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4402 Harper Rd
B Composite 74.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$99,999

4402 Harper Rd · Pulaski, GA 30439
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · Manufactured public records · 59 Days on market
Built 1997 2.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special with serious upside potential! Spacious 3BR/2BA manufactured home offering approximately 1,680 sqft on a generous lot in Candler County. This property is a true fixer-upper and priced for renovation-minded buyers ready to bring their vision and tools. Interior and exterior need significant repairs, updates, and cosmetic improvements, but the size, layout, and lot make this an excellent opportunity for investors, flippers, landlords, or buyers seeking sweat equity. Features include large living area with fireplace, open kitchen with island, split-bedroom style layout, and room to reimagine throughout. Strong value-add potential after rehab. Sold as-is, where-is. Cash or reno

Key facts

  • Large living area
  • Open kitchen
  • 2.34 acre lot

Tags

LARGE LIVING AREAOPEN KITCHENSPLIT-BEDROOM STYLE LAYOUT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 2.34-acre lot; Public-records source for living area and lot size
  • Financial info: Listing marketed as a fixer — suitable for investors or buyers seeking renovation opportunity
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking; Parking pad
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (connected); Electricity available on property; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Phone service available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story; Property listed as fixer
  • Construction: Built in 1997; Composition roof; Other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Appliances include washer and dryer (laundry listed under appliances)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Window-unit cooling
  • Interior features: Single-story layout; Common-area laundry; Washer and dryer included; Carpet and vinyl flooring; No fireplaces
  • Laundry & utility: Common-area laundry; Washer and dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#524 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing D, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Candler County (rural): math 30% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #106 of 174 in GA (top 61%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Metter Elementary School (math 29% / reading 22%, grade F, #736 of 1,228 statewide, top 61%, 1,041 students, 84% FRL); Metter Middle School (math 35% / reading 28%, grade F, #234 of 470 statewide, top 50%, 518 students, 84% FRL); Metter High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #110 of 424 statewide, top 28%, 488 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 65% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7 units permitted in Candler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
  • Candler County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $72k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,999 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.39%
Cash-on-cash
21.79%
DSCR
1.97
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.2%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$53,407
Equity at exit
$54,502
10-year hold
IRR
30.1%
Equity multiple
5.80×
Total profit
$134,496
Equity at exit
$92,318

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30439

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,495 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$107 /mo · $1,278/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$314
Net cashflow
$508

Break-even live

Break-even rent $851
Max offer price $99,999
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $565 -5% $537 +0% $508 +5% $480 +10% $452
Rent -10% $390 -5% $449 +0% $508 +5% $568 +10% $627
Rate -1.0pp $559 -0.5pp $534 base $508 +0.5pp $483 +1.0pp $456

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
150 Back St Metter, GA 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,495 $1.23 45d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,999 Active 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,999 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,999 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,999 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,999 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,999 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,999 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,999 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,999 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,999 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,999 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,999 Active 45 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,999 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,999 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,999 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,999 Active 39 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,999 Active 38 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,999 Active 37 DOM
  19. 2026-05-18
    price $99,999 826-char remark
  20. 2026-04-22
    listed $110,000 New 826-char remark
  21. 2017-04-17
    soldstatus $71,900
  22. 2015-04-20
    soldstatus $64,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,278 · $107/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,278 · $107/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,940
− Mortgage interest
−$5,601
− Property taxes
−$1,278
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,435
− Management
−$1,435
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$4,781
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,147
After-tax cash flow
$4,954/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Candler County
NCES district ID
1300810
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$33,775
Composite
23.43/100
National rank
#7887
State rank
#106 of 174 in GA

Livability — Pulaski

Score
55/100
State rank
#524
US rank
#23544

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C Housing D Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
41
Population (ZIP)
10,583

Population outlook (Candler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,702 people
By 2030
10,444 · -2.4%
By 2040
9,768 · -8.7%
By 2050
8,923 · -16.6%
By 2075
6,603 · -38.3%
By 2100
4,429 · -58.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 12%

Political lean MEDSL · Candler

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.5) · D 26.2% · R 73.7%
2008→2024 swing
-16.9pp toward R · 2008: -30.6pp · 2024: -47.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.5 2020: R+42.1 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+30.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.64%
Current HPI
271.7303
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+56.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $99,999 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $110,000 GAMLS
  • 2017-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $71,900 Public Records
  • 2015-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+17.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,278 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…