11 Gertrude Ln · Asheville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor opportunity! Priced to sell at $249,900. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath, 1,568 HLA manufactured home sits on a peaceful .55-acre hilltop lot in sought-after Candler, just minutes to West Asheville, downtown, and interstate access. Features include a solid masonry foundation, no HOA, updated kitchen with granite countertops and island, renovated bathrooms, and a 10-year-old roof. Enjoy mountain breezes from the front deck with potential for enhanced views. Property is being sold as-is, where-is. Manufactured home with VIN verification in progress. Access via privately maintained road; no recorded maintenance agreement found—buyer to verify. Some title items in process. Great opportunity for a buyer seeking value and a quick closing.
Key facts
- Recent upgrades
- Front deck
- Renovated bathrooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $380 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (6.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $220k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.4% in Asheville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#96 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F.
- Buncombe County Schools (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #72 of 178 in NC (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 183 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,305 units permitted in Buncombe County in 2024 (1,855 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Buncombe County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.51%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $376,892
- List price
- $249,900
- Delta
- -33.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-16,432
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $16,325
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28715
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,334 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $593/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$490
- Net cashflow
- $380
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 354 Tavernier Ln Candler, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1998 | $2,695 | $1.35 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 95 Malcolm Ct Candler, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1375 | $2,100 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 317 Pritchard Rd Unit 317 Candler, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,550 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 40 Wayward Path Candler, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1720 | $1,895 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 34 Malcolm Ct Candler, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1375 | $2,100 | $1.53 | 13d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 729 Asbury Rd Candler, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,950 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 223 Cherrywood Way Asheville, NC | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1607 | $2,850 | $1.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 228 Cherrywood Way Asheville, NC | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1706 | $2,850 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 125 River Birch Grove Rd Asheville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1127 | $3,527 | $3.13 | 13d | 51 | 1.46mi |
| 332 Blossom Bend Ln Asheville, NC | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1607 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 13d | 18 | 1.47mi |
| 247 Cherrywood Way Asheville, NC | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1607 | $2,250 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 85 Aurora Vista Dr Asheville, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,850 | $2.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $249,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $249,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $249,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $249,900 748-char remark
Show marketing remark (748 chars)
Investor opportunity! Priced to sell at $249,900. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath, 1,568 HLA manufactured home sits on a peaceful .55-acre hilltop lot in sought-after Candler, just minutes to West Asheville, downtown, and interstate access. Features include a solid masonry foundation, no HOA, updated kitchen with granite countertops and island, renovated bathrooms, and a 10-year-old roof. Enjoy mountain breezes from the front deck with potential for enhanced views. Property is being sold as-is, where-is. Manufactured home with VIN verification in progress. Access via privately maintained road; no recorded maintenance agreement found—buyer to verify. Some title items in process. Great opportunity for a buyer seeking value and a quick closing.
-
2026-04-21price $269,900 748-char remark
Show marketing remark (748 chars)
Investor opportunity! Priced to sell at $249,900. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath, 1,568 HLA manufactured home sits on a peaceful .55-acre hilltop lot in sought-after Candler, just minutes to West Asheville, downtown, and interstate access. Features include a solid masonry foundation, no HOA, updated kitchen with granite countertops and island, renovated bathrooms, and a 10-year-old roof. Enjoy mountain breezes from the front deck with potential for enhanced views. Property is being sold as-is, where-is. Manufactured home with VIN verification in progress. Access via privately maintained road; no recorded maintenance agreement found—buyer to verify. Some title items in process. Great opportunity for a buyer seeking value and a quick closing.
-
2026-03-25status Active 748-char remark
Show marketing remark (748 chars)
Investor opportunity! Priced to sell at $249,900. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath, 1,568 HLA manufactured home sits on a peaceful .55-acre hilltop lot in sought-after Candler, just minutes to West Asheville, downtown, and interstate access. Features include a solid masonry foundation, no HOA, updated kitchen with granite countertops and island, renovated bathrooms, and a 10-year-old roof. Enjoy mountain breezes from the front deck with potential for enhanced views. Property is being sold as-is, where-is. Manufactured home with VIN verification in progress. Access via privately maintained road; no recorded maintenance agreement found—buyer to verify. Some title items in process. Great opportunity for a buyer seeking value and a quick closing.
-
2026-03-17historical Active Under Contract 748-char remark
Show marketing remark (748 chars)
Investor opportunity! Priced to sell at $249,900. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath, 1,568 HLA manufactured home sits on a peaceful .55-acre hilltop lot in sought-after Candler, just minutes to West Asheville, downtown, and interstate access. Features include a solid masonry foundation, no HOA, updated kitchen with granite countertops and island, renovated bathrooms, and a 10-year-old roof. Enjoy mountain breezes from the front deck with potential for enhanced views. Property is being sold as-is, where-is. Manufactured home with VIN verification in progress. Access via privately maintained road; no recorded maintenance agreement found—buyer to verify. Some title items in process. Great opportunity for a buyer seeking value and a quick closing.
-
2026-02-22price $289,900 748-char remark
Show marketing remark (748 chars)
Investor opportunity! Priced to sell at $249,900. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath, 1,568 HLA manufactured home sits on a peaceful .55-acre hilltop lot in sought-after Candler, just minutes to West Asheville, downtown, and interstate access. Features include a solid masonry foundation, no HOA, updated kitchen with granite countertops and island, renovated bathrooms, and a 10-year-old roof. Enjoy mountain breezes from the front deck with potential for enhanced views. Property is being sold as-is, where-is. Manufactured home with VIN verification in progress. Access via privately maintained road; no recorded maintenance agreement found—buyer to verify. Some title items in process. Great opportunity for a buyer seeking value and a quick closing.
-
2026-01-27$299,999 Active 748-char remark
Show marketing remark (748 chars)
Investor opportunity! Priced to sell at $249,900. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath, 1,568 HLA manufactured home sits on a peaceful .55-acre hilltop lot in sought-after Candler, just minutes to West Asheville, downtown, and interstate access. Features include a solid masonry foundation, no HOA, updated kitchen with granite countertops and island, renovated bathrooms, and a 10-year-old roof. Enjoy mountain breezes from the front deck with potential for enhanced views. Property is being sold as-is, where-is. Manufactured home with VIN verification in progress. Access via privately maintained road; no recorded maintenance agreement found—buyer to verify. Some title items in process. Great opportunity for a buyer seeking value and a quick closing.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $593 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,049 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,456/yr (+$121/mo · 245.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,008
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$593
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,241
- − Management
- −$2,241
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable income
- $416
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$100
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,458/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buncombe County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700450
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,981
- Composite
- 40.32/100
- National rank
- #3749
- State rank
- #72 of 178 in NC
Livability — Asheville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #96
- US rank
- #6307
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Buncombe County · 241,085 people
- City population
- 137,611
- Metro
- Asheville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,328
- Household income
- $71,716
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 419.0
Population outlook (Buncombe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,475 people
- By 2030
- 302,237 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 330,687 · +15.4%
- By 2050
- 356,370 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 409,383 · +42.9%
- By 2100
- 437,270 · +52.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Buncombe
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.8) · D 61.7% · R 36.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.9pp toward D · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 24.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.8 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+14.6 2012: D+12.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.92%
- Current HPI
- 255.1985
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Asheville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
-16.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $249,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $269,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Relisted — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-17 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-22 Price Changed $289,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-27 Listed $299,999 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $593 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…