7423 Roger Thomas #4 Dr · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$695
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you want income property then be sure to take a look at this multi-family property. There are 7 buildings available $50,000 each. Check the MLS for the other 6 properties. There is a storage closet for each apt. & laundry area to share on the lower level. You might want to live in 1 apt & rent out the other 3 to help with that mortgage payment. Work is needed but a great investment opportunity & a great price. Buyer & buyers agent to verify all information & measurements
Key facts
- Built 1967
- Listed 24 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Shared septic sewer
- Home design: One-story multi-family residential income property
- Construction: Above-grade finished area approximately 540 (square feet)
- Exterior features: Lot in Genesee Estates Subdivision; Lot size: 18,731 (dimensions)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Separate meters for heating; Wall/window air conditioning
- Interior features: Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $695.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $659 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($840 rent vs $695).
- Recommended offer: $684 (1.6% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 1144.2% vs local median 11.6% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Genesee School District (suburban): math 14% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #464 of 540 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Haas Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,185 of 1,397 statewide, top 86%, 389 students, 86% FRL); Genesee High School (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #441 of 713 statewide, top 64%, 342 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 63% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $195 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($684) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 120.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1144.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4063.78%
- DSCR
- 181.82
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 216.17×
- Total profit
- $41,873
- Equity at exit
- $104
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 466.37×
- Total profit
- $90,560
- Equity at exit
- $60
Cash invested: $195 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48458
- Home prices YoY
- -16.0%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $840 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1 /mo · $10/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$176
- Net cashflow
- $659
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $659 | -5% $659 | +0% $659 | +5% $659 | +10% $659 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $593 | -5% $626 | +0% $659 | +5% $692 | +10% $725 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $659 | -0.5pp $659 | base $659 | +0.5pp $659 | +1.0pp $659 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $174
- Closing costs
- $21
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $695 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $695 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $695 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $695 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $695 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $695 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $695 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $695 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $695 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $695 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $695 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $695 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $695 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $695 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $695 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$695 Active
-
2024-02-26historical
-
2023-11-02$575
-
2015-05-05soldstatus $600,000
-
2015-05-05soldstatus $860,000
-
2010-12-13soldstatus $120,000
-
2010-09-20soldstatus $17,142 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
If you want income property then be sure to take a look at this multi-family property. There are 7 buildings available $50,000 each. Check the MLS for the other 6 properties. There is a storage closet for each apt. & laundry area to share on the lower level. You might want to live in 1 apt & rent out the other 3 to help with that mortgage payment. Work is needed but a great investment opportunity & a great price. Buyer & buyers agent to verify all information & measurements
-
2010-06-25historical 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
If you want income property then be sure to take a look at this multi-family property. There are 7 buildings available $50,000 each. Check the MLS for the other 6 properties. There is a storage closet for each apt. & laundry area to share on the lower level. You might want to live in 1 apt & rent out the other 3 to help with that mortgage payment. Work is needed but a great investment opportunity & a great price. Buyer & buyers agent to verify all information & measurements
-
2010-01-12$35,000 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
If you want income property then be sure to take a look at this multi-family property. There are 7 buildings available $50,000 each. Check the MLS for the other 6 properties. There is a storage closet for each apt. & laundry area to share on the lower level. You might want to live in 1 apt & rent out the other 3 to help with that mortgage payment. Work is needed but a great investment opportunity & a great price. Buyer & buyers agent to verify all information & measurements
-
2009-10-08historical
-
2009-10-08historical
-
2009-10-07$300,000
-
2009-10-07$300,000
-
2004-07-21soldstatus $725,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,083
- − Mortgage interest
- −$39
- − Property taxes
- −$10
- − Insurance
- −$3
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$807
- − Management
- −$807
- − Depreciation
- −$20
- Taxable income
- $8,397
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,015
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,893/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Genesee School District
- NCES district ID
- 2615750
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,596
- Composite
- 17.51/100
- National rank
- #9052
- State rank
- #464 of 540 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,519
- Household income
- $46,797
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 724.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 22% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.45%
- Current HPI
- 244.2061
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+18.6% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $695 REALCOMP
- 2024-02-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-11-02 Listed $575 REALCOMP
- 2015-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $860,000 Public Records
- 2015-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $600,000 Public Records
- 2010-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2010-09-20 Sold (MLS) $17,142 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-06-25 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-01-12 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-10-08 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2009-10-08 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-10-07 Listed $300,000 REALCOMP
- 2009-10-07 Listed $300,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $725,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $6,016 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…