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606 Nebraska
D+ Composite 45.62
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.2/10.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$9,325

606 Nebraska · Robstown, TX 78380
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 744 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1970 3,498 sqft lot $13/sqft · 83% below area ↓ 54% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Owner financing available! Affordable residential lot with utilities available in Robstown, Texas. Build a home, or hold for future development. Call your real estate agent for more info!

Key facts

  • Residential lot
  • Utilities available
  • Future development

Tags

RESIDENTIAL LOTUTILITIES AVAILABLEFUTURE DEVELOPMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $9k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2 ($26/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($624 rent vs $9k).
  • Cap rate 61.5% vs local median 4.0% in Robstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#47 in TX, #1,942 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Robstown ISD (town): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #757 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 182 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $65 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $280 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $1k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $9,325

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.69%
Cap rate
61.47%
Cash-on-cash
197.05%
DSCR
9.77
GRM
1.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$55,263
List price
$9,325
Delta
-83.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
217 Iowa St 0.24mi 2/1.0 (+1) 825 (+11%) 5mo $115,000 $139 62
1208 Kansas St 0.45mi 2/1.0 (+1) 792 (+6%) 5mo $85,700 $108 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.3%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-1,099
Equity at exit
$1,390
10-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$327
Equity at exit
$806

Cash invested: $2,611 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78380

Home prices YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
182
Price-to-rent
1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$624 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$49
Tax est. 1.5%
$12 /mo · $140/yr
Insurance
$4
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$131
Net cashflow
$2

Break-even live

Break-even rent $621
Max offer price $9,325
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,331
Closing costs
$280
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2 East Avenue A #2 Robstown, TX 1.0 1.0 560 $650 $1.16 44d 1 0.36mi
630 Wright St Robstown, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 936 $567 $0.61 13d 8 0.85mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $9,325 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $9,325 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $9,325 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $9,325 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on market $9,325 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $9,300 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $9,300 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $9,300 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $9,300 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on marketlisting id $9,300 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $9,300 Active 110 DOM
  12. 2026-03-30
    price $9,300 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    Owner financing available! Affordable residential lot with utilities available in Robstown, Texas. Build a home, or hold for future development. Call your real estate agent for more info!

  13. 2026-02-10
    listed $10,500 Active 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    Owner financing available! Affordable residential lot with utilities available in Robstown, Texas. Build a home, or hold for future development. Call your real estate agent for more info!

  14. 2026-02-09
    listed $10,500 Active
  15. 2026-01-20
    price $10,500
  16. 2025-07-24
    listed $15,000 Active
  17. 2025-04-02
    price $13,000
  18. 2025-01-07
    price $15,000
  19. 2024-10-14
    price $17,000
  20. 2024-10-09
    price $18,000
  21. 2024-09-10
    price $19,000
  22. 2024-07-15
    listed $20,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 95% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$7,491
− Mortgage interest
−$522
− Property taxes
−$140
− Insurance
−$5,165
− Repairs & maintenance
−$599
− Management
−$599
− Depreciation
−$271
Taxable income
$194
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$47
After-tax cash flow
$-20/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Robstown ISD
NCES district ID
4837440
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$33,362
Composite
18.77/100
National rank
#8875
State rank
#757 of 826 in TX

Livability — Robstown

Score
80/100
State rank
#47
US rank
#1942

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Robstown, TX
Population (ZIP)
23,752

Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
418,037 people
By 2030
447,123 · +7.0%
By 2040
505,911 · +21.0%
By 2050
567,522 · +35.8%
By 2075
729,686 · +74.6%
By 2100
847,087 · +102.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 76% Two or more races 38% White 23%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 71%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
52% English-only · Spanish 47%

Political lean MEDSL · Nueces

2024 margin
R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.51%
Current HPI
286.19
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-53.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $9,300 CBMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $10,500 CBMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $10,500 CBMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $10,500 CBMLS
  • 2025-07-24 Listed $15,000 CBMLS
  • 2025-04-02 Price Changed $13,000 CBMLS
  • 2025-01-07 Price Changed $15,000 CBMLS
  • 2024-10-14 Price Changed $17,000 CBMLS
  • 2024-10-09 Price Changed $18,000 CBMLS
  • 2024-09-10 Price Changed $19,000 CBMLS
  • 2024-07-15 Listed $20,000 CBMLS

Property tax history

+17.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,369 · -18.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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