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405 Webb St 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 46.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.3/30.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

405 Webb St · St. Marys, OH 45885
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,237 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1951 9,583 sqft lot Est $169k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits with this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home on Webb Street in St. Marys! In addition to the three bedrooms, the home features a versatile flex room that can be used as a fourth bedroom, home office, playroom, or hobby space to fit your needs. The property includes a full basement for additional storage and utility space, along with a large backyard offering plenty of room for outdoor activities, gardening, pets, or future improvements. One of the standout features is the privacy behind the property, with no rear neighbors. Currently occupied by a long-term tenant, this home presents an excellent opportunity for investors seeking rental income. It also offers great potential for buye

Key facts

  • No rear neighbors
  • Large backyard
  • Full basement

Tags

FULL BASEMENTLARGE BACKYARDPRIVACY BEHIND PROPERTYNO REAR NEIGHBORSCONVENIENT ST MARYS LOCATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1951; Subdivision: Fairview Sub; Use GPS for directions
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Residential lot; Supplied water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (9 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom (12 x 11)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (8 x 5)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: 4 total rooms; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $110,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$169,469) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-41 ($-494/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $103k (6.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $94k (14.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.0% in St. Marys — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St Marys City (town): math 64% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #221 of 656 in OH (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 121 units permitted in Auglaize County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Auglaize County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $93,729 (14.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
5.84%
Cash-on-cash
-1.60%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$169,469
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
116 Guy St 0.14mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,248 (+1%) 10mo $120,000 $96 79
1209 W High St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,232 (-0%) 2mo $199,900 $162 73
726 W North St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,285 (+4%) 12mo $168,900 $131 62
719 Oliver St 0.19mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,392 (+12%) 9mo $172,000 $124 58
432 Woodward 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,228 (-1%) 10mo $150,000 $122 57
805 Oliver St 0.14mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,376 (+11%) 11mo $182,500 $133 56
601 N Augustus St 0.54mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,154 (-7%) 3mo $195,000 $169 54
115 Lynn St 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,212 (-2%) 11mo $210,000 $173 48
227 S Front St 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,113 (-10%) 10mo $159,900 $144 47
812 Motz St 0.68mi 2/1.0 1,134 (-8%) 11mo $179,000 $158 45
121 Windsor Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,274 (+3%) 11mo $29,900 $23 44
323 Oliver St 0.48mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,131 (-9%) 14mo $155,000 $137 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.9%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-20,418
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-21,043
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45885

Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$937 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,907/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$197
Net cashflow
$-41

Break-even live

Break-even rent $989
Max offer price $102,731
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $110,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-09
    listed $110,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,907 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,907 · $159/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,247
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,907
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$900
− Management
−$900
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable loss
−$2,371
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$569
After-tax cash flow
$75/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St Marys City
NCES district ID
3904472
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,672
Composite
54.78/100
National rank
#1317
State rank
#221 of 656 in OH

Livability — St. Marys

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Marys, OH
County
Auglaize · 44,666 people
Population (ZIP)
12,744
Household income
$75,054
Rent vs Own
24.5% rent · 75.5% own
Severe rent burden
3.6

Population outlook (Auglaize County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,247 people
By 2030
44,448 · -1.8%
By 2040
42,355 · -6.4%
By 2050
39,722 · -12.2%
By 2075
33,967 · -24.9%
By 2100
26,839 · -40.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Auglaize

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.6) · D 17.3% · R 81.9%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: -41.2pp · 2024: -64.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.6 2020: R+62.6 2016: R+62.6 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+41.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -207.83%
Current HPI
197.352
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $110,000 WRIST

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,907 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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