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7423 Roger Thomas #4 Dr
D Composite 42.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$695

7423 Roger Thomas #4 Dr · Flint, MI 48458
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 540 sqft · SingleFamily · 24 Days on market
Built 1967

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

If you want income property then be sure to take a look at this multi-family property. There are 7 buildings available $50,000 each. Check the MLS for the other 6 properties. There is a storage closet for each apt. & laundry area to share on the lower level. You might want to live in 1 apt & rent out the other 3 to help with that mortgage payment. Work is needed but a great investment opportunity & a great price. Buyer & buyers agent to verify all information & measurements

Key facts

  • Built 1967
  • Listed 24 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Shared septic sewer
  • Home design: One-story multi-family residential income property
  • Construction: Above-grade finished area approximately 540 (square feet)
  • Exterior features: Lot in Genesee Estates Subdivision; Lot size: 18,731 (dimensions)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Separate meters for heating; Wall/window air conditioning
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $695.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $659 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($840 rent vs $695).
  • Recommended offer: $684 (1.6% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 1144.2% vs local median 11.6% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Genesee School District (suburban): math 14% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #464 of 540 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Haas Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,185 of 1,397 statewide, top 86%, 389 students, 86% FRL); Genesee High School (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #441 of 713 statewide, top 64%, 342 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 63% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $195 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($684) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $684 (1.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
120.90%
Cap rate
1144.15%
Cash-on-cash
4063.78%
DSCR
181.82
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
216.17×
Total profit
$41,873
Equity at exit
$104
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
466.37×
Total profit
$90,560
Equity at exit
$60

Cash invested: $195 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48458

Home prices YoY
-16.0%
Active inventory
144
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$840 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4
Tax est. 1.5%
$1 /mo · $10/yr
Insurance
$0
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$176
Net cashflow
$659

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6
Max offer price $695
Occupancy floor 17%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $659 -5% $659 +0% $659 +5% $659 +10% $659
Rent -10% $593 -5% $626 +0% $659 +5% $692 +10% $725
Rate -1.0pp $659 -0.5pp $659 base $659 +0.5pp $659 +1.0pp $659

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$174
Closing costs
$21
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $695 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $695 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $695 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $695 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $695 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $695 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $695 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $695 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $695 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $695 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $695 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $695 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $695 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $695 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $695 Active 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-28
    listed $695 Active
  17. 2024-02-26
    historical
  18. 2023-11-02
    listed $575
  19. 2015-05-05
    soldstatus $600,000
  20. 2015-05-05
    soldstatus $860,000
  21. 2010-12-13
    soldstatus $120,000
  22. 2010-09-20
    soldstatus $17,142 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    If you want income property then be sure to take a look at this multi-family property. There are 7 buildings available $50,000 each. Check the MLS for the other 6 properties. There is a storage closet for each apt. & laundry area to share on the lower level. You might want to live in 1 apt & rent out the other 3 to help with that mortgage payment. Work is needed but a great investment opportunity & a great price. Buyer & buyers agent to verify all information & measurements

  23. 2010-06-25
    historical 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    If you want income property then be sure to take a look at this multi-family property. There are 7 buildings available $50,000 each. Check the MLS for the other 6 properties. There is a storage closet for each apt. & laundry area to share on the lower level. You might want to live in 1 apt & rent out the other 3 to help with that mortgage payment. Work is needed but a great investment opportunity & a great price. Buyer & buyers agent to verify all information & measurements

  24. 2010-01-12
    listed $35,000 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    If you want income property then be sure to take a look at this multi-family property. There are 7 buildings available $50,000 each. Check the MLS for the other 6 properties. There is a storage closet for each apt. & laundry area to share on the lower level. You might want to live in 1 apt & rent out the other 3 to help with that mortgage payment. Work is needed but a great investment opportunity & a great price. Buyer & buyers agent to verify all information & measurements

  25. 2009-10-08
    historical
  26. 2009-10-08
    historical
  27. 2009-10-07
    listed $300,000
  28. 2009-10-07
    listed $300,000
  29. 2004-07-21
    soldstatus $725,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,083
− Mortgage interest
−$39
− Property taxes
−$10
− Insurance
−$3
− Repairs & maintenance
−$807
− Management
−$807
− Depreciation
−$20
Taxable income
$8,397
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,015
After-tax cash flow
$5,893/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Genesee School District
NCES district ID
2615750
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,596
Composite
17.51/100
National rank
#9052
State rank
#464 of 540 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
19,519
Household income
$46,797
Rent vs Own
33.1% rent · 66.9% own
Severe rent burden
724.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Black 22% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.45%
Current HPI
244.2061
Rent YoY
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.6% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $695 REALCOMP
  • 2024-02-26 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-11-02 Listed $575 REALCOMP
  • 2015-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $860,000 Public Records
  • 2015-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $600,000 Public Records
  • 2010-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2010-09-20 Sold (MLS) $17,142 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-06-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-01-12 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-10-08 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2009-10-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-10-07 Listed $300,000 REALCOMP
  • 2009-10-07 Listed $300,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $725,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,016 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…