15783 River Rd · Hahnville, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom home, perfectly situated on a corner lot in the heart of Hahnville on historic River Road. This well loved & maintained residence offers an inviting floor plan. Outdoor entertaining is effortless with covered Patio, Porches, & Carport! Garage and Workshop are awaiting Your hobby!
Key facts
- Garage
- Outdoor entertaining
- Carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (9.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#258 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- St. Charles Parish (suburban): math 40% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #14 of 98 in LA (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 74 units permitted in St. Charles Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Charles County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 335 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 335 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.35%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $287,987
- List price
- $230,000
- Delta
- -20.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 290 Pretty Acres Ave | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,874 (-3%) | 3mo | $314,900 | $168 | 62 |
| 135 Oak St | 0.26mi | 3/3.0 | 2,080 (+8%) | 12mo | $310,000 | $149 | 61 |
| 727 Sycamore St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,693 (-12%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $118 | 60 |
| 100 Pecan St | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 | 1,813 (-6%) | 12mo | $254,000 | $140 | 56 |
| 409 Oak St | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,805 (-7%) | 10mo | $217,000 | $120 | 56 |
| 360 Pretty Acres Ave | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,000 (+4%) | 8mo | $279,900 | $140 | 53 |
| 443 Pretty Acres Ave | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,000 (+4%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $153 | 52 |
| 319 Pretty Acres Ave | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,874 (-3%) | 23mo | $299,900 | $160 | 45 |
| 348 Pretty Acres Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,087 (+8%) | 10mo | $320,000 | $153 | 45 |
| 427 Pretty Acres Ave | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,000 (+4%) | 23mo | $299,900 | $150 | 36 |
| 451 Pretty Acres Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,000 (+4%) | 23mo | $304,900 | $152 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-19,087
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $6,470
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70057
- Home prices YoY
- -7.1%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,072 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $575/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$435
- Net cashflow
- $287
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $418 | -5% $352 | +0% $287 | +5% $222 | +10% $157 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $124 | -5% $205 | +0% $287 | +5% $369 | +10% $451 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $403 | -0.5pp $346 | base $287 | +0.5pp $228 | +1.0pp $167 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 River Park Dr Hahnville, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2224 | $2,000 | $0.90 | 18d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 240 Pretty Acres Ave Hahnville, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1875 | $2,300 | $1.23 | 4d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 24 Mary St Norco, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,750 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $230,000 Active 335 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $230,000 Active 332 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $230,000 Active 331 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $230,000 Active 330 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $230,000 Active 329 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $230,000 Active 327 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $230,000 Active 326 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $230,000 Active 324 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $230,000 Active 323 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $230,000 Active 322 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $230,000 Active 321 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $230,000 Active 318 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $230,000 Active 317 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $230,000 Active 316 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $230,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $230,000 Active 314 DOM
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2026-03-16price $230,000 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom home, perfectly situated on a corner lot in the heart of Hahnville on historic River Road. This well loved & maintained residence offers an inviting floor plan. Outdoor entertaining is effortless with covered Patio, Porches, & Carport! Garage and Workshop are awaiting Your hobby!
-
2026-03-16price $230,000 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom home, perfectly situated on a corner lot in the heart of Hahnville on historic River Road. This well loved & maintained residence offers an inviting floor plan. Outdoor entertaining is effortless with covered Patio, Porches, & Carport! Garage and Workshop are awaiting Your hobby!
-
2025-10-25price $237,000 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom home, perfectly situated on a corner lot in the heart of Hahnville on historic River Road. This well loved & maintained residence offers an inviting floor plan. Outdoor entertaining is effortless with covered Patio, Porches, & Carport! Garage and Workshop are awaiting Your hobby!
-
2025-10-25price $237,000 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom home, perfectly situated on a corner lot in the heart of Hahnville on historic River Road. This well loved & maintained residence offers an inviting floor plan. Outdoor entertaining is effortless with covered Patio, Porches, & Carport! Garage and Workshop are awaiting Your hobby!
-
2025-07-19$239,900 Active 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom home, perfectly situated on a corner lot in the heart of Hahnville on historic River Road. This well loved & maintained residence offers an inviting floor plan. Outdoor entertaining is effortless with covered Patio, Porches, & Carport! Garage and Workshop are awaiting Your hobby!
-
2025-07-19$239,900 Active 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom home, perfectly situated on a corner lot in the heart of Hahnville on historic River Road. This well loved & maintained residence offers an inviting floor plan. Outdoor entertaining is effortless with covered Patio, Porches, & Carport! Garage and Workshop are awaiting Your hobby!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $575 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,265 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$690/yr (+$58/mo · 120.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,869
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$575
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,989
- − Management
- −$1,989
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable loss
- −$410
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$98
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,546/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Charles Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201440
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,261
- Composite
- 40.0/100
- National rank
- #3830
- State rank
- #14 of 98 in LA
Livability — Hahnville
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #258
- US rank
- #19172
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hahnville, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,475
Population outlook (St. Charles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,296 people
- By 2030
- 53,030 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 51,646 · -3.1%
- By 2050
- 49,771 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 46,993 · -11.8%
- By 2100
- 44,473 · -16.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 10% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Charles
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.4) · D 33.0% · R 65.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.1pp toward R · 2008: -31.2pp · 2024: -32.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.4 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+30.8 2012: R+27.8 2008: R+31.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.65%
- Current HPI
- 203.5157
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-4.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $230,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $230,000 GSREIN
- 2025-10-25 Price Changed $237,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-10-25 Price Changed $237,000 GSREIN
- 2025-07-19 Listed $239,900 GSREIN
- 2025-07-19 Listed $239,900 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
-0.9%/yrLatest (2024): $575 · -8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…