped kitchen (appliances, dishes, glassware, silverware, pots and pans). Get your own piece of the North!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,538
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$2,024
− Insurance
−$674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,963
− Management
−$1,963
− HOA
−$5,580
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable income
$853
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$205
After-tax cash flow
$2,413/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This waterfront condo is in excellent condition with good curb appeal and interior aesthetics. It has a good location and water views, making it a great investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and add value
  • Both Window treatments — Window treatments can enhance the home's curb appeal and add value
  • Both Lighting — Upgrading lighting can enhance the home's curb appeal and add value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and add value
  • Both Window treatments — Window treatments can enhance the home's curb appeal and add value
  • Both Lighting — Upgrading lighting can enhance the home's curb appeal and add value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Traverse City Area Public Schools
NCES district ID
2633870
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$53,645
Composite
43.51/100
National rank
#2990
State rank
#94 of 540 in MI

Livability — Garfield

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Grand Traverse County · 47,077 people
Metro
Traverse City, MI
Population (ZIP)
25,492
Household income
$71,609
Rent vs Own
27.5% rent · 72.5% own
Severe rent burden
676.0

Population outlook (Grand Traverse County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
102,241 people
By 2030
107,172 · +4.8%
By 2040
115,676 · +13.1%
By 2050
122,377 · +19.7%
By 2075
136,554 · +33.6%
By 2100
137,871 · +34.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Grand Traverse

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 50.1% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+1.3pp toward D · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -1.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.7 2020: R+3.0 2016: R+12.5 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -276.28%
Current HPI
352.4866
Rent YoY
▼ -0.49%
Metro
Traverse City, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $134,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-05-23 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…