🏷️ Likely Rental
2035 N US-31 N #2410 · Garfield, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tamarack Lodge! 3br 3ba 1,622 sq ft. Suite 2410 (Sugar Maple). An end unit located on the 4th floor of a 5 story building that has an elevator. One of the bedrooms has a "Lock-off" which enables it to be its own suite if desired. Tamarack Lodge sells its units fractionally. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this 1/8th fractional ownership waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. See rotation G schedule for the 6 weeks that are included for the coming years (weeks change slightly each year). $465 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. Financing available (this is not a timeshare) through TBACU. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully equipped kitchen (appliances, dishes, glassware, silverware, pots and pans). Get your own piece of the North!
Key facts
- Sugar sand beach
- Water views
- End unit
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Traverse City Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #94 of 540 in MI (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Central Grade School (math 57% / reading 65%, grade B, #190 of 1,397 statewide, top 14%, 516 students, 47% FRL); West Middle School (math 45% / reading 54%, grade C, #127 of 493 statewide, top 26%, 1,081 students, 38% FRL); West Senior High (math 51% / reading 67%, grade C+, #87 of 713 statewide, top 12%, 1,509 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 328 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 883 units permitted in Grand Traverse County in 2024 (501 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grand Traverse County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.93%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $217,966
- List price
- $134,900
- Delta
- -38.11%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-13,641
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-15,860
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49686
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 328
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,045 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,024/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$465
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$429
- Net cashflow
- $218
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $311 | -5% $265 | +0% $218 | +5% $172 | +10% $125 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $57 | -5% $137 | +0% $218 | +5% $299 | +10% $380 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $286 | -0.5pp $252 | base $218 | +0.5pp $183 | +1.0pp $148 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4170 Lilac Ln Unit 905 Traverse City, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,419 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $465 · $5,580/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $134,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $134,900 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $134,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,900 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $134,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $134,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $134,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $134,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $134,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $134,900 Active 73 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $134,900 Active 72 DOM
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2026-03-19$134,900 Active 918-char remark
Show marketing remark (918 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! 3br 3ba 1,622 sq ft. Suite 2410 (Sugar Maple). An end unit located on the 4th floor of a 5 story building that has an elevator. One of the bedrooms has a "Lock-off" which enables it to be its own suite if desired. Tamarack Lodge sells its units fractionally. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this 1/8th fractional ownership waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. See rotation G schedule for the 6 weeks that are included for the coming years (weeks change slightly each year). $465 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. Financing available (this is not a timeshare) through TBACU. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully equipped kitchen (appliances, dishes, glassware, silverware, pots and pans). Get your own piece of the North!
-
2024-05-23$139,900 Active 918-char remark
Show marketing remark (918 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! 3br 3ba 1,622 sq ft. Suite 2410 (Sugar Maple). An end unit located on the 4th floor of a 5 story building that has an elevator. One of the bedrooms has a "Lock-off" which enables it to be its own suite if desired. Tamarack Lodge sells its units fractionally. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this 1/8th fractional ownership waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. See rotation C schedule for the 6 weeks that are included for the coming years (weeks change slightly each year). $465 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. Financing available (this is not a timeshare) through TBACU. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully equipped kitchen (appliances, dishes, glassware, silverware, pots and pans). Get your own piece of the North!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,538
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$2,024
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,963
- − Management
- −$1,963
- − HOA
- −$5,580
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $853
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$205
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,413/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This waterfront condo is in excellent condition with good curb appeal and interior aesthetics. It has a good location and water views, making it a great investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and add value
- Both Window treatments — Window treatments can enhance the home's curb appeal and add value
- Both Lighting — Upgrading lighting can enhance the home's curb appeal and add value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and add value ↑
- Both Window treatments — Window treatments can enhance the home's curb appeal and add value ↑
- Both Lighting — Upgrading lighting can enhance the home's curb appeal and add value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Traverse City Area Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2633870
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,645
- Composite
- 43.51/100
- National rank
- #2990
- State rank
- #94 of 540 in MI
Livability — Garfield
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Grand Traverse County · 47,077 people
- Metro
- Traverse City, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,492
- Household income
- $71,609
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 676.0
Population outlook (Grand Traverse County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,241 people
- By 2030
- 107,172 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 115,676 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 122,377 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 136,554 · +33.6%
- By 2100
- 137,871 · +34.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Grand Traverse
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 50.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.3pp toward D · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+3.0 2016: R+12.5 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -276.28%
- Current HPI
- 352.4866
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.49%
- Metro
- Traverse City, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-3.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Listed $134,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-05-23 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…